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Fall US Elections

Spindrift said:
Huh? I was talking about Franken's seat. What made you think I was talking about the rest of the races? He only won by 200 votes the last time so I thought he would be in at least competitive race. It obviously was a foregone conclusion since it didn't make much news and I wasn't even cognizant of him running this time.
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It doesn't fit into the narrative that the republicans won a landslide and have been given a mandate.
 
thaiboxerken said:
It doesn't fit into the narrative that the republicans won a landslide and have been given a mandate.
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As mid-terms go, this was hardly a landslide, particularly considering the quirky demographics of the Senate seats that were up for grabs.

Wait! I probably shouldn't be saying that because it'll take the inevitable yuks out of election night 2016 when the Fox team sits there stunned that the demographics they refuse to acknowledge pushed another presidential election to the Dems. So, uh, let's see....

Yeah! The Democrats better get their act together because they're going to get trounced in the next presidential election. Now that the GOP sees that it can win by running hard right, we liberals just hope that they don't nominate that Ted Cruz guy. Him and Bachmann? Or Cruz/Santorum? They're probably unbeatable.

(There, that's better.)
 
Alaska will start counting the roughly 50,000 early, absentee and questioned ballots tomorrow. After roughly 210,000 votes, Dan Sullivan (R) has an ~8,000 vote lead on incumbent Sen. Mark Begich (D).

There are nearly 50,000 absentee, early and questioned ballots left to be tallied. But that hasn’t stopped many across the state from crunching the numbers based on uncounted absentee, early and questioned ballots, and the News-Miner is no different.

Somewhere in those 50,000 ballots, Democratic Sen. Mark Begich likely hopes to see a surge that will help him overcome a 8,000 vote deficit against Republican Dan Sullivan set on Tuesday.
...

The Alaska Division of Elections will begin counting outstanding votes on Tuesday.

...

In the race for the U.S. Senate, Sullivan currently has 110,203 votes to Begich’s 102,054. Sullivan is anticipated to pick up 24,363 more votes and Begich is anticipated to pick up 22,366 more votes.

...

The deadline for absentee by mail ballots to be received if they’re mailed from within the country is Nov. 14. It’s Nov. 19 if they were mailed from outside the country. That pool is dwindling and currently stands at 10,802, according to the Division of Elections.
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Sen. Begich concedes Alaska race:

First-term Democratic Sen. Mark Begich has conceded his race against Republican challenger Dan Sullivan, the former Alaska natural resources commissioner who has led since Election Day on Nov. 4.

After votes recorded Friday, Begich trailed Sullivan by more than 7,700 votes, about 2.8 percent. The Begich campaign had said repeatedly since Election Day that every vote deserved to be counted.
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thaiboxerken said:
It doesn't fit into the narrative that the republicans won a landslide and have been given a mandate.
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How one particular senate seat went has nothing to do with whether or not there was a mandate. Now you could say Minnesotans gave a mandate for Franken and the Democratic party.
If you are looking for a democratic mandate look at Hawaii or Rhode Island.

But overall... I won't go with the narrative instead lets try
"the republicans won by a lot and have been given the go ahead" for at least the next two years.
 
eeyore1954 said:
How one particular senate seat went has nothing to do with whether or not there was a mandate. Now you could say Minnesotans gave a mandate for Franken and the Democratic party.
If you are looking for a democratic mandate look at Hawaii or Rhode Island.

But overall... I won't go with the narrative instead lets try
"the republicans won by a lot and have been given the go ahead" for at least the next two years.
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That's nice and all but the topic was Al Franken and Minnesota, not any of the other elections.
 
Cylinder said:
There are zero Landrieu ads running in northern Louisiana.
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Wouldn't expect there to be. Well, maybe a token ad or two, but she's not getting any big support in Duck Dynasty Country. With control of the Senate not at stake, I don't expect to see a massive turnout of Dem voters in the blue districts, either. It wold take unprecedented campaigning - say Bubba and Obama together - to turn the run-off, and I don't think a one-seat change is worth it to them.
 
Cylinder said:
There are zero Landrieu ads running in northern Louisiana.
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I think she's toast and everyone knows it, including Landrieu herself.

The headline at Politico was "Fail Mary" when her bid to get a Keystone pipeline bill through the Senate failed by one vote. She's probably already making plans for her next career as some sort of lobbyist or the like. Losing may allow her to make more money anyway.
 
