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[Moderated]Pearl Harbor was not a surprise

Okay, first of all, why is this information not available anywhere but on whackjob sites like What Really Happened? They are, as I have pointed out elsewhere, not the least bit reliable as a source. Nazied-up big-time.

Just having broken the codes really doesn't prove that an order to attack by naval air was ever transmitted to be intercepted. Why would any nation risk revealing it's movements when the admirals of their fleet left port knowing where they were going? All they would need is an order to execute, once they were underway. By making the order something like "Climb Mount Whatever" would be pretty ambiguous, even useless, if the admirals were told before leaving port what the orders for execution were. Nothing to intercept.

It is quite likely that the US Navy was expecting a conventional attack with a full-task force. In that sense, it would be quite logical to have the aircraft carriers out on maneuvers while the battleships just sat there as though unaware that something was cooking. Intel already knew that there were Japanese spies on the island. Had they moved the battleships earlier than they would have needed to in order to ambush an in-bound task force, it would have alerted the Japanese that their codes had been compromised.

Meanwhile, the aircraft carriers would patrol the area, looking for the heavy elements of the task force. Oops! They were probably looking for the battleships out of range to intercept the fighters returning to the carriers when they realized their mistake.

The commanders on the islands knew something was coming, but they didn't know, probably could not have known without detailed information on the Japanese order of battle, which would obviously not need to have been transmitted in an interceptable form such as radio transmissions.

Kimmel expected there to be guerilla operations against the air fields. That was why the bombers were all parked wing-tip-to wing-tip and heavily guarded.

FDR was a far better strategist than this conspiracy theory gives him credit for. Would it not have been a military coup beyond any he might have pulled off to respond immediately to take down the fighters before they could return to the carriers, or to take out the carriers themselves with airpower while the planes were not there to defend them? It would have taken days for the fleeing Japanese carriers to get out of the range of a carrier group with all its aircraft and the B-17s that were destroyed in the first strike. And that kind of losses early in the conflict would have left the Japanese forces at an insurmountable disadvantage, out of fuel and in need of repair.

So, to summarize:

Your source sucks and I shall discount it entirely until you can prove that these documents are genuine. I have seen statements elsewhere to the effect that they are not.

The whole theory paints FDR as militarily inept.

It smells like a fermenting pile of woo-woo that some Nazi sympathizer cooked up.
 
Grasping for straws here a little

Forces present at Pearl Harbor

8 battleships,
8 cruisers,
29 destroyers,
9 submarines,
~50 other ships,
~390 aircraft

Results of Japanese attack on Pearl Harbor

2 battleships sunk,
6 battleships damaged,
3 cruisers damaged,
2 destroyers sunk, 1 damaged,
1 other ship sunk, 3 damaged,
188 aircraft destroyed,
155 aircraft damaged

If you can supply any contempory account of the action that shows different figures (confirmed sources of course) I would love to see them.

And it must be remembered the cancel third strike would have caused absolute carnage - the tank farm on Ford Island and dry dock facilities were targets for this flight

Not to mention the soldiers, sailors, marines and civillians who lost their lives. I knew a man who was present in Honolulu, but wan't in the military.
 
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Using your logic the Bombing of Nagasaki and Hiroshima wasn't that bad because Japan went on to become a world leader in technology.

How long do you think it took Japan to rebuild back to that status? How long did it take the US to recover from Pearl Harbor?

But let's entertain your idea for a second. Imagine that LA and San Francisco was completely reduced to a flat plain for grazing cattle. Now imagine having to rebuild those 2 cities back up. How long would you say it takes to rebuild a major city like LA from scratch?


So America declared war on Japan before pearl Harbor? Where did you learn that?

Where did I say that? I do however like to state that the US wasn't entirely innocent.

Have you figured out the radar systems of America at that time yet? Oh, and we voted to make Hawaii a state.


Besides the fact that Japan isn't the 51st state?

This is where you people are delusional. Were indigenous Hawaiians able to "vote" on this matter? I'm wondering if I can just vote to make the Philippines a state too?

