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Is Randmoness Possible?

Originally posted by P.S.A.
This is Iacchus in a nutshell, I salute you.

Thanks, but I hadn't had to do much more than quote Iacchus:

The Advent Of Dionysus
And when I was driving home on the freeway, I was wondering what could I possibly do to convey my feelings towards Julie? When all of a sudden the traffic came to a standstill, and when I looked over at the car next to me, I noticed the license plate, which said, "VSW 656." And I said here's the number 65 again, just like the note Julie dug out of the trash, which said "R650," except the 0 at the end was now a 6. And I said that's it! Here's the bride (6), looking at the bridegroom (5) looking back at the bride (6) which is to say, "If only she knew how I felt about her?" (the 0 at first signifying a lack of recognition). And I said, Well, what does "VSW" mean? And a moment later I knew: "Very Sweet Woman." Which is precisely what I was thinking!

I hesitate to quote those intimate confessions, but on the other hand, MrDionysus voluntarily published them.

By the way, this is my 500<sup>th</sup> post! Surely this can't be sheer happenstance?
 
Bri said:
Free will cannot exist unless there is some as of yet unknown mechanism or force by which our physical bodies (specifically our brains) can make a decision independent of external causes.

I.e. something that is neither causation, nor random. But if uncaused, does that actually have any meaning? Isn't the concept that something via some "spiriual physics" is evaluating a thing, then making a decision?

I would claim that this spiritual physics (if it exists, which I don't think) is still normal causality. After all, your brain evaluates the situation and makes a decision. That this is causal at some atomic sense doesn't alter that your brain is performing a tremendously complex calculation.

After all, if free will is the freedom to do what you want, then you have free will in a causal universe. Now how "what you want" comes about, that is another story...
 
Jan,

For example, the Many-Worlds Interpretation allows you to still have determinism, since it says that the quantum randomness is not "true" randomness. It's doubtful though if this could be called a scientific debate.

I agree that it can't be called a scientific debate at least not given the current data and the math, however I would stress that it is a reasonable philosophical debate based on the science and the math. The difference is subtle and in many ways boils down to your world view, even if it is proven to be false much like the case of the Golden Ratio, good philosophical dialogue can open doors to new knowledge.

What is striking to me about the above quote that I posted is that in mass quantities of truly random events, predictable patterns emerge. The only reason why they do is because of a various laws, like binomial distribution or the quantum theory of coherence. I'm not sure what to make of that yet--- meaning, why in fact even completely random events emerge from chaos into disernable patterns. Hoping for more input.

Flick
 
jan said:
Of course you are free to doubt quantum mechanics.

I don't know enough about it to doubt it, actually. I'm admittedly clueless on the subject, even after reading the article. I was under the impression that no non-causational even has ever been reliably observed, which would mean that quantum theory is nifty in that it explains a lot of things, but then so would God just as easily explain a lot of things (although admittedly not as usefully). Upon further reading though, it appears as though the Many Worlds Interpretation might imply that it's not actually random after all, and may even be compatible with causation (someone will have to enlighten me on that).

Nevertheless, I hope you will do better than some other posters here who tend to argue "I don't know anything about a certain subject, but since there can't be an irrefutable proof in favor of it, it must be wrong" (well, who might I have in mind here?).

I would not argue anything that I don't know much about one way or the other.

Of course it would be far better if Iacchus (by the way, it's "iacchus", not "Lacchus") would thoroughly explain his views, unfortunately, I doubt it will happen any time soon.

Sorry, Iacchus! My font makes the "I" look just like an "l" so I couldn't tell! But please do explain your views regardless!

I am not certain if I understand you here. As I understand it, it is this way: there are certain situations where we can say that two possible outcomes are equal likely (the instable atom under observation will decay within the next half hour, or it wont), and we know that there is no way we can narrow that down any further.

