Dave Rogers
Bandaged ice that stampedes inexpensively through
While the conclusions are almost certainly nonsense, I'll give Mr Ross the credit for actually assembling some kind of argument that is actually not self-debunking - http://gordonssite.tripod.com/id1.html .
It seems to be on a different level to the likes of Lyte Trip or Christophera7, whose ideas are obviously nonsensical. I'd be interested in seeing just where his errors lie. Given his attack on JREF, I imagine that they've been pointed out already.
Most of the CT's are "not even wrong". Mr Ross seems to have advanced to being wrong.
I've looked over Ross's paper a few times now; the main reason I haven't formed a clear opinion on it is that I'm not enough of an engineer (or I haven't read the right engineering texts) to understand his arguments fully. However, it does seem to me that his entire analysis is based on an unrealistic model of the collapse mechanism. He's starting from the assumption that the supports of a floor are abruptly removed, leading to the part of the structure above those supports falling and making an impact on the part below, such that the impact on the lower support columns is entirely longitudinal (to his credit, he also comments on how idealised a model that is, but only to suggest that the rate of collapse is less than it predicts). He then analyses the failure of the columns to a purely compressive force. The issue I take with that is that any lateral displacement comparable with the width of a column will mean that the columns of the falling part impact, not on the lower column ends, but on the floors, which would be very much less able to absorb the impact. Since Ross also only finds an energy deficit of 17% for continuous collapse in the idealised case where the lower columns are most able to absorb the impact, it seems to me that the conditions for a self-arresting collapse are too narrowly constrained to be realistic. The real collapse featured the upper sections of both towers tilting, and that alone makes a direct column-to-column impact on all the columns geometrically impossible.
It's also worth noting that, had the collapse progressed as Ross assumes, the core columns would have failed at the same time as the rest of the structure, so the survival of the collapse by significant portions of the core columns argues against his analysis.
This is just the comment of a relatively uninformed layman. I'll be very interested to see what more Newtons Bit has to say on this, and the same from other engineers on the forum.
Dave