The argument below is my personal work, although it obviously is informed by everything I've read and heard on the subject.
Please critique it, I'm going to present this argument in a very few number of days.
Thanks!
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We have very, very strong knowledge in natural law about how atoms are put together, how atoms combine to make molocules, and how molocules work that says that you can't walk on liquid water; and we know how molocules work to make living cells, which tells us that cells can't be reconsituted past a certain point when someone dies, so someone can't be raised from the dead.
If you want to claim that someone walked on water, or was raised from the dead, you have to have so much evidence of such good quality that it overwhelms the evidence from natural law that we already have about how atoms, molocules, and cells work. That is an enormous amount and quality of evidence to overcome, but it is potentially possible.
One argument for miracles is that if we add the existence of the Christian god to what we already know, then we have some support for miracles, in a similar way that we have support in natural law against miracles, and this reduces or the impact of natural law on how much evidence we need to overwhelm it.
We are now, then, considering whether we can wind up showing that the Christian god exists and that miracles happen. But we have to show each of them independently of the other in this way:
First, let's decide which one we start with to prove: Is the goal to prove that miracles happen or that the Christian god exists?
Let's start with saying that the Christian god exists, therefore miracles can happen. This means you can’t use miracles to help prove that god exists because you're going to use god's existence to show that miracles happen. That’s assuming what you’re trying to prove, and is circular argument. You'll have to show that god exists without reference to miracles, and then use that fact, if you're successful, to show that miracles happen.
The other option is to try to show that miracles happen - particularly the resurrection - and therfore the Christian god exists. This means you can’t use the existence of God to help prove that miracles happen - that would be circular, too.
It also means that you can’t add god's existence to what we already know, which means that the immense weight of natural law against miracles stands very high.
In brief, if you go "God exists, therefore miracles happen" then miracles are not available as evidence for God.
If you go "miracles happen, therefore God exists" then God is not available as evidence for miracles (God is not part of what we already know).
The second option is relatively non-controversial, because if we don't know that God exists, then any proof of miracles has an extremely high bar to overcome. I'm not aware of any miracle claim that has.
The first option - The Christian god exists, therefore miracles can happen - is more complicated to work through.
Without miracles on the table, we have to exclude the resurrection and all other miracles in the Bible and all other miracles throughout history and the current day.
Several arguments have been offered to show the existence of the Christian god without reference to miracles
Briefly,
Cosmological - There is a personal being with agency and power that created the universe.
Design - The universe and life had to be created by a personal being with agency and power.
Soul - Humans have some sort of essence that continues after death.
Morality - Morals are objective and are grounded in a god.
They all have their own individual problems that I don't have time to discuss right now. But the one problem they all share is that they don't achieve their goal; they don't show that the Christian god exists, merely that some kind of transcendent personal being with agency and power exists. And there's nothing in those 4 arguments that even addresses performing miracles, much less makes it likely.
Even disregarding the individual problems they have, these attempts to demonstrate that the Christian god exists and that miracles happen has failed.