Regarding "the case for nuclear power" (2007-02-15), there is absolutely no need for nuclear power in the UK (or anywhere else in Europe or the USA) because there is a simple mature technology that can deliver huge amounts of clean energy without any of the headaches of nuclear power.
I refer to 'concentrating solar power' (CSP), the technique of concentrating sunlight using mirrors to create heat, and then using the heat to raise steam and drive turbines and generators, just like a conventional power station. It is possible to store solar heat in melted salts so that electricity generation may continue through the night or on cloudy days. This technology has been generating electricity successfully in California since 1985 and half a million Californians currently get their electricity from this source. CSP plants are now being planned or built in many parts of the world.
CSP works best in hot deserts and, of course, there are not many of these in Europe! But it is feasible and economic to transmit solar electricity over very long distances using highly-efficient 'HVDC' transmission lines. With transmission losses at about 3% per 1000 km, solar electricity may, for example, be transmitted from North Africa to London with only about 10% loss of power. A large-scale HVDC transmission grid has also been proposed by the wind energy company Airtricity as a means of optimising the use of wind power throughout Europe. A recent report from the American Solar Energy Society says that CSP plants in the south western states of the US "could provide nearly 7,000 GW of capacity, or ***about seven times the current total US electric capacity***" (emphasis added).
In the recent 'TRANS-CSP' report commissioned by the German government, it is estimated that CSP electricity, imported from North Africa and the Middle East, could become one of the cheapest sources of electricity in Europe, including the cost of transmission. That report shows in great detail how Europe can meet all its needs for electricity, make deep cuts in CO2 emissions, and phase out nuclear power at the same time.
Further information about CSP may be found at the websites for TREC-UK and TREC . Copies of the TRANS-CSP report may be downloaded from the TREC-UK website . The many problems associated with nuclear power are summarised on the website "From Greenhouse to Green House" .
First of all, you have your plants confused. The only plants in California that use storage were Solar One (which used water and ran from 1982 to 1988) and Solar Two (which used molten salt and ran from 1996 to 1999). The water one was largely unsucessful at generating heat away from peak hours. The salt plant had only three hours of storage for its power -- that isn't nearly enough to run continuously. Neither were used for commercial power production. Both were 10MW plants, which are very small. A generation III+ nuclear plant, by comparison, is 1100-1600MW, depending on the design. The next step in this plant design's development is a 150MW plant being planned in Spain. This one will have a bigger tank, capable of storing 600MWh worth of salt, which sounds impressive until you consider that is only four hours worth of operation.
Call me skeptical, but I'm not going to be impressed until I see one that is much larger. I am familar with molten salt as a heating fluid from my studies -- molten salt nuclear reactors have been on the drawing board since the 60's. The problem is that molten salt is an incredibly difficult material to work with, and there is no reason to believe that the success of a 10MW plant can be scaled up to a 1000MW plant.
The "half a million homes" you are talking about are probably powered by the SEGS in California. The SEGS is a parabolic solar plant that has been operating since 1985. It has no power storage. It is rated at 350MW, which means it makes 350MW of electricity at the peak of a clear summer day. When the sun goes away, the plant stops making electricity (and the load probably shifts to a coal plant). Nuclear plants, on the other hand, operate continuously, except during scheduled outages. Owners of nuclear plants don't have to read weather reports to find out how much electricity they'll be producing on a given day.
Saying that these plants could provide 7000 GW of capacity is misleading too, for two reasons. First, the scalability of this technology is yet to be proven. Second, they don't give any important accompanying terms like cost or area required. They could make 7000 GW if they litter the desert with 700,000 of these 10MW plants, sure. Of course, a proponent of nuclear power could reply by simply saying that the same could be achieved by building 7000 of Westinghouse's new AP1000 power plants. It is really easy to do that when you only talk about raw power generation and none of the pesky details like cost, reliability, or the lack of a proof of scalable concept.
As for your transmission ideas, I'm sorry but you are falling for some good PR. First of all, HVDC power lines are very expensive. If you factor in the cost of building a distribution system that runs across the country (or across a continent), you are going to drive the cost of generation through the roof. Second, HVDC has to operate on one synchronized frequency. England, northern Europe, and central Europe are unsynchronized. Different regions in the US are unsynchronized. If you want to generate lots of power in one area and then ship that power to lots of different regions, you are going to have a big (and expensive) mess on your hands. Third, HVDC lines must be actively controlled. Current power lines are passive -- the properties of the power line regulate the flow of electricity. HVDC lines have to be regulated by a controller. This makes them more costly and dificult to manage. In short, what you are proposing would require a near complete and very expensive overhaul of the electricity grids in North America and Europe.
HVDC lines were developed in the 1930s. They haven't been implimented on a large scale in any western nation. The largest I could find is used to carry 10-20MW of electricity. What makes you think this can be scaled up to transmit the power for a whole country?
In addition to that, are you seriously proposing that Europe generate all of its power in Africa and transmit it to the countries that use it? I shouldn't have to explain the potentially huge consequences of relying on generation and transmission in regions that are not exactly politically stable. I don't think the British, for example, would be too keen on the idea that several well placed attacks or acts of sabatoge could cause their whole nation to go dark.
Solar technology is nothing new, so don't pretend like you are revealing a cure-all answer to us all. That plant in California has been running for over 20 years now. If it is so successful, then why haven't more been built? I'll tell you why. They aren't built because they are expensive and unreliable.
There is promise in solar and wind, but they are nowhere near ready to take on a signifficant role in providing electricity to the world. Unfortunately, we don't have time to sit on our hands. China is building a new coal plant
every week. Coal and natural gas plants are being constructed all over the planet as we speak (type). Something has to be done
now, and we can't wait for solar to live up to the promises it has been making for decades.
The bottom line is that we need proven technology. Nobody has ever proven that what you are proposing can be done. You are talking about technology which has never been used to make more than 10MW of electricity, scaling it up to 7,000 GW, and then transmitting it using a yet to be developed grid which uses line technology that has never been used to move more than 20MW at one time. Nuclear, on the other hand, is proven technology. There are existing 20-30 year old plants that already make more than 800 MW each. The new designs build on this and are more impressive. Westinghouse's AP1000, which produces over 1100 MW and is based on the proven AP600 design, is already licensed in the US. GE's new ESBWR is based on their proven 1350MW ABWR design which is operating in Japan. AREVA's 1600MW EPR is being built in Finland and is moving towards licensing in the US. This is proven next-generation technology that can get us off of fossil fuels for baseload electricity production.
You'll have to forgive my passion on this issue, but my wife is three months pregnant with our first child and I know that there is a greater chance that that child will have respiratory problems now than there has ever been in the past. And every time I see anti-nuclear protests or read anti-nuclear posts it causes my heart to sink because, even though they don't mean it, those people are aiding the coal industry that is poisoning our air.