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Merged Now What?

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So there would be no default. I think we can agree on that.

Now you and your friends in Lord Haw-Haw land can run around and cry into your Pimms as much as you want about it. 'Investors' would assess their investments on what actually is the case rather than how it looks if you screw up your eyes and just repeat whatever Gideon tells you to think.


Huh? If iScotland refuses to take on a fair proportion of the debt burden when it splits with rUK, then while of course that won't constitute a formal default, it will almost certainly be viewed by investors as such.

Imagine if a boyfriend and girlfriend split up, and they had 6 months previously taken out a 3-year £1,000 loan in the gf's name and via the gf's bank to buy a new fridge, a new freezer and a new set of furniture (all of which they both used of course). Before the break-up, they both paid half the monthly loan repayment each (they were on similar salaries). Imagine if, come the break-up, the bf said "Right, well I'm not going to pay my half of the loan payments now - the loan's in your name so it's your problem. But of course I'll be taking my half of the goods - let's say the freezer and half the furniture - with me thanks. Bye!"
 
'Investors' would assess their investments on what actually is the case rather than how it looks [ . . . ]
Disagreed--they will assess on how it looks (to them) not what they are told by politicians (or politicians' lawyery experts).

Now you and your friends in Lord Haw-Haw land can run around and cry into your Pimms as much as you want about it. [ . . . ] if you screw up your eyes and just repeat whatever Gideon tells you to think.
I will assume that is what passes muster for you as a "sensible conversation about politics" :D
 
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It would be a first.

Scotland was already cheated out of one referendum thanks to changing the rules while the game was in play. No way I would support it happening to anyone else whether I agree with them or not.

The people have voted for the Government to do something and they should go and do it and stop pissing around.


That's ********. A minority of people have followed the lies of the shower of pirates led by Gove and Bojo and that duping of the populace should have been illegal. Why is it legal to parade a lie on the side of a bus for weeks after it was exposed as a lie?

Why should a vote resulting from such deception have any credibility?

Normally a constitutional level change has to be by some large majority, not allowing a 50/50 split to determine such a fundamental change in national circumstances. Cameron's stupidity in not ensuring a proper set up of this referendum to dmand at least a 60%, or preferably ⅔ of the vote, has given us a result which can not be accepted as legitimate.

If not for the lies, we could accept it. But the nearness of the vote, the Bregret buffoons who voted flippantly, and the brazen lying and false promises of the Leave campaigners have all by themselves made this result null and void.

So shut up with your "the people" ********.

I regard this petition on the government's own website as an automatic second referendum, but one which enables everyone to have an input, not just the over 18s. I'm hoping that everyone in the country who doesn't feel represented by the result of the referendum will sign it, and reach over 20 million signatories, which will show that "the people" have not in fact chosen to be railroaded by the lying likes of Gove and Bojo and Farage into this debacle.

That some here call it "ridiculous" is more a sign of anti-democratic mind set and typical ignoring of reality by Leavers.
 
It wouldn't even be the first referendum on the topic that would pass at least one of the bars:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Kingdom_European_Communities_membership_referendum,_1975

Or the first in a decade:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Kingdom_Alternative_Vote_referendum,_2011

In fact, it looks more like this referendum was an outlier among referendums in the UK:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greater_London_Authority_referendum,_1998
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Northern_England_devolution_referendums,_2004
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Northern_Ireland_sovereignty_referendum,_1973
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Northern_Ireland_Good_Friday_Agreement_referendum,_1998
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scottish_independence_referendum,_2014

Far more referendums in the UK passed at least one of the bars than passed neither. Why do you think it is so unlikely a new referendum on Brexit would be unable to pass either bar?

McHrozni

Because passing ONE of the bars is simple but the text requires BOTH of the bars to be passed. So my response was to your Why Not? question rather than your follow up part about either bar (my mistake there in my quoting)

If you think about what a referendum is actually for it also seems a bit pointless to actually hold one where the vast majority of the public is clearly in favour of one option.

The AV vote was a nonsense because nobody actually wanted it and it was merely a box checking exercise for the coalition. So nobody turned up.

The Brexit and Indyref referendums got high turnouts BECAUSE the result was close and opinion was strong on both sides. Had two-thirds of the country clearly been in one camp then turnout would have been much lower.
 
Another now what....

Martyn Lewis reckons we'll no longer have the generous EU flight cancellation compensation post-Brexit....
 
(my bolding)

I don't disagree with the sentiment. However, in the back of my mind that is exactly the problem - do "something".

I am not convinced that either the population as a whole or - specifically- the Leave campaigners had or have a clear idea what that something IS.

To me that is deeply unsatisfactory.

