Rolfe
Adult human female
Well, since the thread is supposed to be about conspiracy theories surrounding Pan Am 103, why not go for it.
I'm frankly baffled by the blatant political agenda behind the continuing machinations to keep Megrahi identified as "the Lockerbie bomber", denying both any recognition of the huge flaws in the original indictment and judgement, and a fair appeal hearing. This has been the policy of successive UK governments (Conservative at the time of the bombing and investigation, Labour at the time of the trial), and Scottish governments (Labour/LibDem coalition at the time of the trial, SNP at the time of the compassionate release). They're all in it.
The decision of the SNP to toe the line and continue the charade is to me quite inexplicable, as that party had never been in power at all before 2007, and wasn't involved in any way in the investigation or the trial. Indeed the general mood music in SNP ranks over the years was that the trial was a stitch-up. But as soon as an SNP government was in control of the agenda, it fell into line and continued with the cover-up.
Here's an interesting article from early 2009, while the second appeal was still in progress, before the whole "if you want to go home to die you better drop that appeal" thing got going.
Lockerbie verdict was a "negotiated outcome" says UN observer. Verdict of "diplomatic convenience" was reached.
This is an extraordinary accusation, but it comes from a professor of law who was the official UN observer to the trial, not a raving twoofer. It is also supported by the actual events.
There is a school of thought that maintains the present cover-up is simply a cover-up of the original cover-up. That the motivation of those who are so exercised to keep Megrahi branded as "the Lockerbie bomber" NOW, is merely to avoid the embarrassment to the Scottish criminal justice system that would come from the conviction being quashed, and to avoid having to re-open 270 cold murder cases with all the expense and tying up of resources that would entail.
Maybe, but I suspect otherwise. The entire thrust of the machinations involved in the Lockerbie investigation seems to me aimed not so much at convicting some Libyans (highly convenient and desirable though that was), but about NOT getting too close to the Palestinian gang who were the probable culprits, and through them to Iran, their sponsor.
However, does not wanting to mess with Iran (which was at that time an ally) in the late 1980s/early 1990s really explain why the cover-up has continued to be pursued so vigorously right into the second decade of the 21st century? Iran is serious persona non grata now, and I could easily imagine a scenario where an appeal court quashed Megrahi's conviction and a re-opened enquiry found credible evidence that Lockerbie was in fact an Iranian-sponsored operation would go down extraordinarily well in certain political circles right now. (So well that I don't really like to contemplate it, actually.)
Maybe that's a contributing reason for the continuing cover-up? That Scottish and UK governments perceive that exonerating Megrahi could/would lead to the implication of Iran, and that the geopolitical consequences of that could be extremely serious? Or maybe it isn't. I have no freaking idea why certain people are behaving the way they are, right now.
However, this all seems to orbit round the USA, and the CIA, and probable CIA involvement in the original atrocity. Don't get me wrong, I'm not suggesting a LIHOP or MIHOP scenario. A F-UP scenario, though, seems quite possible.
We know the US was expecting retaliation from Iran for the Vincennes incident. We also know the CIA had apparently infiltrated the PFLP-GC, at least in the person of the Jordanian agent Khreesat, possibly others. Peter Fraser, who was Lord Advocate at the time of the investigation, admits as much. Khreesat was actually making the bombs with the barometric timers of the type supected to have blown up Maid of the Seas. He was supposed to be making dud bombs, but he wasn't - either because he was being too closely watched (by Abu Elias among others), or because his sympathies actually lay with the terrorists all along.
When the "Autumn Leaves" arrests happened in October 1988, Khreesat was one of those arrested. He is said to have made one call to his CIA handlers, and hey presto almost the entire gang, caught red-handed with a bomb clearly designed to blow up a plane, was released by the German police on the grounds of "insufficient evidence". Khreesat is said to have been furious on the grounds of the arrests being premature - if the police had waited a bit, he said, they'd have got the lot.
The released gang members went to ground and I think Khreesat himself returned to Jordan. But just two months later Maid of the Seas fell out of the sky in circumstances that exactly matched their modus operandi. Then four months after that, the gang was rounded up again with a bunch more of these bombs, and in the process one exploded and killed a German bomb disposal operative. So much for Khreesat making duds.
