Meadmaker
Unregistered
- Joined
- Apr 27, 2004
- Messages
- 29,033
The President doesn't have enough power to accomplish the kind of agenda set out in the OP.
Some elements of it, certainly, but not a lot of it.
I do suspect that funding for Planned Parenthood is in trouble.
I don't see how Obergefell is overturned without at least one additional justice, and that won't happen for a while, so gay marriage is pretty safe. There certainly is not going to be a constitutional amendment about it. 38 states would ratify that? I don't think so.
The ACA, in its current form, is done, but that genie can't be stuffed back in the bottle easily. It's one thing to hold off government health care, as they did for so many years, but to actually remove the only path to health insurance for millions? Congresscritters have to run for reelection, and "I used to have health insurance until Trump and his cronies took it away" is a very powerful, even if not entirely accurate, ad.
Trump can call for stop and frisk until the cows come home, but since he doesn't control local police, he can't make it happen. He could help create an atmosphere where local pols feel more emboldened, and he could appoint judges who would be less inclined to overturn it.
I do think it is very likely that his decision on the keystone pipeline will be almost completely uninfluenced by any element of concern for Native American cultural concerns, although I think he's fairly likely, more so than Democrats even, to be concerned about their property rights, if that's an issue.
I think it's fairly likely that food stamps and the school lunch program will be cut back. Those things ebb and flow with time and election results.
In short, there will be change, but not catastrophe. He won't get everything he wants. He doesn't even want some of the things he said in campaign speeches. I don't like the guy and I wish he would not become President, but it's too late for that. Not enough of the right people showed up to vote to prevent it.
Some elements of it, certainly, but not a lot of it.
I do suspect that funding for Planned Parenthood is in trouble.
I don't see how Obergefell is overturned without at least one additional justice, and that won't happen for a while, so gay marriage is pretty safe. There certainly is not going to be a constitutional amendment about it. 38 states would ratify that? I don't think so.
The ACA, in its current form, is done, but that genie can't be stuffed back in the bottle easily. It's one thing to hold off government health care, as they did for so many years, but to actually remove the only path to health insurance for millions? Congresscritters have to run for reelection, and "I used to have health insurance until Trump and his cronies took it away" is a very powerful, even if not entirely accurate, ad.
Trump can call for stop and frisk until the cows come home, but since he doesn't control local police, he can't make it happen. He could help create an atmosphere where local pols feel more emboldened, and he could appoint judges who would be less inclined to overturn it.
I do think it is very likely that his decision on the keystone pipeline will be almost completely uninfluenced by any element of concern for Native American cultural concerns, although I think he's fairly likely, more so than Democrats even, to be concerned about their property rights, if that's an issue.
I think it's fairly likely that food stamps and the school lunch program will be cut back. Those things ebb and flow with time and election results.
In short, there will be change, but not catastrophe. He won't get everything he wants. He doesn't even want some of the things he said in campaign speeches. I don't like the guy and I wish he would not become President, but it's too late for that. Not enough of the right people showed up to vote to prevent it.