I was distinguishing between two possible meanings of "unpredictable." Unpredictable can mean simply that we are not currently able to predict it (i.e. it is currently too complex for us to simulate it fully with current technology and knowledge but that one day we might be able to). Or, it can mean (as I think we are using the term in this discussion) that it simply cannot be predicted -- i.e. that it is either truly random or the result of some unknown external force that itself can't be predicted. I believe that the implication of quantum theory is that the effects of some causes are truly random, which would make them unpredictable in the absolute sense.

Perhaps those terms are not very lucky; I would prefer "determinism", "random indeterminism" and "libertarian free will". As I mentioned, there are metaphysical interpretations of quantum physics out there which are completely deterministic. And there are concepts of free will that are compatible with determinism.

OK, let's use your terms then which are undoubtedly more precise than mine. My point was simply that there are several possibilities, and that they are mutually exclusive. I simply found it odd that the one that is most compatible with the generally-believed notion of God (liberatarian free will) isn't the one that Iacchus chooses to use as "proof" of the existance of God.

I don't see how free will (given the meaning you seem to use) is possible: any outcome is either completely determined by rigid laws, which would be determinism, or it isn't, which would be random indeterminism.

Really? I can see a third choice, which is that we actually have free will to make our own choices independent of our external circumstances. That's certainly not random unless you're flipping a quantum coin to make all your decisions.

Now whether or not you believe that free will is possible is certainly up for debate, and most arguments for free will are theist in nature (that God gives us the ability to make choices that are not simply "random" nor are they entirely determined by previous causes). There are some non-theist and might even be non-dualist theories of free will but it could be argued that whatever the means is that we have free will, that means is God or at least a product of God. So...if you could prove that we have free will, then given current scientific knowledge, you would probably have to assume the existance of something that could be called "God" (even if "God" is simply considered by science to be a previously unknown force) that allows it to happen.

Assume you have an immortal, immaterial soul that somehow manages to operate the neurons in your brain. Fine. Now, this immaterial soul, does it follow deterministic laws? If yes, then determinism is true. If no, then once again random indeterminism is true. Dualism just shifts the problem a bit around, it doesn't solve it.

No, you're missing the third possibility. It's not deterministic, and it's not random. It's actually intelligent decision-making (the common definition of free will). In other words, the third possibility is actually making an intelligent choice of your action independent of physical causes (neither determinism nor random indeterminism).

I agree. But the converse doesn't hold: you can be a theist without believing in (the ambitious version of) free will. Since the obsession with free will is a rather new one, compared with the ancient idea of supreme beings, I guess few theists ever worried about free will. And since you said "Generally, the existence of God would assume that we have free will", I wanted to know how this should work.

Yes, you could be a theist without believing in free will, but I don't think your example is very valid because although ancient people might have believed in God without contemplating free will, they almost certainly believed in free will by default. So, the concept of free will has been around much longer than the concept of determinism (or random indeterminism). In order to be a theist without belief in free will, you would have to believe that God simply created a deterministic world, but I'm not sure anyone really believes that.

At any rate, I wasn't arguing that you cannot be a theist without belief in free will (I agree that you can). But it could be argued that you cannot believe in free will without being a theist. Why? Because it can be argued that the very thing that gives you free will (whatever that thing is) is God (or at least comes from God). The best science could offer is that it is some unknown force that exists outside of the physical, but in order for it to allow us to make intelligent choices, that force would have to be intelligent. An unknown force that is intelligent sounds an awful lot like God to me, so one could make a pretty good argument that whatever "it" is that allows free will to occur is God.

My point is that if one wanted to prove the existance of God, I wouldn't think one would take the approach Iacchus did in first assuming that determinism is true, since determinism precludes the possibility of free will, which might be one's best argument for the existance of God (not to mention the fact that the Judeo-Christian God granted free will to Adam and Eve in the Garden of Eden according to the Bible).

Yes, it might be possible to argue the existance of God without free will, but I don't know what such an argument might be (which is what I was hoping Iacchus would explain). Also, the concept of God without free will is an odd one to me and I'm not sure anyone actually believes it (but perhaps Iacchus does).

-Bri
 
Beerina said:
I.e. something that is neither causation, nor random. But if uncaused, does that actually have any meaning?