The PFLP-GC was based in Frankfurt, and a lot of the early suspicion regarding Lockerbie was that they had smuggled a bomb on to PA103A at Frankfurt airport. This was reinforced by the revalation that the US Drug Enforcement Agency had been using Pan Am flights out of Frankfurt, including PA103A/PA103, for "controlled drugs shipments", a series of sting operations where heroin was allowed into the USA so that the DEA could then track it and apprehend the dealers. It was denied that any such operation had been ongoing on 21st December 1988, but on the other hand one of their known operatives was on the plane, and there is a very strange story of a farmer at Lockerbie finding a split-open suitcase with what seemed to be packets of heroin in it, with this story being subsequently covered up/denied.
The suspicion that there was officially-sanctioned lawbreaking going on at Frankfurt airport is strengthened by the scorched-earth disappearance of all baggage records at that airport within days of the disaster, in circumstances that suggest the police must have been involved. On the other hand, if someone switched the drugs suitcase (which would have been smuggled past the x-ray machine at Frankfurt as part of the operation, very handy) for the bomb, how come the heroin actually ended up on the grass at Lockerbie? And how come the strongest evidence for where the bomb was really introduced points to Heathrow, not Frankfurt?
My vague speculations centre round the CIA having infiltrated the PFLP-GC in an attempt to prevent the Iran-sponsored downing of an aircraft in retaliation for IR655. That they were trying to make a clean sweep of the entire boiling of the terrorist cell, with enough evidence to put them away for a very long time. That they may also have been playing a complicated game in relation to the Beirut hostages, involving the drug-smuggling operation, along the lines of Oliver North's little enterprise of a couple of years earlier - this is essentially what Lester Coleman alleges, and he is either a complete nutter or a dodgy character who actually knew what was going on and was put away as a consequence, take your pick.
I think this went badly wrong, possibly because the German police jumped the gun with the Autumn Leaves raid, and the operation got away from them. I wonder if, as a consequence, CIA agents or assets actually facilitated the bombing of Pan Am 103 inadvertently. I wonder if this is the fundamental reason behind the continuing vigorous cover-up, to which other motivations are secondary.
Discuss.
Rolfe.
I'm frankly baffled by the blatant political agenda behind the continuing machinations to keep Megrahi identified as "the Lockerbie bomber", denying both any recognition of the huge flaws in the original indictment and judgement, and a fair appeal hearing. This has been the policy of successive UK governments (Conservative at the time of the bombing and investigation, Labour at the time of the trial), and Scottish governments (Labour/LibDem coalition at the time of the trial, SNP at the time of the compassionate release). They're all in it.
The decision of the SNP to toe the line and continue the charade is to me quite inexplicable, as that party had never been in power at all before 2007, and wasn't involved in any way in the investigation or the trial. Indeed the general mood music in SNP ranks over the years was that the trial was a stitch-up. But as soon as an SNP government was in control of the agenda, it fell into line and continued with the cover-up.
Here's an interesting article from early 2009, while the second appeal was still in progress, before the whole "if you want to go home to die you better drop that appeal" thing got going.
Lockerbie verdict was a "negotiated outcome" says UN observer. Verdict of "diplomatic convenience" was reached.
In a remarkable and lengthy critique of the flawed trial process and protracted subsequent proceedings, Kochler says the Scottish Court covened in the Netherlands which convicted Abdelbaset Ali Mohmad Al Megrahi, reached a pre-determined outcome, and accuses the UK authorities of an "apparent strategy" to cover up the "errors and malpractices" in the years since Megrahi's conviction, that have kept him in jail on the basis of a discredited case.
"Altogether, the actions of the Prosecution and Defence often appeared co-ordinated, somehow following an external (non-judicial) strategy, and created the impression of a scripted procedure (whereby the “script” was followed at least to a certain extent) and of a negotiated outcome," Kochler says.
This is an extraordinary accusation, but it comes from a professor of law who was the official UN observer to the trial, not a raving twoofer. It is also supported by the actual events.
There is a school of thought that maintains the present cover-up is simply a cover-up of the original cover-up. That the motivation of those who are so exercised to keep Megrahi branded as "the Lockerbie bomber" NOW, is merely to avoid the embarrassment to the Scottish criminal justice system that would come from the conviction being quashed, and to avoid having to re-open 270 cold murder cases with all the expense and tying up of resources that would entail.
Maybe, but I suspect otherwise. The entire thrust of the machinations involved in the Lockerbie investigation seems to me aimed not so much at convicting some Libyans (highly convenient and desirable though that was), but about NOT getting too close to the Palestinian gang who were the probable culprits, and through them to Iran, their sponsor.
