Re the senior officers. The protocol was that each of the two captains (one the second captain) had a third and fourth officer on duty each time, which I believe was five hours. In effect, there were six all together, or more. Thus when Andresson went on duty Piht and his two officers came off. As the accident happened at about 0100 and that was the change of watch, they would have still been up and about. Piht and Voronin were in private luxury cabins, as Piht, although taking over at six, or shadowing, was not officially on duty as he had charting exams later in Stockholm. Nearby Piht and the Voronin family, there was an old sea captain (b 1917) who all survived.
Mr. Piht, he dead.
He never left the ship.
Given the lower ranks in Deck 0 had no problems surviving and getting onto a raft early, I believe it is entirely probable that it was not just Voronin and the old sea captain and his wife, together with Voronin's family, who all managed to escape.
That is your malfunction. There were many partially filled life-rafts, which speaks to the chaos on the decks as the ship rolled. The captain, if he was any good, would have been trying to solve the problem, not looking for an escape, and the captain would have certainly escaped.
He did not.
Remember: the headline in the London Evening Standard (Colin Anderson [_sp?]) was 'the guilty will be brought to jail' and confirmed Piht had survived and was awaiting interview, likewise, the reputable Helsingin Sanomat.
No, but I remember the headline: Dewey Wins! I also remember the special edition of the SF Chronicle printed after the 1989 Loma Prieta Quake which predicted tens of thousands dead on the collapsed Nimitz Freeway. I also remember the Miami Herald reporting that Private Jessica Lynch had been taken prisoner in Iraq after fighting off dozens of attackers single-handedly. Newspapers make mistakes, and Piht was a big one.
In addition, you may recall the Rockwater divers went to Piht/Voronin's cabin and retrieved an attaché case int he name of Voronin, as can be evidenced by the publicly available tapes.
And?
At the time, it was not known Voronin was trading in arms. When that information was revealed, Voronin had a stroke two weeks later and died.
And?
The point here, is that prosecutors and police showed a LOT of interest in these two. The other Estonian crew/staff listed as survivors initially, included the IVth Officer navigator, the Chief Engineer, the Chief Doctor plus the bar manager and a couple of cruise entertainers.
Really, they prosecute dead people in Europe?
Almost all of these would be persons of very great interest. Especially as some will have been on duty as of the time leading up to the 'accident'.
And?
It was a big ship. What would the bartender know?
Thus, the removal from the survivors list and Piht mysteriously no longer around, together with NOBODY being brought to justice publicly, indicates to me there is every chance they were handed over to the CIA, especially if it was the CIA who were expecting the delivered Russian smuggled state secrets.
Why?
Why would the CIA want any of these people? Even if they had been smuggling something on the night the ship sank, they would not have done more than make quiet phone calls, and back-channel stuff to see if there was any way they could send divers into the wreck to get their goodies. The CIA would never grab anybody, certainly not non-criminal European nationals for no reason. When a mission goes wrong the CIA keeps a low profile, they don't go charging in grabbing people. They don't even do that now.
Just because you have some deep-seeded need to have the CIA be the root of all evil in your worldview doesn't make it so.
We know how ruthlessly Russians guard these things. Another fact is, the Estonian head of defense was a Russian spy (although this did not come to light until 1996, when he was jailed for High Treason), Herman Simm, so if anyone tipped off the Russians, it is a good bet it was Simm, who also had the power and muscle to arrange a counter-espionage operation.
1. It was Russians who were selling the stuff.
2. Sinking a ship is not espionage.
3. If they had the capability to sink the Estonia then a couple of trucks should have been a piece of cake to stop.
4. If the CIA, the Swedes, Mossad, or MI6 was smuggling something out of Estonia, the Estonians wouldn't have known about it. Give them a little credit.
So IMV it is not at all unreasonable to suspect that something like this happened. The senior crew could not be tried in public because can you imagine the world wide scandal if it came to light Sweden for the USA had smuggled this stuff on a passenger ferry carrying over 500 of its own citizens?
Why would the senior crew be put on trial for anything other than sailing the ship too fast in heavy seas?
Why would the senior crew know about smuggling?
It would have a hard and embarrassing time explaining the catastrophe, and possibly triggering Russia to threaten to send 'peace-keeping troops' back into Estonia, which was in a delicate vulnerable teething stage of its newly found independence.
I agree, explaining a stupid story would be difficult. Luckily the bow visor fell off.
So I believe - given the alacrity Bildt declared it was a design fault and a Herald of Free Enterprise scenario
Which isn't true, and has been debunked numerous times...
that the whole thing was made a highly classified incident, which is why we have an anodyne JAIC report that took three years to come out
Three years? Almost as if they did a thorough investigation or something. Those monsters.
and no trial in the public domain.
The bow visor was knocked off by rough seas. The only person that could be put on trial would be God, or Poseidon (depending on how specific you want to be). Technically it would have been the captain, for being reckless, but he went down with the ship. So...
In addition, everything surrounding it is classified for 70 years.
And yet there is a new investigation that is not classified.
The Swedish democratic parliament and the Swedish people have no say in this as it was all to do with the defense secret services. Hirschfeld made it clear he was not investigating the KSI, who would have been the intelligence agency behind the espionage.
You just said the CIA and Estonia was behind it. Doesn't matter. The bow-visor was knocked off in rough seas. The KSI had nothing to do with that.
So I don't think it is a tall story at all.
Bless your heart.
If that was the rough scenario then the authorities were faced with a dilemma: if the crew knew about the espionage,
Why would the crew know about espionage? And if they did, they would have said something by now, and that hasn't happened.
and Andresson as captain would have had a duty to know what went on in his ship,
You mean the same guy who didn't send a damage-control party to investigate the report of water rushing into the car-deck? That guy?
then it would be hard to blame them if the Russians had retaliated to stop the delivery by any means possible.
Okay, but why would the CIA grab them? Russians actually had this capability in 1994, and are good at grabbing people. And yes, I'm jealous. But the Russians wouldn't have sunk the ship. They're good at a lot of sneaky things, getting their stolen gear back would have been done brutally quiet.
If they alone were responsible because of negligence, then the sheer number of persons killed, perhaps made it impractical to have a public trial. Knowing as we did ten years later, Sweden admitted to a limited amount of espionage smuggling, the former is more likely, especially as the Estonian Officers went to traditional Russian naval schools. They might have objected to the smuggling to the west or were being blackmailed or extorted.
The whole point of smuggling is secrecy. Nobody on MS Estonia would have known. Certainly none of the crew would have been privy to a clandestine operation. They'd assume their customs agents had done their jobs.
Bottom line: The Estonia sank due to mechanical failure brought about by reckless sailing speeds in conditions for which it was never designed. The command crew failed to respond to the report of water at the bow section of the car deck.
That's it.