Not within current scientific knowledge, no. I imagine to someone who believes in God it would mean something.


Isn't the concept that something via some "spiriual physics" is evaluating a thing, then making a decision? I would claim that this spiritual physics (if it exists, which I don't think) is still normal causality.

Not necessarily. Once we get outside of the physical world, we wouldn't really know what it is, and it may follow completely different rules (or none at all). The common understanding of free will (by the way, the one that our very judicial system depends upon) is that we are free to make our own decisions, that we are responsible for our decisions, and that we can therefore be held accountable for those decisions. A decision based on randomness or based on previous causes over which we had no control would make those concepts somewhat meaningless. Mind you, I don't believe that the above is in any way a valid argument for free will (reality is reality).

But I would still hold that free will is mutually exclusive of any of the widely accepted scientific theories, and therefore Iacchus' assumption of causation to prove the existance of God leaves me wondering where he was going with that.

-Bri
 
P.S.A. said:
Tut tut, it's no use trying to distract me, I know you've proven you don't have a shred of honesty irrespective of what else you say now.
That's King Tut to you. ;)

Besides Iacchus, you really are both a shameful and forgetful liar; You've already tried this argument before... 2 different times in fact. And I pointed out to you both times that even when he was here, I wasn't focused solely on Lifegazer.
Well, obviously I haven't been "focusing" on you either.

Indeed, if I had been, you wouldn't have been able to claim the two times before now that it was supposedly "your turn", would you?

Silly, silly little childish mind.
Is that right cousin? Of course my reference to cousin Pentheus here -- who, was most notable for his "blind rationalism" -- is not just to you. So I wouldn't take it personally. But then again, it sounds like you already have.
 
stamenflicker said:
I agree that it can't be called a scientific debate at least not given the current data and the math, however I would stress that it is a reasonable philosophical debate based on the science and the math. The difference is subtle and in many ways boils down to your world view, even if it is proven to be false much like the case of the Golden Ratio, good philosophical dialogue can open doors to new knowledge.

I agree. I did not intended to dismiss any metaphysical debate as pure nonsense.

What is striking to me about the above quote that I posted is that in mass quantities of truly random events, predictable patterns emerge. The only reason why they do is because of a various laws, like binomial distribution or the quantum theory of coherence. I'm not sure what to make of that yet--- meaning, why in fact even completely random events emerge from chaos into disernable patterns. Hoping for more input.

The Laws of Large Numbers perhaps?
 
stamenflicker said:
Furthermore, as statistical science shows, random events follow certain laws, therefore even if an event is viewed as random, it cannot be completely divorced from a (statistical) law which is instrumental in causing the event in question.
Exactly! So, if there was such a thing as true randomness, it would be contingent upon nothing. In which case we have those who advovate the randomness of change, advocating that something can come from nothing.
 
Bri said:
Sorry, Iacchus! My font makes the "I" look just like an "l" so I couldn't tell! But please do explain your views regardless!
There is nothing random about evolution. The fact is, it has all "unolded" according to a preset pattern or, design. Which of course begs the question. Who designed the Universe?
 
Iacchus said:
There is nothing random about evolution. The fact is, it has all "unolded" according to a preset pattern or, design. Which of course begs the question. Who designed the Universe?

That statement makes an assumption doesn't it? Why do you say there is nothing random about evolution? In fact, doesn't evolution and natural selection depend on randomness?

You need to first show that the universe is designed before you ask the question who designed it, right?

-Bri
 
Iacchus said:
Exactly! So, if there was such a thing as true randomness, it would be contingent upon nothing. In which case we have those who advovate the randomness of change, advocating that something can come from nothing.
You misunderstand. The laws of probability are descriptive laws. They do not govern the way events occur, they describe the way they occur.

Fix this misunderstanding, and the premise of your post dissappears. Your first sentence here is meaningless, which renders everything after it moot.
 
Iacchus said:
There is nothing random about evolution. The fact is, it has all "unolded" according to a preset pattern or, design. Which of course begs the question. Who designed the Universe?
Why, yes, it does beg the question. That form of circular reasoning is your favorite, is it not?

