How will Gadaffi Die?

[Thunder]

oh come on guys, we ALL know how he is gonna die.

lead poisoning!!!!!!














.....as in bullets.

 

[fuelair]

Based on his behavior, syphillis.

Damn those unfaithful Girl Guards!!!

 

[leftysergeant]

It is begining to look like he is isolated in Tripoli with no way of escaping but by sea. No other country would want to let him fly in right now.

Those close to him are clearly going to be targets of revenge if the mobs or the army get too him. There is no way they will let any policy-maker from the old regime continue on. There have been too many attrocities committed already by government loyalists. The final assault will be bloody, whether he is still alive or not. I doubt that the people are going to let his mercenaries stack arms and catch a train home, either.

I see it more likely that he will have to go down fighting, as will everyone around him. Those that are still alive when the last stronghold falls will not be for much longer.

 

[talkie toaster]

I'm going for .....Chokes to death on errant currant whilst eating a toasted tea cake a la Talkie

 

[Madalch]

His mind will snap after being once again asked if his name is spelled "Gadaffi" or "Khadafi".

 

[geni]

Old age.

If anyone close to him was going to take him out they would have done so by now.

The protestors have guns yes but their don't appear to be making particularly effective fighters. It wouldn't take than many more merceneries to turn the current uprising back into an annoying background insergency.

If we go in he goes to The hague which means death by old age during the trial.

 

[leftysergeant]

The protestors have guns yes but their don't appear to be making particularly effective fighters. It wouldn't take than many more merceneries to turn the current uprising back into an annoying background insergency.

It looks like the army is joining the people. That's what happened to the Shah.

 

[Skeptic]

I certainly have no tears for Kadaffi, or for the Shah for that matter, but leftysergeant had noted the problem with such revolutions (the Iranian, Russian, Chinese, etc.): they tend to turn into dictatorships which are much worse than before.

 

[geni]

It looks like the army is joining the people. That's what happened to the Shah.

The army is not a very effective fighting force to put it mildly. The exception is the 32nd Brigade which is backing Gaddafi.

 

[Polaris]

I voted Mussolini, because it's how I want to see every one of these bastards disposed of. Kadaffy would be a good start.

 

[leftysergeant]

The army is not a very effective fighting force to put it mildly.

They don't need to be, in this scenario. Read what Clausewitz wrote about a people's war. Only with overwhelming force and superior supply trains and the chance of reinforcing beleaguered units is an army likely to put one down.

The rebels control the countryside. Perishable foods cannot be restocked. Don't look for any other nation to send food shipments to Tripoli any time soon.

Most of the oil refineries and export facilities are around Tobruk and Benghazi, if they haven't done some massive construction since I was there.

I would totally not want to be Gadafi's chief military logistics officer right now.

 

[Rolfe]

I think that scenario is the same as i described above, however, I think that it becomes less and less likely as this goes on.

The other tribes have gained too much power in the uprising to hand it back to the Gadaffi tribe.

Indeed. I didn't want to quote too much of the original post, but that is essentially what the poster goes on to say.

Rolfe.

 

[scratchy]

If he flees my guess is Zimbabwe, if it is possible for him to get there. Might be to late though.

Otherwise my guess is suicide or "suicide".

 

[leftysergeant]

If he flees my guess is Zimbabwe, if it is possible for him to get there. Might be to late though.

The nearest air field is a hell of a drive from the part of Tripoli where he would most likely be, and it is still mostly open fields with plenty of clear shots for a sniper.

I don't see how he is likely to escpe once the rebellion tightens its grip on Tripoli.

 

[Foolmewunz]

nitpick, Trotsky was killed in Mexico, not South America.

Yeah, i know. After i posted it, I saw that and was waiting for that nitpick.

[Stalin Apologist Mode] You're implying he was killed. Trotsky committed suicide. He was cleaning his icepick and it went off. [/Stalin Apologist Mode]


No option for "He'll manage to put down this revolution and dye in bed in the arms of his buxom nurse"? Or maybe he goes out like Rocky (Nelson - not the Sly Stallone character) and dies in the saddle?

Personally, I think it'll likely be suicide, but if he does go that route I hope televises it and prevent Little Gray Rabbit from doing a CIA/Pinochet killed Allende conspiracy*.


*I know literally no one on the left who didn't buy into the Allende Assassination CT, myself included.

 

[andyandy]

I think people are underestimating the colonial. I predict he'll still be in charge 6 months from now (and beyond....)

 

[Darth Rotor]

The nearest air field is a hell of a drive from the part of Tripoli ...(snip)
I don't see how he is likely to escpe once the rebellion tightens its grip on Tripoli.

Lefty, I think he has access to a few helicopters.

Regarding this grip tightening, we've yet to see serious amounts of lead flying. When that begins, (or if it does) the chess board will change once again.

Geni's note about the 32d is one worth considering, but I agree with you on one point. Being Ghadaffi's logistic's chief about now has got to be an insanely difficult job.

 

[timhau]

But I imagine that death by natural causes is a long shot

The way he's been acting, a point-blank shot sounds like an almost-natural cause.

 

[I Ratant]

Mussolini was shot, then dangled.
It's Tro(t)sky.
Ghadaffi just might shout himself into a stroke.

 

[Toke]

I was going Ceaucescu myself....

Rolfe.

Same here, the lamppost is the closest equivalent, I do not expect much of a showtrial.