Current thought is that the two surviving chimp species separated from each other about 2 million years ago- though that's based on genetic clocks rather than fossils. The common chimp line and the human separated about 6 million years ago.
This is roughly a quarter of a million generations ago. Plenty time for gradual drift to accumulate the .5-2% DNA difference.
On this question of ratchets and "hopeful monsters"- It seems to me that while a sudden, major mutation in a germ line is most likely to result in the non viability of any generated offspring- ie they die before birth, or before sexual maturity, or are themselves infertile- there is another possibility. If there is a chemical or structural reason why a particular chromosome might split (for example) into two- and if that tendency results in a small percentage of individuals in a population carrying the mutation at any time, then
1. Those individuals may be unable to breed with "normals" of their own or previous generations, while appearing in every way
normal themselves.
but
2. They may be able to breed with other individuals carrying the same mutation.
If this happens even once in a population, the mutation may become sexually inherited in several members of the next generation. We now have two breeding groups in the same population, physically together, but genetically isolated.
In small, nomadic browsing populations, this could rapidly lead to the development of two separate species.
This is roughly a quarter of a million generations ago. Plenty time for gradual drift to accumulate the .5-2% DNA difference.
On this question of ratchets and "hopeful monsters"- It seems to me that while a sudden, major mutation in a germ line is most likely to result in the non viability of any generated offspring- ie they die before birth, or before sexual maturity, or are themselves infertile- there is another possibility. If there is a chemical or structural reason why a particular chromosome might split (for example) into two- and if that tendency results in a small percentage of individuals in a population carrying the mutation at any time, then
1. Those individuals may be unable to breed with "normals" of their own or previous generations, while appearing in every way
normal themselves.
but
2. They may be able to breed with other individuals carrying the same mutation.
If this happens even once in a population, the mutation may become sexually inherited in several members of the next generation. We now have two breeding groups in the same population, physically together, but genetically isolated.
In small, nomadic browsing populations, this could rapidly lead to the development of two separate species.