You are demonstrating once again your ignorance of natural selection. Please, please, please, find a license plate somewhere that will tell you to go read a book.
 
Mercutio said:
You misunderstand. The laws of probability are descriptive laws. They do not govern the way events occur, they describe the way they occur.
Indeed, many a gambler has gone broke because they misunderstand the "law" of averages. They think a certain number is "due" because it hasn't come up in the proportion predicted by the "law".

So if you must look at a cause/effect relationship, the so-called "Law of Averages" (the way humans have found to describe distributions) was caused by our observations of randomness, not vice versa.
 
Bri said:
I was under the impression that no non-causational even has ever been reliably observed, which would mean that quantum theory is nifty in that it explains a lot of things, but then so would God just as easily explain a lot of things (although admittedly not as usefully).

As I mentioned above, radioactive decay is considered to be "random as in quantum mechanics randomness". If you have a clock with hands glowing in the dark and look at it, you are observing some non-causational events. In fact, quite many of them.

Upon further reading though, it appears as though the Many Worlds Interpretation might imply that it's not actually random after all, and may even be compatible with causation (someone will have to enlighten me on that).

The idea is this: whenever an event has several outcomes, the universe doesn't have to take a random pick, it just takes all possible outcomes and splits into several worlds, one for each possible outcome (which means that each worlds splits into myriads of worlds each moment).

Indeed, it's completely deterministic and not a bit random. It just appears to be random for an inhabitant of one of those resulting worlds (that is, us), since we observe only one out of all the possible outcomes.

OK, let's use your terms then which are undoubtedly more precise than mine. My point was simply that there are several possibilities, and that they are mutually exclusive. I simply found it odd that the one that is most compatible with the generally-believed notion of God (liberatarian free will) isn't the one that Iacchus chooses to use as "proof" of the existance of God.

Unfortunately, I am unable to tell you why Iacchus believes what he believes. Maybe you should note that he thinks that he is some kind of god (the god Dionysus, that is).

Really? I can see a third choice, which is that we actually have free will to make our own choices independent of our external circumstances.

Independent of the external circumstances? What kind of choice would that be? I mean, whenever I make a choice, it has something to do with external circumstances. I assume what you mean is "not completely determined by external circumstances" (just some nitpicking, I guess).

Why is it impossible to have the freedom to make choices and be a completely deterministic system?

Assume you had free will until yesterday, but last night, during your sleep, you lost your free will. You continue to make decisions, but purely mechanical. Would you notice the difference? How? If there isn't any, why would you prefer to have free will?

So...if you could prove that we have free will, then given current scientific knowledge, you would probably have to assume the existance of something that could be called "God" (even if "God" is simply considered by science to be a previously unknown force) that allows it to happen.

I guess we can postpone this discussion until we have evidence for the existence of free will.

No, you're missing the third possibility. It's not deterministic, and it's not random. It's actually intelligent decision-making (the common definition of free will). In other words, the third possibility is actually making an intelligent choice of your action independent of physical causes (neither determinism nor random indeterminism).

Why can't intelligent decision making be deterministic?

If it is deterministic, it can still be quite unpredictable.

Yes, you could be a theist without believing in free will, but I don't think your example is very valid because although ancient people might have believed in God without contemplating free will, they almost certainly believed in free will by default.

I disagree. Greek mythology knows many instances where gods make decisions on behalf of humans and move their hearts to act this or that way. Later times didn't understand this: Euripides ( a rather modern thinker, he sounds pretty contemporarian) has Helena arguing that she didn't left Menelaos free: Aphrodite made her do it. Menelaos, according to Euripides, answers that Aphrodite is just a word for Helena's own desires. So Euripides rejected Homer's gods because he —and not Homer— believed in free will.

Also, I seem to remember that Luther had some theory called "predeterminism", that means, it is known in advance whether you will be saved or damned, that is, it is determined how you will decide (accept or reject Jesus). Sounds pretty deterministic to me, but I'm not an expert in Luther's theology, so I might have got it wrong.