However, does not wanting to mess with Iran (which was at that time an ally) in the late 1980s/early 1990s really explain why the cover-up has continued to be pursued so vigorously right into the second decade of the 21st century? Iran is serious persona non grata now, and I could easily imagine a scenario where an appeal court quashed Megrahi's conviction and a re-opened enquiry found credible evidence that Lockerbie was in fact an Iranian-sponsored operation would go down extraordinarily well in certain political circles right now. (So well that I don't really like to contemplate it, actually.)
Maybe that's a contributing reason for the continuing cover-up? That Scottish and UK governments perceive that exonerating Megrahi could/would lead to the implication of Iran, and that the geopolitical consequences of that could be extremely serious? Or maybe it isn't. I have no freaking idea why certain people are behaving the way they are, right now.
However, this all seems to orbit round the USA, and the CIA, and probable CIA involvement in the original atrocity. Don't get me wrong, I'm not suggesting a LIHOP or MIHOP scenario. A F-UP scenario, though, seems quite possible.
We know the US was expecting retaliation from Iran for the Vincennes incident. We also know the CIA had apparently infiltrated the PFLP-GC, at least in the person of the Jordanian agent Khreesat, possibly others. Peter Fraser, who was Lord Advocate at the time of the investigation, admits as much. Khreesat was actually making the bombs with the barometric timers of the type supected to have blown up Maid of the Seas. He was supposed to be making dud bombs, but he wasn't - either because he was being too closely watched (by Abu Elias among others), or because his sympathies actually lay with the terrorists all along.
When the "Autumn Leaves" arrests happened in October 1988, Khreesat was one of those arrested. He is said to have made one call to his CIA handlers, and hey presto almost the entire gang, caught red-handed with a bomb clearly designed to blow up a plane, was released by the German police on the grounds of "insufficient evidence". Khreesat is said to have been furious on the grounds of the arrests being premature - if the police had waited a bit, he said, they'd have got the lot.
The released gang members went to ground and I think Khreesat himself returned to Jordan. But just two months later Maid of the Seas fell out of the sky in circumstances that exactly matched their modus operandi. Then four months after that, the gang was rounded up again with a bunch more of these bombs, and in the process one exploded and killed a German bomb disposal operative. So much for Khreesat making duds.
The PFLP-GC was based in Frankfurt, and a lot of the early suspicion regarding Lockerbie was that they had smuggled a bomb on to PA103A at Frankfurt airport. This was reinforced by the revalation that the US Drug Enforcement Agency had been using Pan Am flights out of Frankfurt, including PA103A/PA103, for "controlled drugs shipments", a series of sting operations where heroin was allowed into the USA so that the DEA could then track it and apprehend the dealers. It was denied that any such operation had been ongoing on 21st December 1988, but on the other hand one of their known operatives was on the plane, and there is a very strange story of a farmer at Lockerbie finding a split-open suitcase with what seemed to be packets of heroin in it, with this story being subsequently covered up/denied.
The suspicion that there was officially-sanctioned lawbreaking going on at Frankfurt airport is strengthened by the scorched-earth disappearance of all baggage records at that airport within days of the disaster, in circumstances that suggest the police must have been involved. On the other hand, if someone switched the drugs suitcase (which would have been smuggled past the x-ray machine at Frankfurt as part of the operation, very handy) for the bomb, how come the heroin actually ended up on the grass at Lockerbie? And how come the strongest evidence for where the bomb was really introduced points to Heathrow, not Frankfurt?
My vague speculations centre round the CIA having infiltrated the PFLP-GC in an attempt to prevent the Iran-sponsored downing of an aircraft in retaliation for IR655. That they were trying to make a clean sweep of the entire boiling of the terrorist cell, with enough evidence to put them away for a very long time. That they may also have been playing a complicated game in relation to the Beirut hostages, involving the drug-smuggling operation, along the lines of Oliver North's little enterprise of a couple of years earlier - this is essentially what Lester Coleman alleges, and he is either a complete nutter or a dodgy character who actually knew what was going on and was put away as a consequence, take your pick.
I think this went badly wrong, possibly because the German police jumped the gun with the Autumn Leaves raid, and the operation got away from them. I wonder if, as a consequence, CIA agents or assets actually facilitated the bombing of Pan Am 103 inadvertently. I wonder if this is the fundamental reason behind the continuing vigorous cover-up, to which other motivations are secondary.
Discuss.
Rolfe.
Last edited: