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The Truth about RFK Jr

At Science Based Medicine Jonathan Howard quoted another article on the leaked memo. "In his memo, Prasad also wrote that “pneumonia vaccine makers will have to show their products reduce pneumonia,” at least after they’re licensed, rather than provide indirect evidence of protection, such as antibody levels. Prasad appears to refer to a childhood pneumonia vaccine that blocks infections with pneumococcus bacteria, which has been updated and improved several times over the years...Pneumococcal vaccines on the market today are approved based on antibody levels that correlate with protection and have been validated over decades, Scott said. Proving that childhood vaccines prevent cases of pneumonia would be difficult, Scott said, because so many pathogens can cause pneumonia, including the flu, COVID-19 and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV). Requiring manufacturers to conduct additional clinical trials every time they want to add additional viral or bacterial strains would delay updates by several years, all the while leaving people vulnerable to the bacteria, Reiss said. Some companies may decide that conducting such trials is too expensive."
The object of vaccinating against pneumococcus (pneumonia) is not to prevent pneumonia, but to prevent the far more deadly conditions pneumococcal meningitis and pneumococcal sepsis, jointly termed invasive pneumococcal disease. It does have some impact on pneumonia, but this is less deadly and not the object of vaccination. The only way to prove efficacy other than using surrogate markers is to do placebo controlled trials which would mean denying a vaccine proven to save lives to a large group of infants.

It is depressing that someone in charge of vaccination doesn't know what condition the vaccine is intended to prevent.

 
The object of vaccinating against pneumococcus (pneumonia) is not to prevent pneumonia, but to prevent the far more deadly conditions pneumococcal meningitis and pneumococcal sepsis, jointly termed invasive pneumococcal disease. It does have some impact on pneumonia, but this is less deadly and not the object of vaccination. The only way to prove efficacy other than using surrogate markers is to do placebo controlled trials which would mean denying a vaccine proven to save lives to a large group of infants.

It is depressing that someone in charge of vaccination doesn't know what condition the vaccine is intended to prevent.

It's like placing people who think government should not exist in charge of the government.
 
Jess Steier and colleagues (Unbiased Science) wrote, "But there is one lever being positioned in the background, and it’s likely one you’ve never heard of but has profound implications, even for states doing all they can to protect vaccine protection: The Advisory Commission on Childhood Vaccines (or ACCV). Why are we bringing this up now? The Federal Register quietly published a notice of a meeting on December 29th for this commission. Four brief sessions in a single afternoon. At 30-minute intervals."

The committee oversees vaccine injury compensation. "Kennedy has floated adding autism to the Vaccine Injury Compensation Program. But explicitly adding “autism” to the table would directly challenge the legal precedent set by the Omnibus Autism Proceedings. The more likely play is the one he’s also said publicly: broadening the definitions of encephalopathy and encephalitis so autism cases qualify through the back door instead. Either path leads to the same destination: the destruction of the program itself."

Dr. Steier and colleagues briefly review what is known about autism and discuss support for families. "The overwhelming body of evidence suggests that autism begins during pregnancy, not in toddlerhood when vaccines are given. We know this now with far more certainty than we did even a decade ago...But as Dorit Reiss, a law professor at UC Law San Francisco, points out: “We should have more direct support — disability funding, disability aid. Kennedy has been taking HHS in the opposite direction, cutting services where we need more.”"

They point out, "And, ironically, without this program, families with legitimate vaccine injuries would be hurt most of all. They would be pushed back into the civil litigation system, where outcomes depend on jury sympathy, not science; where cases take years; and where only those who can afford prolonged legal battles have a chance at compensation...Want more? We put together a briefing over at The Evidence Collective.
 
They point out, "And, ironically, without this program, families with legitimate vaccine injuries would be hurt most of all. They would be pushed back into the civil litigation system, where outcomes depend on jury sympathy, not science; where cases take years; and where only those who can afford prolonged legal battles have a chance at compensation...
Although it was this state of affairs that led to vaccine manufacturers leaving the American market until the National Childhood Vaccine Injury Act of 1986 and it's compensation program.
 
At SBM David Gorski criticized the new 1.6 million dollar grant to study Hep B in South Guinea. "Specifically, RFK Jr. appears to have quietly funneled $1.6 million of CDC funds to support an unethical randomized controlled trial in Africa that reminded me of a modern equivalent of the Tuskegee syphilis experiment...in this post I will attempt to show you why this study is unethical, not justified based on the science, and reeks of cronyism...Unsurprisingly as well, as has been reported in articles on various news and commentary websites, there are ties between one of the investigators and FDA officials that produce an acrid stench of cronyism. Specifically, Stabell Benn is buds with Dr. Tracy Beth Høeg, who before the pandemic was a sports medicine physician with no experience in vaccinology but during the pandemic became a prominent influencer by promoting COVID-19 contrarianism and anti-COVID vaccine misinformation."
 
In 2010 Dr. Gorski wrote about clinical equipoise. He stated, "The ethics of clinical trials, however, demand a characteristic known as clinical equipoise. Stated briefly, for purposes of clinical trials, clinical equipoise demands that at the time a clinical trial is being carried out there be a state of genuine scientific uncertainty in the medical community over which of the drugs or treatments being tested is more efficacious and safer. One reason (among many) why the Gonzalez trial was completely unethical was a lack of clinical equipose. (Lack of adequate informed consent was another.) Lack of clinical equipoise is also the reason why a prospective randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled clinical trial testing an unvaccinated group versus a vaccinated control group to determine whether vaccines cause autism would be completely unethical. Such a trial would egregiously violate the principle of clinical equipoise because the unvaccinated group would be left unprotected against potentially life-threatening vaccine-preventable diseases, and that is completely unacceptable from an ethical perspective. Consequently, we have had to rely on on the accumulation of data from less rigorous trial designs to demonstrate that there is no correlation between vaccines and autism. Even so, the accumulated weight of such evidence is enough, and for some questions that is the best we can do because scientific rigor sometimes conflicts with human subjects research ethics. This is an extreme example of lack of clinical equipoise, but it illustrates the point. If we know (or have good scientific reason to suspect) that one treatment is better than another, it is unethical to randomize patients to the arm that receives what is, based on what is known at the time of the trial, likely to be an inferior treatment."
 
Henry Miller took another break from writing novels, this time to discuss the FDA's possible black box warning on Covid-19 vaccines at SBM. He wrote, "For more than half a century, the FDA’s “black box” warning on drug labels has served as the agency’s strongest regulatory signal—a red flag reserved for medicines that carry a clear, serious, and well-established risk of death or irreversible harm. Opioids earn black boxes because they kill tens of thousands of Americans each year through addiction and overdose...Against that backdrop, the reported plan by the FDA to impose a black box warning on COVID-19 vaccines is not merely misguided—it would constitute professional malfeasance that risks undermining one of the greatest public-health achievements of the past century."

Dr Miller continued, "As Harvard regulatory expert Dr. Aaron Kesselheim has noted, black box decisions usually involve a discernible process: public notification, advisory committee review, and open discussion of the evidence. In this case, there has been no advisory committee, no publicly released analysis, and no explanation of what new data—if any—justify elevating COVID-19 vaccines into the FDA’s most dangerous category."

Of the Covid-19 vaccines he stated, "Before authorization, they were tested in randomized, placebo-controlled trials involving roughly 75,000 participants. After authorization, they were administered to hundreds of millions of Americans and more than 13 billion people worldwide, with safety monitored through multiple overlapping systems: clinical trials, active surveillance networks, national registries, and pharmacovigilance programs across more than 90 countries...As Dr. Angela Rasmussen, a virologist and co-editor-in-chief of the journal Vaccine, has noted, a black box warning signals that a product is inherently dangerous. That message would be broadcast not only to U.S. patients, but globally—handing anti-vaccine movements a powerful new talking point, stamped with FDA authority."
 
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On the subject of the proposed Hepatitis B study discussed in a previous comment, Dr. David Gorski quoted Dr. Jake Scott: "In evidence-based policy, you gather data and then make a decision,” Scott said. “This is the reverse. CDC made the policy decision and then funded research to back it up. When you commission research after making a decision, you’re not looking for answers—you’re looking for validation." Dr. Gorski continued, "It is, as our very own Dr. Jonathan Howard put it, “policy-based evidence making.”"
 