At any rate, I wasn't arguing that you cannot be a theist without belief in free will (I agree that you can). But it could be argued that you cannot believe in free will without being a theist. Why? Because it can be argued that the very thing that gives you free will (whatever that thing is) is God (or at least comes from God).

Since I still have problems to grasp how free will could be possible, I can't say much about that. But maybe it's just a lack of imagination on your part?

Not necessarily. Once we get outside of the physical world, we wouldn't really know what it is, and it may follow completely different rules (or none at all).

But we still have this dilemma: this other world either entirely follow rules, or it doesn't. So it's either deterministic, or random. As I said: it doesn't matter whether you argue within the physical world or within some other kind of world, the problem stays the same.

The common understanding of free will (by the way, the one that our very judicial system depends upon) is that we are free to make our own decisions, that we are responsible for our decisions, and that we can therefore be held accountable for those decisions.

I think that is one possible interpretation. Another could be that the judicial system just tries to sort out which cases are better dealt with jail and which are better dealt with an asylum, and all this talk about "guilt" is just some kind of verbal decoration.

If I could show you that all human decisions boil down to some kind of very, very complicated mechanic that is completely deterministic, would you suggest to give up law and order? Why?
 
Bri said:
That statement makes an assumption doesn't it? Why do you say there is nothing random about evolution? In fact, doesn't evolution and natural selection depend on randomness?

You need to first show that the universe is designed before you ask the question who designed it, right?

-Bri
If there is no such thing as true randomness, how can we get away from the fact that things don't happen by chance and, that everything happens according to its design? Indeed, there was never a time when there was ever nothing. Also, it suggest's there is no less structure in the Universe today than there has always been. Indeed, how much structure do we find in a single seed? Which of course to me, suggests the work of something extremely intelligent, beyond the bounds of which we couldn't even begin to describe ... I guess?
 
jan said:
As I mentioned above, radioactive decay is considered to be "random as in quantum mechanics randomness". If you have a clock with hands glowing in the dark and look at it, you are observing some non-causational events. In fact, quite many of them.
Maybe it has something to do with anti-matter, which is still a "some"-thing? Obviously I don't know enough about it. ;)
 
Bri said:
I was under the impression that no non-causational even has ever been reliably observed, which would mean that quantum theory is nifty in that it explains a lot of things, but then so would God just as easily explain a lot of things (although admittedly not as usefully).
A Google of Hawking Radiation, named for Stephen Hawking who predicted its existance, will give you ample information about an observable effect of acausal quantum fluctuations. Well, I say "observable", but I mean it is detectable with instruments. It cannot be seen with the naked eye. Anyway, it is a reliably observed piece of evidence of an acausal event.
[fquote]Upon further reading though, it appears as though the Many Worlds Interpretation might imply that it's not actually random after all, and may even be compatible with causation (someone will have to enlighten me on that).[/fquote]Many Worlds is only one interpretation, although I do find it the most fun.
[fquote]I was distinguishing between two possible meanings of "unpredictable." Unpredictable can mean simply that we are not currently able to predict it (i.e. it is currently too complex for us to simulate it fully with current technology and knowledge but that one day we might be able to). Or, it can mean (as I think we are using the term in this discussion) that it simply cannot be predicted -- i.e. that it is either truly random or the result of some unknown external force that itself can't be predicted. I believe that the implication of quantum theory is that the effects of some causes are truly random, which would make them unpredictable in the absolute sense.[/fquote]There is a third variation of predictable/unpredictable, which I think is more aptly applied to QM.

While QM is ultimately non-deterministic and sometimes acausal, it also follows statistical rules of probability. So, while we may not be able to determine when a specific isotope molecule will decay, we can know that, statistically, half of a given quantity of of the isotope will decay by a given time (known as the isotope's half life).

In QM, we loose determinism, which states that if we know all the laws of physics, where every particle in the universe is and what it is doing, we can determine everything that has happened and project forward everything that will happen. Because of QM, however, we realize that once you reach a certain small size, it doesn't really make sense to say that specific particle is at point p at time t moving with velocity v. It makes more sense to talk about the probability of a group of particles in an approximate area moving in an approximate direction.