RandFan said:
BTW: Your sources are missing. I provided a precise time line of how many seats the Dems had at every juncture. You simply make assertions. Could you support your claims?
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2000 Senate elections:

As you can see, the Democrats and Republicans both ended up with 50 seats after the 2000 election. However:

...the Republicans won control of the chamber with the tie-breaking vote of the new Vice President Dick Cheney on January 20. The Republican majority would last until June 6, 2001 when Republican Senator Jim Jeffords of Vermont left the Republican Party, became an independent, and chose to caucus with the Democrats.
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Which resulted in Tom Daschle becoming the Senate Majority Leader:

However, on June 6, 2001, Senator Jim Jeffords of Vermont announced in that he was leaving the Senate Republican caucus to become an independent and to caucus with Democrats; this once again returned control of the body to the Democrats and Daschle again became Majority Leader.
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So for the first two years of Bush's first term, the Republicans held control of both houses of congress for only 4-1/2 months. Thus it is erroneous to claim as you did that the Republicans had control over both the Executive and Legislative branches for 6 years; in fact it was four years and four and a half months.
 
Brainster said:
2000 Senate elections:

As you can see, the Democrats and Republicans both ended up with 50 seats after the 2000 election. However:

Which resulted in Tom Daschle becoming the Senate Majority Leader:

So for the first two years of Bush's first term, the Republicans held control of both houses of congress for only 4-1/2 months. Thus it is erroneous to claim as you did that the Republicans had control over both the Executive and Legislative branches for 6 years; in fact it was four years and four and a half months.
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I've already conceded the point. The issue here is whether or not Bush enjoyed more partisan support than Obama who had control of both houses for about 4 months.

ETA: I edited this post as I was completely incompetent in reading your post. I apologize.
 
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manofthesea said:
Republicans now control both houses. Will there be a cross burning party on the south lawn, or will they wait until they take the presidency?
I imagine there will be vouchers (republicans love those) for assault rifles for every true American now.
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lol
Straight from the democrat play book. I'd like to congratulate the wonderful African americans who defeated their opponents, it seems many have had their eyes open to how the dems have used them over the years.
 
WildCat said:
Scott Walker easily wins reelection in Wisconsin by 14%. I guess any doubts they had about his policies were erased by comparing Wisconsin to Illinois lol.
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This win was very special, so much fun watching him defeat the dems AGAIN!
 
Polls close today at 8PM CST in the final round of voting in Louisiana's first-to-fifty jungle primary.

Obviously, the big prize is Mary Landrieu's senate seat. Polls show challenger Bill Cassidy with a comfortable lead in that race. Nate Silver gives Landrieu a 0.02% chance of being re-elected.

Also up for grabs are two House seats.

LA-5, currently a Republican seat pits newcomer Ralph Abraham (R) and Monroe mayor Jamie Mayo (D). Mayo faces a similar uphill battle as Landrieu - with 70% of the previous primary votes split between Republicans. [Mayo is a pretty decent administrator -- though colorful at times. He needs to stay on as Monroe's mayor.]

LA-6 -- which is bayou country and Bill Cassidy's current seat -- pits another Republican newcomer, Garret Graves against former Louisiana governor and convicted felon [but I repeat myself] Edwin Edwards. Graves maintains a comfortable lead -- with 65% of the vote in the November primary split between 3 Republicans.
 
Polls are closed. Way too early returns:

U. S. Senator
[8 of 4018 precincts reporting]

"Bill" Cassidy (R) 64% 99511
Mary L. Landrieu (D) 36% 57020

U. S. Representative -- 6th Congressional District
[1 of 575 precincts reporting]

Edwin Edwards (D) 35% 12211
Garret Graves (R) 65% 23061

U. S. Representative -- 5th Congressional District
[0 of 845 precincts reporting]

Ralph Lee Abraham (R) 66% 21596
"Jamie" Mayo (D) 34% 11205
 
Roughly halfway though the ballots:

U. S. Senator
[1712 of 4018 precincts reporting]

"Bill" Cassidy (R) 59% 356615
Mary L. Landrieu (D) 41% 248122

U. S. Representative -- 6th Congressional District
[262 of 575 precincts reporting]

Edwin Edwards (D) 34% 40215
Garret Graves (R) 66% 79669

U. S. Representative -- 5th Congressional District
[567 of 845 precincts reporting]

Ralph Lee Abraham (R) 62% 90871
"Jamie" Mayo (D) 38%
 
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