Cont: Global warming discussion V

Oh, come on, Arth: that's just not fair. As a poster, I like you: you generally make a lot of sense, and I agree with a lot of what you say. I have no reason to deliberately misunderstand you.
I also care a great deal about what's happening in the world with regard to global warming, and environmental issues in general. I believe that it is the responsibility of each and every one of us to make changes to our lifestyles, "go green", for want of a better phrase. If we don't, then nothing will happen that will alter the course we are on. If we do, then the effect will be significant, in all areas of society.
Now, what you seem to be saying is that, by all means, go green, but it will have almost no significant effect. Making eco-conscious lifestyle choices is, in your eyes, no more than window dressing, a salve for the conscience, a futile gesture. Every time I've asked you about this, you reply that it isn't what you mean, but support that by reposting comments of yours that say just that. How is this helpful? I think we should be encouraging people to make that change, and I don't see how your posts here are doing that. I see what you're saying as a disincentive to act.
It's also frustrating that, every time I ask you for clarification, you respond by reposting the exact same quotes that puzzled me the first time round. This isn't explaining. Saying again the thing I didn't understand the first time won't help my comprehension one whit.
Then there are your statements that industry won't change, or isn't changing. You've said that, then said the opposite, then went back to the first one again. You haven't addressed that part of my queries at all.
Ditto the 'panicky collective' and 'market forces' bits. I am no clearer as to what you mean there, because you have declined to elaborate.
In short, then, I am motivated to understand you, but your attempts so far to aid me in this are not working, and I don't get your mischaracterisation of my motives at all. I would love to come to an agreement, or at least an understanding. I even offered you an olive branch, but you rejected that, too. That's why I asked if anyone else could get what you're saying: not because I don't want to understand, but because I do.

To try for a simple summary from lazy memory, so feel free to correct me, arthwollipot -

Individual action is good for a number of reasons, but it will have very little effect on the larger situation.
Collective action is good for a number of reasons, but it will not actually solve the issues at hand. It could well help buy time to implement actual solutions, though.
Government and industry are the primary focuses that need to act to carry out meaningful change. Government by acting to accelerate positive changes so they happen in time to avert the worst and industry of various kinds because industries are the main culprits behind the damage being done.


Separately and personally, I tend to see the personal responsibility angle with regards to global warming that's been pushed as fundamentally flawed for much the same reasons as it's been fundamentally flawed every other time that certain interest groups have actively worked to employ DARVO and used the personal responsibility angle as a diversion from how they set things up to screw over the people, the ones who they claim should be exercising personal responsibility, to gain some advantage for themselves.

That's not to say that personal responsibility isn't important - it is. It's just that personal responsibility needs to be applied in a comprehensive manner, rather than just to those who don't have the power to change the rules as it suits them or otherwise flout what needs done and do so to the detriment of others.
 
Last edited:
To try for a simple summary from lazy memory, so feel free to correct me, arthwollipot -

Individual action is good for a number of reasons, but it will have very little effect on the larger situation.
Collective action is good for a number of reasons, but it will not actually solve the issues at hand. It could well help buy time to implement actual solutions, though.
Government and industry are the primary focuses that need to act to carry out meaningful change. Government by acting to accelerate positive changes so they happen in time to avert the worst and industry of various kinds because industries are the main culprits behind the damage being done.
Thank you. That wasn't so hard, was it?

I'm only contradicting myself when you're misreading what I'm saying, Yak.
 
Now, what you seem to be saying is that, by all means, go green, but it will have almost no significant effect. Making eco-conscious lifestyle choices is, in your eyes, no more than window dressing, a salve for the conscience, a futile gesture.
Not futile, just having a tiny effect.

So his argument is that what individuals do won't be nearly enough. I don't think he ever defined 'tiny', but let's say it's like 5% - and the other 95% is due to something else that we as individuals have no influence over.

Which is funny considering that he lives in Australia.

Rooftop PV to outpace all renewables in Australia
GEM’s December 2023 report shows that rooftop PV installation forecasts surpass current 41 GW levels of installed capacity in Australia's National Electricity Market (NEM) for coal, gas and hydro combined...

The scenarios are “Progressive Change,” “Step Change,” and “Green Energy Exports.” Progressive Change would see 43% emissions reduction by 2030 and net zero by 2050. The Step Change scenario is based on consumer-driven investment to maintain temperature below 2 C.

“No matter which way we cut this, these forecasts indicate we are headed for an amount of rooftop solar capacity (taking into account panel degradation) that is close to, or greater than typical average electricity demand,”
 
Thanks, Aridas, for at least trying. I appreciate it.
However, I'm afraid your explanation just deepens the quagmire, as I shall demonstrate.