If there had been a clear plan that people had voted for, then there really could have been no question. There wasn't...

They voted to leave the EU. That much is clear. I don't like the result but that's the result we got.

Huh? If iScotland refuses to take on a fair proportion of the debt burden when it splits with rUK, then while of course that won't constitute a formal default, it will almost certainly be viewed by investors as such.

So another vote for no default. 3-0 now. Then some more assertion about how it really is one with no supporting evidence.

Imagine if a boyfriend and girlfriend split up, and they had 6 months previously taken out a 3-year £1,000 loan in the gf's name and via the gf's bank to buy a new fridge, a new freezer and a new set of furniture (all of which they both used of course). Before the break-up, they both paid half the monthly loan repayment each (they were on similar salaries). Imagine if, come the break-up, the bf said "Right, well I'm not going to pay my half of the loan payments now - the loan's in your name so it's your problem. But of course I'll be taking my half of the goods - let's say the freezer and half the furniture - with me thanks. Bye!"

Yes imagine. Who decides who is on the hook for how much of the debt? Not the gf. She doesn't get to say, hey that loan I took out in my name you need to pay half of it. And if she does the bf can say 'why? I'm not going to' and the only person the loan company will ever pursue for the debt is the gf. If the bf applies for a mortgage they aren't going say 'hey but you didn't keep paying off your gf's loan after you split up so your credit rating is bad'

That's why it's important to consider what the FACTS are and not how you might like the world to be or what you think should happen or how you might like it to play out in your fantasy where the bf gets his comeuppance. The courts and the law are the relevant things.

Now if someone, anyone, wants to explain how the Scotland default scenario plays out through the law I'm all ears. Because the ONLY way it happens is if rUK agree to it or if some third party determines its 'fair'.

Disagreed--they will assess on how it looks (to them) not what they are told by politicians.

I will assume that is what passes muster for you as a "sensible conversation about politics" :D

Were we having a sensible conversation? Sorry I couldn't hear it over some woman repeatedly shouting 'default'. You might have to speak up a bit.

That's ********. A minority of people have followed the lies of the shower of pirates led by Gove and Bojo and that duping of the populace should have been illegal. Why is it legal to parade a lie on the side of a bus for weeks after it was exposed as a lie?

Why should a vote resulting from such deception have any credibility?

Normally a constitutional level change has to be by some large majority, not allowing a 50/50 split to determine such a fundamental change in national circumstances. Cameron's stupidity in not ensuring a proper set up of this referendum to dmand at least a 60%, or preferably ⅔ of the vote, has given us a result which can not be accepted as legitimate.

If not for the lies, we could accept it. But the nearness of the vote, the Bregret buffoons who voted flippantly, and the brazen lying and false promises of the Leave campaigners have all by themselves made this result null and void.

So shut up with your "the people" ********.

I regard this petition on the government's own website as an automatic second referendum, but one which enables everyone to have an input, not just the over 18s. I'm hoping that everyone in the country who doesn't feel represented by the result of the referendum will sign it, and reach over 20 million signatories, which will show that "the people" have not in fact chosen to be railroaded by the lying likes of Gove and Bojo and Farage into this debacle.

That some here call it "ridiculous" is more a sign of anti-democratic mind set and typical ignoring of reality by Leavers.

The petition is not even ridiculous its worse than that. The idea that a nonsense e-petition supported by even a few million signatures trumps a formal referendum where 75% of the electorate voted is stupid and undemocratic. Why have the referendum at all? Just have a poll on Twitter.

You don't like the result. I know. But it is the result. I don't like it either. I think the people who voted that way are idiots or worse. But we had this after the Indyref too. The result is in. It's not going to change. It shouldn't change.

Changing the rules after the vote would be ridiculous and anti-democratic. If you want Britain to be in the EU then you need to start campaigning to rejoin at the first opportunity after the next election.

"I regard this petition on the government's own website as an automatic second referendum" is one of the stupidest things I have seen to date on this site and there's plenty competition for that accolade.
 
... Why should a vote resulting from such deception have any credibility?

It doesn't. Oh, it may be within rulz, especially for those whose thinking is limited to what is afforded them by their betters, but for the rest, democratic governance has always depended on the quality of debate for the quality of results, and this election in that sense was fully rigged.
 
It doesn't. Oh, it may be within rulz, especially for those whose thinking is limited to what is afforded them by their betters, but for the rest, democratic governance has always depended on the quality of debate for the quality of results, and this election in that sense was fully rigged.

The thing people need to learn is 'not to believe the lies of politicians' not 'believe whatever you are told and then complain about it after you voted for it'

People were told clearly that the Leave campaign were lying and they voted for it anyway. Now we are supposed to void the result because of a stupid petition or some moaners who can't take a defeat?

