UncaYimmy post #983:
Thank you for designing such a perfect study procedure! You have spared me of several concerns I have had with the design! Your procedure even ensures that volunteers are able to reveal personal health information anonymously and without risk of harm! No disclaimer needs to be made! I can't thank you enough! I will make a little shrine about you on my webpage, honoring the work you have done! Thank you!
* Anyone can participate.
I will however change this to, volunteers have to be 18 years and older, to avoid some possible concerns.
I am also happy to announce that I do not see the need to advertise for volunteers! Why not just show up in a busy place and place a sign that asks for volunteers for the study, that way the study can be done right away! Advertising may be done for future studies, or in case the approach of just showing up doesn't work.
skeen:
I predict she will do it.
Of course I will do it.
Jeff Corey:
As one who tries to teach experimental design, I have to say your questionnaire and setup are just too complicated. You should not hand me the results you obtain (if ever) and ask me to statistically analyse them post hoc.
You must specify how you are going to analyze the results before hand, if they are not obvious.
In short, I would not test the claim that way.
This is a
study, not a
test. Some of the objectives of this study are, for me to gain more experience with the perceptions and in ways where the accuracy of my perceptions can be established. Of course even if I seem to be accurate in my medical perceptions, it can not conclude extrasensory perception since the study does not take place under test conditions, and cold reading is available. The study can not conclude in favor of ESP. The study
can however provide indication if it is not the case of an ESP ability, since if I do poorly on this study which is like a "badly designed test", then there is probably no point in proceeding toward a real test that has better controls and would be "even harder to pass". The study should provide with a list of what health information I can claim to accurately detect, and from this list, suitable ones can be selected to a future test design. The study should also reveal the extent of how much information
I do not detect, which should tell us about how many volunteers are needed for a test, since, if I have to make 10 claimed perceptions on a test and the study had revealed that I only detect it roughly 33% of the time when it is considered to be present, then we would need at least 30 volunteers for that test. The study will also provide with documented examples of my perceptions, and these will no longer be considered just anecdotes, since skeptics are present to verify how they took place. These examples will be documented in writing, and maybe also with pictures and/or video.
We can not prepare ourselves for how the results of the study will be statistically analyzed, since we can not predict the quantity, or type, of results the study will bring. Based on the study, a stronger and clearer paranormal claim will be made, since if we proceed, it has once again failed to be falsified, and more knowledge of the claim is available to make a more specific claim. And this makes a future test easier to arrange.
OK, . If the local skeptics can locate 20 volunteers that either have a condition she says she can detect, 10 who have it and 10 who do not., then under the tightly controlled conditions that you suggest (double blind) she gets to choose who has the condition without any feedback whatsoever.
The appropriate test would be Fisher's exact probability test.
For example, of the 10 who have it, suppose she gets 8 right, or hits and 2 false posititives. Of the 10 who don't have it, 6 false positives and 4 false alarms.
Signal detection theory could help us out here, because there is a tendency to say "yes" whether there is a signal or not.
However, there must not be any way she can say "I don't know" and not that have that counted as a miss or wrong response.
That's been her out all along.
What you describe here is a test, and not a study. And unless I discover
from a study that I can positively claim to detect every case of an ailment, I should definitely be allowed to pass, to answer "I don't know" on a test. Each ailment occurs to a different extent in different people, however there is no way for me to describe how I perceive this extent so that test arrangers could select volunteers who would fall into the range of "detectable" for me. On a test, once I claim to perceive health information, that claim is then open to be checked for accuracy and if it is incorrect then I have made myself responsible for a miss, that counts against the possibility of having an ESP ability. So even with being allowed to answer "I don't know" the test is still falsifiable.
UncaYimmy post #991:
Once again, brilliant and perfect! I will be using your study design
very soon.
* Don't provide your name or your website.
I would like to provide some form of reference to the volunteers, so that if another study is carried out later and in a different location, the volunteers can be asked whether they've already participated and they can remember if they have, based on the name or reference that was given. I'd prefer to ask volunteers to not participate a second time.
And just so you're prepared, expect people here to call you on your sudden concern about legal issues. What you have done with your friends and family has opened you to potential liability. To them you have claimed 100% accuracy in everything you have read and provided medical information. Since you have presented yourself as an expert with an excellent record of results, it is reasonable for people to act (or not act) based on what you have told them.
Granted, I think it would be a tough case to prove, but the chances of liability are far greater with what you've done up to this point than anything you have proposed for the future.