To try for a simple summary from lazy memory, so feel free to correct me, arthwollipot -

Individual action is good for a number of reasons, but it will have very little effect on the larger situation.

1. Not what Arth was saying:
I refer my esteemed colleague to my previous post #1254 in which I repeat yet again that people should be doing the little things, because they will make a genuine difference.

I simply don't see how 'it will have very little effect' is the same as it 'will make a genuine difference'.
2. Also, that is not the whole point I was making. Firstly, I specifically talked about how individual actions can include pressuring governments, shareholder pressure on industry, and consumer choices also influencing industry. Secondly, no-one is saying that if one single individual out of 7 billion goes green, that will effect meaningful change. What I am saying is that the cumulative effect of many individuals going green will have a major effect. Even Arth acknowledged this, in the article he posted about solar power provision in Australia.
The baffling thing is that, when I made these points, Arth either ignored or rejected them- yet you are saying that this is what he meant:
OK. Look. I have little interest in going over the same posts again and again, while we argue about whether you said what you said, or not.
How about this? From your later clarifications, it would seem that this is what you actually are trying to say:
One person acting alone to select choices that are more sustainable and better for the environment will not have a big effect. That will only happen if enough people make those choices. The only way to get from not enough people to enough people is if individuals start to make those changes themselves. The cumulative effect will be to effect useful, measurable changes on a global scale.
How does that sound? Can we agree on this?

No, we can't


Collective action is good for a number of reasons, but it will not actually solve the issues at hand. It could well help buy time to implement actual solutions, though.

Arth made vague mention of 'panicky collectives' and 'market forces', which were the points I was trying to gain clarification on. Your explanation does not include his comments, so I am still none the wiser.
It's also a little bit sneaky, because I was talking about cumulative effects, not collective action. Arth has again ignored or rejected my point, and built something of a strawman.

Government and industry are the primary focuses that need to act to carry out meaningful change. Government by acting to accelerate positive changes so they happen in time to avert the worst and industry of various kinds because industries are the main culprits behind the damage being done.

Yes. Absolutely. I have said exactly this:
Well, that's a shame. I thought maybe we could come to some sort of amicable agreement. However, as you wish...
Firstly, then, you are ignoring my point that industry is not some separate entity in itself: it is made of people. It involves stakeholders. It is subject to government regulations. It is subject to market forces. Each one of these influences is composed of groups of people. Each group is composed of individuals. If those individuals exert enough pressure, from consumers to shareholders to company directors to governments, then industry will change.

Separately and personally, I tend to see the personal responsibility angle with regards to global warming that's been pushed as fundamentally flawed for much the same reasons as it's been fundamentally flawed every other time that certain interest groups have actively worked to employ DARVO and used the personal responsibility angle as a diversion from how they set things up to screw over the people, the ones who they claim should be exercising personal responsibility, to gain some advantage for themselves.

That's not to say that personal responsibility isn't important - it is. It's just that personal responsibility needs to be applied in a comprehensive manner, rather than just to those who don't have the power to change the rules as it suits them or otherwise flout what needs done and do so to the detriment of others.

Which is what I've been saying all along, and which Arth has rejected every time.
Personal responsibility doesn't just mean your purchasing choices. It includes exerting pressure on the parts of society that can make widespread and significant changes on a society-wide level.
arthwollipot said:
No, we can't [agree], because you're still ignoring humans' dependence on industry. Without decarbonising industry, gains will be in no way fast or consistent enough to ultimately save the world. What it will do is slow down disaster, perhaps for long enough to give society time to solve the bigger problems.

I specifically advocated putting pressure on industry, and Arth says here that I have ignored it. What am I supposed to make of this?

Then there's this:
I'm not ignoring that, I'm just denying the reductionism. A corporate entity does not behave solely according to the individual wills of individual people.

As Kay said to Jay "A person is smart - people are dumb panicky animals and you know it."

Groups of people - especially when confronted with market pressure - do not behave like individual people behave.

If you're still confused about what I'm saying, it's because you are motivated to misunderstand. Stop thinking in terms of individual motivations and start thinking about collectives, and you'll begin to see what I'm talking about. A collective does not behave like an individual does.

None of that seems relevant to the cumulative effects of multiple individuals doing the right thing. Aridas, perhaps- if it's not too much to ask- you could have a go at rephrasing or adding to this so I can see the relevance?
 
Thanks, Aridas, for at least trying. I appreciate it.
However, I'm afraid your explanation just deepens the quagmire, as I shall demonstrate.



1. Not what Arth was saying:


I simply don't see how 'it will have very little effect' is the same as it 'will make a genuine difference'.