Were they let down by David Cameron? You betcha. But they voted him in as well.
 
I couldn't hear it over some woman repeatedly shouting 'default'. You might have to speak up a bit.
Is that what you heard? I wonder where the voices you "hear" are coming from :D

However in my view [Salmond] made very big mistakes not in the interest of his party's objectives, primarily the "walk away from the debt" threat and the insistence that Scotland could help itself to a sterling currency union.
I don't think that will be tried again. Looks too much like repudiation of one's debt. If you're convinced it isn't and that nobody Scotland wants on-side (IE bond investors) would think it was either then you should hope the SNP pulls it out again.
You can claim that investors wouldn't regard a walk-away threat as significantly raising the credit risk of Scotland if you like though. Hopefully Sturgeon won't.

Scotland and "Westminster" never made an agreement about who would be liable for public debt if Scotland became independent. Actually legally it is the RUK and the RUK promised markets last time that it would itself honour all debt. But that would not be the issue around how investors would regard an acrimonious refusal of Scotland not to take on any obligation associated with public debt to the RUK
 
Another now what....

Martyn Lewis reckons we'll no longer have the generous EU flight cancellation compensation post-Brexit....
Unfortunately the 4:40 flight from Gatwick to Magaluf is always on time.

Or cheaper mobile data roaming presumably
Great. The only ones affected are the indecent, UK hating, foreigner loving, Guardian readers who ring home from bongo bongo land checking their Lithianian nanny is looking after the kids and not stuffing her face on quinoa and cous-cous. If the telecom companies rip them off that means cheaper bills for the rest of us.
 
ok. so with lobbying now starting from the likes of Branson and his 0.1% buddies, this isn't just any old petition, is it? IMO we're still game on.
It was never "any old petition." Petitions on the likes of Change and 38Degrees are essentially worthless. Petitions on Parliament's own website cannot be so easily ignored.
 
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The thing people need to learn is 'not to believe the lies of politicians' not 'believe whatever you are told and then complain about it after you voted for it'

People were told clearly that the Leave campaign were lying and they voted for it anyway. Now we are supposed to void the result because of a stupid petition or some moaners who can't take a defeat?

I swing wildly between "**** the lot of them" and "let's try to make the best of a bad job".

Sometimes I want the UK to bear the full consequences of pulling out of the EU and actually doing what the Leave campaign said they'd do, pull out of the EEA too, and out of the European Council so we're completely free of EU rules and can put up those immigration walls - and then watch as the economy suffers from decreased exports, the relocation of jobs from the UK to the EU the loss of skilled workers back to their countries of origin. Even if this means my company goes under - after all I've got plenty of money and so I'll probably do OK.

OTOH we need to actually have a functioning economy which probably means that we will remain in the EEA and so be subject to its rules and still have to make significant payments to retain access. A Brexit like this wouldn't satisfy a large number of the Leave voters, neither would it be as satisfactory to the Remain voters as not leaving.
 
It was never "any old petition." Petition on the likes of Change and 38Degrees are essentially worthless. Petitions on Parliament's own website cannot be so easily ignored.

But it was never any old referendum, and nationwide plebicites can also not be so easily ignored. This petition is stupid and pointless, and will achieve absolutely nothing.
 
But it was never any old referendum, and nationwide plebicites can also not be so easily ignored. This petition is stupid and pointless, and will achieve absolutely nothing.

You're almost certain to be right, that it will not reverse the decision to leave the EU but it does indicate the level of concern in the wider population of losing the benefits of EU membership.
 
Another infantile idiot farmer on the radio complaining about EU bureaucrats who have never done an honest days work in their life and their stupid laws. Boris (that horny-handed son of the soil) will sort everything out, the subsidies will be guaranteed for 10 years.

Apparently the EU imposes all these rules on the UK without consulting with the EU and with no opportunity to push back :rolleyes:

Boris agrees. And he doesn't.
 
Was listening to some **** of a Tory MP parroting some of the Leave lies; "half of our laws come from the EU with no say for us", "all this money that will come back from Europe", "of course we'll have the right to travel, live, work and study in Europe, we'll control their access to the UK", "net migration in the tens of thousands"* and wondering who that colossal tool was.

Turns out that it was my local MP (and colossal tool) David Davies :o - who interestingly claimed to be a small businessman, my understanding was that he was "encouraged" to leave the family firm because he wasn't up to running it.


* - in the event that freedom of movement is lost then it's likely that there will be a period (possibly brief) when net migration drops significantly as the most mobile EU workers leave the UK and large numbers of UK citizens return to the UK
 
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