Merged 2024 Election Thread

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Knowing Trump, after pardoning the Proud Boys, he'll bring them in as his security detail, appoint Roger Stone as Sec. of State, Sydney Powell as AG, his son Eric as Sec. of the Treasury, CAPT. Ronny Jackson as the Sec. of Defense, and Dr. Joseph Ladapo as Sec. of Health & Human Services.
 
Luke Beasley is a podcaster one might initially bypass because he's young. Today he started off with a bit of Trump ribbing by Bill Maher. Like a lot of us, Beasley doesn't repost much of what Maher puts out. And if you are like me I never watch Maher's programs anymore, just the clips people repost.

But I digress, the Maher's clip is funny.

After that Beasley puts up one by one the people who have intimate knowledge of Trump and who are now warning us against Trump getting back in office. I think it makes good ammo against Trump. It's worth sharing around.

It's 15 minutes long. I turn to this stuff when I get frustrated as to how the court cases are going. The two links go to the same podcast in case one works for people and the other doesn't.

Concise summary of all of Trump's top brass and what they say about how dangerous it would be if he's elected again, plus some funny stuff from Bill Maher's program.

 
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4 years ago Hamburger here was $1.79 per pound. Usually once a month or so it would go on sale for $0.99 per pound. Now 2024, yesterday, I paid $5.97 per pound at Walmart grocery because it was the cheapest price in our area.

Inflation has reached a little higher than the 18% we are told to believe. Consumer pricing will be a very important issue in the upcoming election.

Steve's Cee Bee has ground round 85% for $4.49/lb right now.

https://www.facebook.com/photo/?fbid=853135956825645&set=pb.100063877440031.-2207520000
 
Bet $1, return is $1.91. So, odds-on, somewhere around 9/11 in old time odds.



More often then not they're right though, which is why they don't go broke. It takes a special kind of genius to bankrupt a bookie or casino.

After the initial market is made, bookies' odds merely reflect the bets that have been placed. If the punters are wrong then so too will be the bookies
 
After the initial market is made, bookies' odds merely reflect the bets that have been placed. If the punters are wrong then so too will be the bookies

yes, they’re not interested in accurately predicting outcomes, but balancing the bets of gamblers. and gamblers aren’t especially insightful or rational.
 
Apparently, Trump wants to bring Paul Manafort back into his service as a campaign manager.

The guy who fed information to the Russians so they could easily support Trump's campaign is a totally trustworthy pick, after all, nevermind the illegal part. It's almost like Trump wants him to do it again and pardon him again for it, if necessary.
Spelling?
 
Bookies are either taking a lot of bets on Trump, or their algorithms are saying he's a live chance, with latest odds:

Trump - $1-91
Biden - $2-60

I would have thought the other way round was more likely, but the real killer is 3rd favourite: Michelle Obama at $13.

When someone who would never take up the job is on the 3rd line of betting it's a good guide neither of the first two are very popular.

Gambling odds are not a good estimation of the outcome those odds are put on, because the turf accountants have to price in the payouts on a loss.
 
How do odds in dollars work ?
For each dollar bet, you can win $0.91 for a total collect of $1.91. That works out to odds of around 10:11. I believe that in the US odds on is quoted in multiples of $100 (to win $100 you need to wager $109.89).

Bet $1, return is $1.91. So, odds-on, somewhere around 9/11 in old time odds.

More often then not they're right though, which is why they don't go broke. It takes a special kind of genius to bankrupt a bookie or casino.
Especially an SP bookie.
 
Gambling odds are not a good estimation of the outcome those odds are put on, because the turf accountants have to price in the payouts on a loss.
Gambling odds are just a reflection of the size of the bets made. The bookie usually prices the odds so that they don't lose regardless of who wins.
 
Trump says Jews who vote Democrat hate being Jewish and hate Israel. This may swing the Jewish vote BACK to Biden!!

Thanks Trump, for being such a bigoted jerk.
 
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