Time stamped prediction

HarryKeogh said:
ever think those people that make predictions like this are hoping in the back of their mind that something happens, however tragic, just to make their prediction seem accurate?

nah, I'm sure none of them think that way.
Click to expand...

Of course they wouldn't. That would mean that they wish for the destruction of human life, often on a grand scale, just so they can be right.

Pretty much the mindset of a serial killer or a megalomaniacal dictator, when you think of it.

Nah, I'm sure you are right: None of them think that way....
 
Interesting Ian said:


WOW!! Yes. Yet further evidence for the skeptical belief system. Idiots :rolleyes:
Click to expand...

No, simply another demonstration of basic rationality.

Rolleyes, shrugs, plus other artfully considered spontanious affectations and twitches.
 
Interesting Ian said:
WOW!! Yes. Yet further evidence for the skeptical belief system. Idiots
Click to expand...

Hey, scooter, sorry if the other people on your side are into making predictions which are, without fail, wrong.

I suppose we're idiots because that guy didn't turn everyone at TAM2 blind as well, right?
 
Interesting Ian said:
WOW!! Yes. Yet further evidence for the skeptical belief system. Idiots :rolleyes:
Click to expand...

A prediction that does not come true...what does that mean, Ian?
 
Interesting Ian said:


WOW!! Yes. Yet further evidence for the skeptical belief system. Idiots :rolleyes:
Click to expand...

Many posts by "II" on these boards - nothing of value said.
(no smiley here - because I'm serious)
______________________________________________

OK - where is that post by Luci where (s)he admits that;
- the prediction failed
- perhap (s)he needs to rethink their belief system


;)

Barkhorn.
 
CFLarsen said:


That predictions about the future can be made the way Lucianarchy claims.
Click to expand...

I agree with CFLarsen. However, I think the theory in question here is that "Lucianarchy can predict the future". I agree the negative result certainly supports the hypothesis that she cannot.

However, I don't think the result provides any support one way or the other to the hypothesis that no one else can do it. That's the problem; the Ian's of the world want us to hunt all these claimants down one by one and prove they can't do it. Even still, we haven't proven that Lucianarchy can't do it the next time. That is unprovable, so we cannot win.

Our position, which we believe to be rational, is that we will choose to believe that no one can predict the future (with better than random success), until someone proves they can. Ian's position is that until we prove it is impossible, than it might be possible. We cannot prove a negative, so we cannot win (if we define winning by changing Ian's mind, which we cannot do).
 
In case anyone's curious about Lucianarchy's own assessment of the prediction, on the Fortean Times messageboard Lucianarchy claimed success, based on yesterday's attack in Falluja.
 
JamesM said:
In case anyone's curious about Lucianarchy's own assessment of the prediction, on the Fortean Times messageboard Lucianarchy claimed success, based on yesterday's attack in Falluja.
Click to expand...

Wow. Who could have predicted he/she would do that?:D
 
Lucianarchy said:
But I do still have the strong perception that a particualrly awful attack against a 'Western' target is in there for 14th Feb. I fear that there could be hundreds + of casualties.
Click to expand...

Bold mine
 
El Greco said:


Bold mine
Click to expand...

Seems to have also missed the fact that the 14th attack being claimed as the event wasn't in fact against a "Western" target but we shouldn't let mere details like that count against a prediction...
 
It can be argued (as Lucianarchy appears to) that as the security apparatus of the current Iraqi regime was installed by the coalition, it is a Western target.

Personally, I think that's a stretch too far.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.

Back
Top Bottom