That's funny you mention the 51st state. I seem to recall that there still is a US military base in Okinawa and Japan is not allowed to have an active army. Japan is a neutered, colony of the US today who are completely dependent on the US to protect them from China, Russia and N. Korea who have nukes. Would you consider any country without a military seriously?

Welcome to the world of Risk.
 
FDR was a far better strategist than this conspiracy theory gives him credit for. Would it not have been a military coup beyond any he might have pulled off to respond immediately to take down the fighters before they could return to the carriers, or to take out the carriers themselves with airpower while the planes were not there to defend them? It would have taken days for the fleeing Japanese carriers to get out of the range of a carrier group with all its aircraft and the B-17s that were destroyed in the first strike. And that kind of losses early in the conflict would have left the Japanese forces at an insurmountable disadvantage, out of fuel and in need of repair.

Dude what are you smoking - If the US carrier force had have gone after the Japanese they would have been destroyed outright.


This was the Japanese order of battle

6 aircraft carriers,
9 destroyers,
2 battleships,
2 heavy cruisers,
1 light cruiser,
8 tankers,
23 fleet submarines,
414 aircraft

The Japanese were actually expecting an ambush - thats why they didn't send the second wave till the famous Tora Tora Tora signal was sent.

Assuming the first flight didn't get time to refuel - and all the American planes found their target, they would have faced around 90 to 130 zero fighters, while at the same time the US carriers would have been defending against upwards of 100 well trained torpedo and conventional carrier bombers. Not to mention surface elements that might get involved
 
There would also have been a window during which no air operations could have been launched as one flight left and made room for another to land and refit. Positioning between the carriers and the target would have also allowed US aircraft to engage an enemy who had no fuel to keep up a dogfight.

The fleet that the Japanese sent out does not look like much, if you are expecting a comventional attack. Naval air power was still not fully appreciated at the time, despite supposed earlier wargaming of a similar scenario. I still think that they were waiting for the rest of the task force to assemble before moving the battleships to engage them, and scouting with the naval air units for ships that were not there.

I kind of get the impression that the Japanese fleet was at about maximum allowable range, which was a bit unexpected in itself.
 
Thats true, but you can assume every other navy in the world went "Hmmm thats interesting"

The carrier captians probably and a few of the more inventive admirals but thats about it. The japanese even after pearl harbour were thinking in terms of a grand clash of fleets. The british establisment certianly didn't realise the significance of what happened see what happened to the HMS Prince of Wales and HMS Repulse.
 
Not to mention the soldiers, sailors, marines and civillians who lost their lives. I knew a man who was present in Honolulu, but wan't in the military.

Condolences to those unnecessary deaths due to FDR sacrificing those lives on purpose to draw the US into war. Your Presidents continue to betray you and you thank them for it. Unfortunately I don't know anyone from Hiroshima or Nagasaki.

A military coupe hasn't happened yet in your country because it is being prevented by your enemy.
 
You're worse than a 911 truther, and thats really saying something

I take that as a great compliment.

Just for the record to elaborate. The immediate enemy are Zionists, but ultimately they are the elites connected to the British Crown.

Wasn't George Washington born in England?
 
I take that as a great compliment.

Just for the record to elaborate. The immediate enemy are Zionists, but ultimately they are the elites connected to the British Crown.

Wasn't George Washington born in England?

I dont give a rats ass, I am scottish

You do know the difference dont you, or do you want me calling you chinese?

My immediate enemy are bigots and racists, a category you tumble neatly into
 
If it had been printed on paper I would have made a paper aeroplane and flown it out my window

The minute i see double agent and a russkie name it all begins to get a wee bit tedious

How truly unacademic of you.

First of all, Popov was born in Yugoslavia, not Russia. His story is easy to verify. He's the double agent that Ian Fleming based James Bond on.

Try not to let simplemindedness prevent you from studying history.
 
Only a Cter Would think that FDR, and Tojo, were on the same side, DA.

One of Ron Paul's supporters makes it clear that the oil at pearl harbor was of more strategic value than the ships sunk.

One bomb could have dramatically changed the entire out come of the raid.