While it would be tempting to attribute this inaccuracy to a deficiency in our method of measurement, upon closer examination, it really does seem to be something inherent to reality rather than an effect of our personal limitations. I think I could try to prove this to you, but it would require a great deal more education (and re-education) on my part and probably even more on yours. This is hard stuff and requires abandoning our everyday world common sense entirely. Ultimately, this is what caused me to leave physics as a career choice.
 
jan said:
Greek mythology knows many instances where gods make decisions on behalf of humans and move their hearts to act this or that way. Later times didn't understand this: Euripides ( a rather modern thinker, he sounds pretty contemporarian) has Helena arguing that she didn't left Menelaos free: Aphrodite made her do it. Menelaos, according to Euripides, answers that Aphrodite is just a word for Helena's own desires. So Euripides rejected Homer's gods because he —and not Homer— believed in free will.

Since I think it might be an interesting comparison, here is what Euripides says about Helen and Menelaus (abridged):

Euripides, The Trojan Women

HELEN:
Punish the goddess, show thyself more mighty e'en than Zeus, who, though he lords it o'er the other gods, is yet her slave; wherefore I may well be pardoned.

HECUBA:
Seek not to impute folly to the goddesses, in the attempt to gloze o'er thy own sin; never wilt thou persuade the wise. Next thou hast said-what well may make men jeer-that Cypris came with my son to the house of Menelaus. Could she not have stayed quietly in heaven and brought thee and Amyclae to boot to Ilium? Nay! my son was passing fair, and when thou sawest him thy fancy straight became thy Cypris; for every sensual act that men commit, they lay upon this goddess, and rightly does her name of Aphrodite begin the word for "senselessness"; so when thou didst catch sight of him in gorgeous foreign garb, ablaze with gold, thy senses utterly forsook thee.

MENELAUS:
Thy thoughts with mine do coincide, that she, without constraint, left my palace, and sought a stranger's love, and now Cypris is introduced for mere bluster.

If you can ignore the antiquated language of the translation, the arguments Hecuba and Menelaus use sound pretty modern: Helen acts according to her own will, no gods interfered. The whole concept of gods determinating human behaviour is regarded as some kind of superstition.

Now we have Homer telling how Helen and Menelaus meet again. They revel in old memories, like this:

Homer, Odyssey, IV, 265 - 289

Then fair-haired Menelaus answered her and said:"Aye verily, all this, wife, hast thou spoken aright. Ere now have I come to know the counsel and the mind of many warriors, and have travelled over the wide earth, but never yet have mine eyes beheld such an one as was Odysseus of the steadfast heart. What a thing was this, too, which that mighty man wrought and endured in the carven horse, wherein all we chiefs of the Argives were sitting, bearing to the Trojans death and fate! Then thou camest thither, and it must be that thou wast bidden by some god, who wished to grant glory to the Trojans, and godlike Deiphobus followed thee on thy way. Thrice didst thou go about the hollow ambush, trying it with thy touch, and thou didst name aloud the chieftains of the Danaans by their names, likening thy voice to the voices of the wives of all the Argives. Now I and the son of Tydeus and goodly Odysseus sat there in the midst and heard how thou didst call, and we two were eager to rise up and come forth, or else to answer straightway from within, but Odysseus held us back and stayed us, despite our eagerness. Then all the other sons of the Achaeans held their peace, but Anticlus alone was fain to speak and answer thee; but Odysseus firmly closed his mouth with strong hands, and saved all the Achaeans, and held him thus until Pallas Athena led thee away."

Basically, Menelaus tells how Helen tried to kill him and all his friends. Is he mad about her? No, why should he? After all, she did what she had to do and what the gods made her do.
 
Bri said:
That statement makes an assumption doesn't it? Why do you say there is nothing random about evolution? In fact, doesn't evolution and natural selection depend on randomness?

You need to first show that the universe is designed before you ask the question who designed it, right?
You got it!
 

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