Praktik
Philosopher
- Joined
- Oct 26, 2007
- Messages
- 5,244
A few more years?
Try "a couple more decades of Saddam" if you want to frame the question in a realistic temporal scale. The question of "can he be contained" was "sorta" by the various UN sanctions regimes. Trouble is, the containment was eroding, starting in the mid 1990's, with itching and grumbling among numerous parties who had approved sanctions. Containment is not so much of a solution as an "all we can manage."
Does that meet your "good enough" standard?
DR
Actually yes. I believe more Iraqis would be happier, healthier and alive if the Americans didn't launch their invasion and occupation. Of course, the sanctions regime would have needed to be re-tooled (really, this should have been done in the 90s) so that people could get their medecines and graphite pencils (yes, graphite pencils were apparently "dual use" technology) and not have to brave drinking dirty water. EDIT: we should really add the hundreds of thousands of Iraqis that died due to deprivation under this sanctions regime to the "death total" caused by American policy in Iraq.
I do think that another decade under the same sanctions regime and Saddam would have been pretty miserable for the Iraqis. But also - the Shia/Sunni split would not have been aggravated - the consequences of which WILL be played out over a "realistic timeframe" of decades - and not just in Iraq.
If american policy were not so afraid of a Shiite government there, maybe the uprising in 1992 would have had American support and been more successful. Instead, they allowed "exceptions" for Saddam's helicopters to fly around in the no-fly zones and mop up anyone their ground troops didn't nail for their resistance.
So my criticism of American policy here goes back further than 2003, all the way back to the eighties really, when everyone was quite pleased to let the Iraqis live under Saddam's thumb, as long as he kept the Shiites in Southern Iraq under control and as long as he was gassing Iranian troops and Iranian villages.
Iraq would have been better off without American involvement - and they would have been WAY better off if American policy was truly geared to their best interests, instead of the self-interest of the American policy apparatus.
If America was truly there to build a better Iraq - and if the lives of ordinary Iraqis were really even a small part of the calculus to invade - then there would have been 500 000 troops on the ground and a lot less aerial bombardment.
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