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(back to the new Hep B study) Dr. David Gorski quoted Dr. Jake Scott: "In evidence-based policy, you gather data and then make a decision,” Scott said. “This is the reverse. CDC made the policy decision and then funded research to back it up. When you commission research after making a decision, you’re not looking for answers—you’re looking for validation." Dr. Gorski continued, "It is, as our very own Dr. Jonathan Howard put it, “policy-based evidence making.”"
Doing the science backwards. Absolutely the hallmark of all crackpot science.
 
Jake Scott wrote a brief history of the childhood vaccine schedule in the US at the Conversation (and republished at CNN). He said, "One fact often surprises parents: Despite the increase in recommended vaccines, the number of immune-stimulating molecules in those vaccines, called antigens, has dropped dramatically since the 1980s, which means they are less demanding on a child’s immune system. The whole-cell pertussis vaccine used in the 1980s alone contained roughly 3,000 antigens. Today’s entire schedule contains fewer than 160 antigens, thanks to advances in vaccine technology that allow precise targeting of only the components needed for protection."
 
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Joe Rogan confuses measles and chicken pox
 
At SBM Jonathan Howard quoted John Ioannidis: "“I do worry that taking the stance that ‘Everything was perfect, and now comes Jay Bhattacharya and destroys everything’ is very problematic,” says Stanford physician-scientist John Ioannidis. “We need some shaking up and we need that to happen rigorously. If we don’t, it will be done with political means.”" Dr. Howard continued, "In reality, Dr. Bhattacharya openly campaigned for Ron DeSantis and Kennedy last year and he continues to fluff Trump and give overtly political, religious speeches at Turning Point USA to this day. Science doesn’t have to be dominated by the “political left” according to Dr. Bhattacharya."
 
If Trump rescues the economy, ends all wars, and gives everyone a new car, he's still be responsible for this dangerous, feckless, lying mother ◊◊◊◊◊◊ and should be out on his fat as for this alone.
 
At Science-Based Medicine David Gorski reflected on 2025, writing "That’s not all, however. All branches of HHS, including CDC, FDA, and NIH have embraced purges, censorship, canceled clinical trials, and shuttered labs, using a combination of techniques, including firings (RIFs), massive budget cuts proposed in the 2026 budget (such as a 40% cut to the NIH budget), and weaponizing federal grants to force universities to comply with repression of free speech and free academic inquiry. As a cancer specialist, I find it particularly egregious that, as fellow SBM blogger Dr. Jonathan Howard pointed out yesterday, such budget cuts disrupted 383 clinical trials, affecting 74,000 trial participants, with some real horror stories about patients on clinical trials out there..."
 
Dr. Gorski also wrote, " Dr. Jay Bhattacharya is, of course, a coauthor of the Great Barrington Declaration, that famous anti-public health manifesto calling for a “let ‘er rip” approach to the pandemic—in October 2020, before there was a vaccine!—with the futile goal of achieving “natural herd immunity,” with a poorly defined strategy of “focused protection” that would supposedly keep those most vulnerable to severe disease and death from COVID-19 while the presumably young and healthy died at a much lower rate than the elderly and ill as the virus rampaged through the population. It was a tendentiously libertarian and profoundly social Darwinist approach to “open up the economy” at the expense of disease and death that never would have worked and ultimately caused enormous damage to public health."
 
In 1918 it was not known what caused influenza; the influenza virus was not discovered until 1933. The bottom line is that a vaccine virus could never have been imagined in 1918.
Yet the smallpox vaccine (smallpox being a virus) was introduced over a hundred years earlier. So this argument is false.
 
N. Adam Brown discussed RFK Jr's first year at MedPageToday: "Equally alarming is the quiet culling of experienced leadership at CMS, FDA, NIH, and the CDC. Generations of institutional knowledge have been purged. Scientists, epidemiologists, regulatory experts, and policy leaders are goneopens in a new tab or window. These civil servants -- who could have earned millions of dollars in the private sector but chose a life of contribution to the public good instead -- have knowledge borne from weathering pandemics, building vaccine programs, modernizing drug approval pathways, and stabilizing insurance markets."
 

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