Prediction - August 4th 2004

Prester John said:
Is there any evidence to suggest that failed predictions have any rationalising effects on psychics?

Will this failed prediction make it into Luci's signature?

Win - don't lose option for Luci.
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What I'll be most interested in, would be to see his list of recorded predictions. Every time he gets one, he writes it down. It could be very interesting to see how often he claims a hit, and how he argues that they were hits.

Of course, we will never see this list, as we will never see evidence of his fantastic results at the Koestler Institute....
 
No word from one of our most prolifoc posters yet. Are we having bets?

Mine is that he will stay away for a couple of days, then return and try to pretend he has forgotten all about it.

.... Of course he will be reminded :rolleyes:.

Hans
 
Are you guys all nuts? Didn't you see this story? Almost a million dead.

I, for one, will never doubt Loonyanarchy again. :crazy:
 
My bet for an excuse: "So many of you said I should contact the appropriate authorities that I thought about it, and after getting another flash of insight that revealed to me where the attack was going to take place, I phoned 911. Of course, you won't read about this in the newspapers..."
 
CFLarsen said:
Remember when he blamed me for messing up his prediction of the England-Portugal soccer match? England was "cheated", and it was a conspiracy that went deep. Very deep: The Swedish referee made sure of that (He was supposedly tipped off by me!). Only the ref was Swiss, not Swedish.

How Lucianarchy tried to salvage that one? By claiming that "SWiss" and "SWeden" were similar....

Source
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I just read that thread. :eek: :eek: :eek:

Please somebody tell me Luci was joking and had his tongue firmly in his cheek:
Since the Danes and Swedes are obviously in cahoots in this tournament, it is highly possible that a Dane tipped off the ref about the prediciton, thus messing up the most likely post-quantum probable outcome.
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followed by
Yes, but, "Sw" Swedish..... "Sw" Swiss..... the similarities, the similarities.
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Nobody could possibly mean this seriously!

Rolfe.

PS. I take it it's now very definitely Thursday (or later) everywhere?
 
BPSCG said:
Are you guys all nuts? Didn't you see this story? Almost a million dead.

I, for one, will never doubt Loonyanarchy again. :crazy:
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I'm surprized that the headline wasn't "A Million Croakers Croak!", but that definitely qualifies.
And I am starting to seriously consider that the attention whore has been putting us on all along.
 
Doubt said:
Counter prediction for August 4, 2004:

I perceive that something good will occur that day. An postive action or event at a Western "target" (UK, USA, Europe).

Should not take too much to find one or more events that will make my prediction true. I wonder how many bad events we can find for Luci.

Being vague is such a great way to liberate ones self from responsibility and honesty.
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Luci was wrong and I was right.

The Dow Jones finished higher on the 4th. That was a good thing happening at a western target.

I am 100 times better at psychic predictions and Luci. What is 100 times nothing equal to again?
:D
 
Doubt said:
Luci was wrong and I was right.

The Dow Jones finished higher on the 4th. That was a good thing happening at a western target.

I am 100 times better at psychic predictions and Luci. What is 100 times nothing equal to again?
:D
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I supplied a non-psychic prediction for Lucian that was 100% "accurate" in its description of an earthquake. Lucian called it "vague" without ever deeming to explain why.

As for another good thing that happened on the 4th: the Daleks are back!

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/entertainment/tv_and_radio/3535588.stm
 
thus messing up the most likely post-quantum probable outcome.
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"Post-quantum"????

The random use of the word "quantum" probably irritates me more than any other pseudo-scientific gibberish. This usage is new to me, though. What the hell is "post-quantum" supposed to be?
 
I think Luci has done something valuable her, though. Psychics tend to be very good at "predictions after the fact" (for lack of a better term); for example seeing an event and coming up with a rationalization as to how that event fit something vague that they said in the past. However, when they say beforehand "such and such a thing will happen at a particular time" they tend to fall down flat on their faces.

Between the last time that Luci predicted an attack on a western target and later said that the attack on the police station in Fallujah was it, and this one, where he/she gave more specifics thus eliminating a lot of wiggle room (i.e. saying that it would involve 90+ casualties prevented counting a lot of tragic but small scale events as a hit) he/she demonstrated that principle beautifully.
 
I just wanted to gloat....

Luci was WRAU-ONG!!! WRONG! WRONG! R-R-R-RAW...AUNG!!! WRONG! MissTook'n FALSCH!!! B-z-z-z-z-z Wrongaroni and Wrongaroo G-O-N-G-G - G - G !!!!! :D Hit the Road, Jack... an' don't come back, nomore no more no MORE, NO More!!!! Luci was WRAU-ONG!!! WRONG! WRONG! R-R-R-RAW...AUNG!!! WRONG! MissTook'n FALSCH!!! B-z-z-z-z-z Wrongaroni and Wrongaroo G-O-N-G-G - G - G !!!!! Hit the Road, Jack... an' don't come back, nomore no more no MORE, NO More!!!! Luci was WRAU-ONG!!! WRONG! WRONG! R-R-R-RAW...AUNG!!! :cool: WRONG! MissTook'n FALSCH!!! B-z-z-z-z-z Wrongaroni and Wrongaroo G-O-N-G-G - G - G !!!!! Hit the Road, Jack... an' don't come back, nomore no more no MORE, NO More!!!! Luci was WRAU-ONG!!! WRONG! WRONG! R-R-R-RAW...AUNG!!! WRONG! MissTook'n FALSCH!!! B-z-z-z-z-z Wrongaroni and Wrongaroo G-O-N-G-G - G - G !!!!! Hit the Road, Jack... an' don't come back, nomore no more no MORE, NO More!!!! Luci was WRAU-ONG!!! WRONG! WRONG! R-R-R-RAW...AUNG!!! WRONG! MissTook'n FALSCH!!! B-z-z-z-z-z Wrongaroni and Wrongaroo G-O-N-G-G - G - G !!!!! Hit the Road, Jack... an' don't come back, nomore no more no MORE, NO More!!!! Luci was WRAU-ONG!!! WRONG! WRONG! R-R-R-RAW...AUNG!!! WRONG! MissTook'n FALSCH!!! B-z-z-z-z-z Wrongaroni and Wrongaroo G-O-N-G-G - G - G !!!!! :D Hit the Road, Jack... an' don't come back, nomore no more no MORE, NO More!!!!



Sometimes you just need to take a moment...
sit back....
and enjoy the superior feeling that comes from rejecting the "woo"
 
Nyarlathotep,

I agree. We can all learn a valuable lesson here. The case of Lucianarchy is very helpful to skepticism. We see almost every kind of Superstitious behavior from him.
 
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