How rude to incorrectly assume that I'd done such a terrible thing and to then throw it at me! Haven't you read the countless of posts where I describe how I tell friends who I ask to attempt a psychic reading with,
"Although I've not been confirmed wrong yet, I could be wrong this time, and just in case I am you have to treat everything I say as nonsense." I really do say this to people and I've been very careful to do so! How on earth do you assume that I'd done otherwise, when I haven't? It is rude.
desertgal:
But, I will give Anita credit for taking precautions now, even though she didn't before.
Ahem.
I am curious as to what she means by "legal representative", though. If you mean attorney, Anita, then say "attorney". For all we know, "legal representative" could mean a paralegal or a legal assistant - in which case, any advice they give would be suspect, since they aren't fully versed in the relevant laws.
Either an attorney or the police. I've said "legal representative" to make a more general statement as I haven't decided who to contact yet.
Ashles:
In your obsession with responding to absolutely every single sentence posted now (...)
Sometimes if I don't respond to questions and comments, I get yelled at about that too. Everything I do is wrong, and everything I don't do is also wrong. So I'll just do what I think is right, by trying to clear out misconceptions about me and to answer to questions regarding this investigation, even if it results in "wall of texts".
I know that frogs and toads can exhibit aggressive behavior, however in my perception they do not engage with as much aggressive emotion and thought as many other animals do when they want to be violent.
Please show an example of your vibrational algebra. You can use example data to demonstrate.
Go into as much detail as you like. You can do these calculations - please show us how.
Although I know what I perceive and how I understand vibrational structures, I have not learned the appropriate science terminology yet and until I do I would have to explain everything in my own words and in a lengthier way. Also I can not reveal my research ideas, you'll be reading about them in my science publications like everyone else a few years from now.
Give an example.
What 'electronic instuments'?
The ones I will work with haven't been built yet. I will build them. They are instruments that generate light structures that contain detail and produce more specific and more complex structured effects in the physical world.
Unless it's the ones who ruffle your hair, laugh and say "Oh yeah 'Vibrational information' well done" and carry on walking.
If a Physicist laughed at the idea of vibrational information after I've described what it entails I'd have them fired for incompetence and stupidity.
Which plant, which chemical.
A dark variety of the jade plant,
I couldn't possibly know the name of the chemical, even though I am learning to perceive the electron field distribution across a molecule and to depicher it into its corresponding atoms and chemical bonds to perceive the image of the molecular structure as it is drawn in science.
What's the plant, what's the molecule?
A small orange mushroom that was growing in a dry place in full sunlight on a rock.
Similar in color to this picture, but with a very narrow stem and flat on the top. If I had a book of Swedish mushrooms I could pick out the exact species. And again, I don't know what chemical. I do perceive the general shape and electron distribution of a molecule, as well as a general understanding of atomic composition and atomic distribution, but this is an ability that needs to grow stronger until I can just point at a molecule and draw it out and give its chemical name.
I have a fun one for you guys, if you can handle it... I was once looking at various images that are produced with the Scanning Electron Microscope. I was looking at a particular one and started to feel effects in my body that I've never experienced before. I don't know whether the effects became physical so to be occurring in my body for real, or whether they were just
perceptions of physical response that I was experiencing. I felt as if my pupils got larger and something happened to my energy level, muscles, and nerves. Without knowing it I was looking at a microscopic image of Cannabis. Once I checked the name for what the picture depicted it made sense. Earlier I had been looking at magnifications of insect bodies so I had no way of expecting a drug. So somehow, (and yes, another claim) I can look at the detailed structure of things and relate it to its properties, and combining that with the structure of a human body I can perceive the combined effect. Of course I've never used this drug by the way. And, by the way, many of you have probably wondered at least once by now whether I've used drugs and whether any of these perceptions and experiences might be drug-induced. The answer is no. I've not used drugs and don't even smoke or drink alcohol.
If you ignore all of the above please just provide an example of your 'Vibrational calculations'.
Any one that you have done.
Use example data if you like.
Well I do not rush into a laboratory to test all of my perceptions, because this is how a person who treats their perceptions in an objective manner behaves.
Provide a proper worked example of this from initial data and values through to results that tranlate 'back into real worls physical things' and how they do so.
I will do this a few years from now in the science lab, with real conventional mathematics to which I apply my concepts of vibrations.
Let's try and introduce some real science and maths into all the vague generalisations.
And most of my ideas are top secret until patented and published rightfully in my honor.