For Pearl Harbor to be a Lihop, the Japanese Navy would have had to been under Roosevelt's control!

http://www.lewrockwell.com/north/north330.html
 
That's weird. I wonder why the forum search function works for me but not for kageki? I've heard that deliberate ignorance can make software fail. Have to look into that.

Pearl Harbor and 9/11
Pearl Harbor Conpsiracy Theories - Need deubnking links
Brilliant Pearl Harbor resource
Prediction of Pearl Harbor?
Pearl Harbor was an inside job
Alright, People. Did Roosevelt know about Pearl Harbor or what?
Pearl Harbor Conspiracy
Pearl Harbor...

http://www.internationalskeptics.com/forums/showpost.php?p=1512750&postcount=229
http://www.internationalskeptics.com/forums/showpost.php?p=1512674&postcount=225
http://www.internationalskeptics.com/forums/showpost.php?p=1507557&postcount=112
http://www.internationalskeptics.com/forums/showpost.php?p=1523672&postcount=385


Interesting aside, related to Bush's decidedly non-heroic "deer in the headlights" behavior when he got the news about the attacks:

No wonder my mother was a little breathless on the telephone. “Listen to this,” she said, preparing me for a snippet from a tome by the popular, late and liberal historian William Manchester. It describes Franklin D. Roosevelt’s initial reaction to news of the surprise attack on Pearl Harbor on Dec. 7, 1941, that devastated the American fleet, killing 2,403 soldiers, sailors and civilians.

After calling the secretary of state, Manchester writes, “the President of the United States did nothing for 18 minutes.”
http://www.jewishworldreview.com/0804/west1.asp

As an article in The Washington Times points out, Mr. Kerry’s reaction to the attacks of Sept. 11 wasn’t exactly the stuff of the Minutemen. Mr. Kerry told “Larry King Live” that on the morning of Sept. 11 nearly three years ago, he “sat stunned and unable to think for more than 30 minutes in the Capitol until he and other senators were whisked out of the building to safety,” the Times reports.
 
I find it very amusing that CTers, especially troothers, are falling for the 'FDR knew' propaganda which of late has been promoted by the hated Neo-Cons, who hate everything that FDR did. They'd love to villify himin any way.

There is absolutely no decent evidence that FDR knew about the attack on Pearl Harbor. The only 'evidence' is that certain codes were cracked, but decoding and translation were not instantanious (although certain authors would have you think it was). There were indications that Japan was about to start a war, but the likely target would have been the Phillipines, a much more vulnerable and likely target.

Let us remember how flat footed MacArthur was caught there, despite having over 24 hours of warning.

Further considerations were that FDR was hardly likely to sacrifice any part of the Navy in a surprise attack. He was a former naval secretary and loved the Navy, he would not sacrifice any part of it in such a manner.

For the carriers, they were still an unkown. Taranto aside the Atlantic was still mostly a ship-to-ship game and there was no indication that the Pacific would be any different. Naval officers *knew* what Battleships could do, even obselete ones, Carriers were an unknown quantity.
 
What are the chances that the US would have stayed out of the war even without Pearl Harbor? Wasn't US involvement inevitable? And then without Pearl Harbor how strong would the incentive of the US people and the US war effort have been?
 
What are the chances that the US would have stayed out of the war even without Pearl Harbor?

Pretty Low. The trade embargo against Japan was very effective and they were unlikely to give up their conquests. The likely target was the Phillipines, and we would have been drawn in when US forces there were attacked.

Wasn't US involvement inevitable?

One could make an arguement for it.

And then without Pearl Harbor how strong would the incentive of the US people and the US war effort have been?

I'd say pretty strong, we went after Germany and Italy first, despite the fact that they made no sneak attack on us.
 
Well if you can't read then I'll repeat it.

FDR knew precisely where the Japanese fleet was and knew exactly that they were going to attack Pearl Harbor. I'll try to get that dates for you, but it still doesn't matter as to the fact that FDR did know. You're free to do your own research.
:dl:

Paul

:) :) :)

That is all that is needed for this thread.
 

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