Jonquill:
I thought it was kind of obvious that you couldn't announce on Friday that you are going to do a test in a park on Sunday and expect four helpers to be available at such short notice with the equipment needed (folding chairs and tables, pens etc). Especially since I think she said she doesn't drive and would have to rely on others to transport those things.
But maybe Anita doesn't think of practicalities like that.
Six skeptics had already said that they were available this weekend. I had not received a final confirmation that is correct. Had I been able to reserve a location I would have called each of them and asked whether they will take part in it this weekend with the way that it has been arranged.
I will print and bring the forms, paperwork and all other material. No folding chairs or tables are necessary there is plenty of seating area everywhere and we can use clipboards to write on. There are people who can drive me there. I know that it wasn't all final or set but as soon as a location would have been reserved I would have made it work, one way or the other, even if some compromises would have been made. I want to have the study asap now that I'm ready with the paperwork.
UncaYimmy:
Anita, on your website it says, "For instance if the study reveals that I detect a certain condition 33% of the time, and a test requires me to identify the condition 10 times, then we would need at least 30 persons with the condition for the test."
That's not at all how it would work. I challenge you to find the flaws with that I have quoted, you know, since you're a straight A student and all. Hint: It involves statistics. You don't need the proper formulas, just use words to describe what the formula(s) would tell you.
Alright, UncaYimmy challenged me. Let's see... if I learn that I detect a certain ailment only 1 in 3 times when it exists in people, and the test requires me to find it ten times, then we need at least 30 people with the ailment and I just might be able to find ten claimed perceptions. At least 30 people means a minimum of 30 are required. These 30 people will of course be mixed in among a lot of other people who do
not have the ailment, something I did not mention, but the statement I made is true anyway. What is the right answer?
Coveredinbeeees:
Having a large number of sceptics trying alongside you sounds like a good way to find a base against which to compare your own results.
That startled me a little bit, encountering a friendly comment.
The question remains, to what extent would your results need to deviate from those of the sceptic group in order for you to consider further study worthwhile?
I don't know, I'm sorry. I'm just hoping that if there is no ability in accurately perceiving health information then that would be *obvious enough*. The main objectives of the study remain, to learn more about the paranormal claim. A non-ability might slip through the first study but it would be caught in a second study which I will design to be much more rigorous or the test, which ever would follow next.
Would you accept your "score" falling within the range obtained by a group of sceptics as evidence of no paranormal ability on your part?
Most likely yes. Unless their score somehow comes from them "checking all the boxes" or something silly like that. I am prepared to falsify a non-ability, yes.
How would you incorporate such a control group into your study?
I would like to suggest that when a particular FACT Skeptic is being viewed by me then all the other skeptics who feel willing will also try to fill in a form relating to that person. Then we can see what that brings about.
It is late so I hope you'll excuse me not going back through the thread to check, but I believe you mentioned a special meeting of your sceptic group happening for part of your study. If so you should consider asking some of the members to bring friends who can act as the subjects of the study while you and the group of sceptics act as viewers.
Here and
here. No, I want the skeptics to also be volunteers to be seen by me. This time, and not later, since the longer we wait to do that the more cold reading could have been available. Of course each skeptic has the choice whether to participate in being the volunteer. I will send them an e-mail to remind them that if they attend the next meeting it is their choice whether to participate as volunteers to be seen by me, and a reminder that there are ways to ensure that their answers in the forms remain anonymous. Since we will be a smaller group I suggest that the identification numbers in the top margins although printed on the papers are
concealed during the time of the study so that no one can *remember* who had what number. Since I print the volunteer's health form, claimant's health form, and skeptic's health forms in threes all with the same identification number and I then staple these threes together, the numbers can at that point be concealed and we can ensure that they are detached and distributed carefully as belonging to one particular volunteer so that papers don't get mixed up. Also I suggest that the question of year of birth or age is not included this time if we want to better ensure anonymity in the questions.
My concern is that using sceptics from the group as subjects would be complicated due to the viewers and subjects having associated in the past. Presumably everyone knows who had flu last month or an operation last year and the like, within the group.
Yes but I don't know them very well. Some cold reading is available for the study I know that, but the point is it is still possible to reveal a non-ability and to learn more. This is not a test.
I am not sure what you mean by higher frequency above. Do you mean to say that you expect to mark down more ailments for a given subject than the average sceptic in a group reading?
Higher frequency as in detecting a particular type of ailment more times total among all the volunteers seen, and the control persons who also fill in forms by looking at volunteers would claim to detect those ailments fewer times than I did. Something like that. *unscientific*
I would expect a sceptic taking part in this would be duty bound to play the odds and mark ailments they would expect the subject to have based on age and gender even if they can't tell for sure that they are present.
You bet. The skeptics who also fill in forms and try to do what I do are encouraged to use any cold reading or other skills that they can think of to try to produce the highest possible correlation! It is highly encouraged! It is not clearly defined but should give some idea.
In any event I expect that the frequency of answers is less of a factor than the accuracy of answers.
Good point.
Akhenaten:
Since we all appear to be connected to the internet, we don't need to create transcripts of emails in order to divulge their contents. There is technology available which allows us to simply forward complete emails to multiple recipients. Perhaps you don't have any skeptics email addresses?
I think paranormal investigations are interesting
(when conducted properly and with full intent of following it through) and I am enjoying the exercise of a scientific investigation into an unusual experience that I was unable to falsify on my own. I have decided to make my investigation public access since it might interest others who are interested in science, pseudoscience, and paranormal claims. That is why I wanted to make the e-mail correspondence between me and Park and Recreation public. To simply e-mail it to one or a few would not serve that purpose. However, I suspect that perhaps you are hoping to receive forwarded e-mails from Park and Recreation so that you can inspect whether they in fact did come from such a sender. So I will send them to you and you can do your skeptical analysis on them.

I'll send you a friendly e-mail.
You seem to be settling into this title, but it sucks. How about "Vibrationalist"?
No in this regard I am a paranormal claimant.
It's "conduct". Conduction is something that physics students might learn about in regard to electricity. Maybe.
Sorry. Not only am I Swedish but I am also a Physics student. It was bound to happen.

It is too late to go and change it now. The whole world has seen it. Thank you, Akhenaten, I am very
gradient grateful that you detected my
magnetism mistake. I had no
induction intention of coming across with such
interference inaccuracy.