Brainster
Penultimate Amazing
- Joined
- May 26, 2006
- Messages
- 21,933
I get that history and foreign affairs aren't your strong suit but this has been tried before, with the only twist being the lefties kept the old party name and the centrists left. I give you Labour and the SDP. This brilliant move contributed to keep a right wing Thatcherite government in power for 17 years. Oh and it wasn't the radical left who came out on top in the end, it was those very neo-liberals you despise so much. But hey go right ahead and split the opposition, the Republicans will toast the names of those who lead the split for decades to come.
It also happened here in the US after the 1968 election. The left wing took over the Democrats following Humphrey's defeat, and made it much more responsive to the will of the base. The result was that the Democrats only won one presidential election out of the next five (and that one a squeaker). It was only when they went with an early DLC leader named Bill Clinton that they were able to break that string.
Politicians on either major party's wing have one basic mathematical problem to overcome. They have to show that for every vote they lose in the center, they pick up two new votes from their edge of the political spectrum. This is because when you lose a vote in the center, you are probably losing it to the other major party's candidate so it's a net loss of two votes. If you gain a vote on the fringe, however, that's probably someone who would otherwise vote Green or Libertarian, and thus it's only a net gain of one vote.
This is where they usually posit some form of the "lost tribe" theory. See, there's this lost tribe of hardcore leftists (or conservatives) who don't usually come out to vote because the Democrats (or Republicans) keep nominating milquetoast candidates who fail to energize them.