Honestly, I'm a bit with arthwollipot when it comes to your 1. It's hard to take your attempted argument seriously, here. As was pretty consistent, he states that individual action is good for a number of reasons, hence the 'will make a genuine difference.' He also pretty clearly states that an individual's action will not have much effect with regards to the specific issue of climate change.

2. Also, that is not the whole point I was making. Firstly, I specifically talked about how individual actions can include pressuring governments, shareholder pressure on industry, and consumer choices also influencing industry. Secondly, no-one is saying that if one single individual out of 7 billion goes green, that will effect meaningful change. What I am saying is that the cumulative effect of many individuals going green will have a major effect. Even Arth acknowledged this, in the article he posted about solar power provision in Australia.

This bleeds into the collective action part, really so I'll address this more a little later. The statement that no one is saying that one single individual out of 7 billion going green is meaningful, though, and arthiwollipot was correctly called out after he posted a problematic argument invoking something close in post #1186.

The baffling thing is that, when I made these points, Arth either ignored or rejected them- yet you are saying that this is what he meant:

Honestly, what you stated there makes it sound like the focus is solely on individuals making personal changes in a personal capacity, not in a professional capacity, invoking your separately mentioned pressuring governments, shareholder pressure on industry, or anything else. Thus, it's entirely understandable to balk at that wording.


Arth made vague mention of 'panicky collectives' and 'market forces', which were the points I was trying to gain clarification on. Your explanation does not include his comments, so I am still none the wiser.

If I understand what you're referencing correctly, it's a well established truism that individual behavior is very often not reasonably equatable with the behavior of groups, especially organized groups. Hence, trying to use arguments based on individual behavior to project upon groups is fundamentally problematic. To bring forward that last bit you quoted - corporate entities are a grouping of people with behavior that is poorly understood and described when dealing with them as individuals. The same applies to populations, really, which is where the market forces bit comes in. Certainly, if all the individuals involved are absent of other constraints and forces in play, that would be one thing, but that's really, really not the case in reality when it comes to groups, especially groups like corporations where there's increasingly been constraints on the individuals to focus their actions and which actively work to change the forces that act on everyone to make things more profitable for themselves, generally with much more power and tenacity than any remotely comparable unorganized group. It's pretty literally the job of many employed by organized groups to do so, after all, and unorganized groups just don't tend to have anything close in play.

Slightly tangentially from that, there were potshots earlier in the thread about politicians just fulfilling the will of their constituents, which is how they get elected. That's made me roll my eyes, honestly. When it comes to the US and action to reduce climate change in particular, the problem political party is quite openly the Republican Party. The Republican Party is actually pretty notorious for openly ignoring the will of most of their constituents and often even sabotaging them on a lot of matters and for depending on much different tactics to gain and hold their power.


It's also a little bit sneaky, because I was talking about cumulative effects, not collective action. Arth has again ignored or rejected my point, and built something of a strawman.

Forgive me, but I'm uncertain of the specific difference you're relying upon here to differentiate between the two. Cumulative effects does speak to more of a time element than collective action does, yes, but otherwise, I see little difference to be had from describing such as collective action.



Yes. Absolutely. I have said exactly this:


Which is what I've been saying all along, and which Arth has rejected every time.
Personal responsibility doesn't just mean your purchasing choices. It includes exerting pressure on the parts of society that can make widespread and significant changes on a society-wide level.

To speculate - the rejection likely has more to do with wording and emphasis than a complete rejection of what you say. Your focus on individuals is not inherently wrong, in and of itself, but it neglects to acknowledge how the main entities in question cannot be reasonably approached as if they were solely unconstrained individuals, be it government, corporations, or the population in general. That can easily lead to rejection on the basis that it feels like a trick is being played by omitting very relevant things.


Aridas, perhaps- if it's not too much to ask- you could have a go at rephrasing or adding to this so I can see the relevance?

Hopefully, this helps a bit?
 
Last edited:
Solar panels are practically magical.

Mine paid for themselves in three years, and I didn't even lose interest on the money, because the energy retailer paid the up front costs and gave me a zero interest loan.

That was back in 2008, and they're still running quite happily.

My electricity account is currently in credit so I'm still generating more than I use, and that's on a piddly little 1.5 kW system. (It tends to even out over the depths of winter.)

At one point, the retailer phoned me up and asked me if I'd like to have them pay out the credit, because I was more than $1000 in the black. Happily I accepted the $1k from them, but haven't had to deal with that much excess power since I bought the PHEV in 2015.

Probably, in ten or twenty years time, I'll trade in the PHEV for a gopher, and continue to tootle around, silently and free.

Note that the improvements I've made to my home, all reduced the running costs of the home, as well as improving the livability. (Insulation, double glazing, external shutters.)
 
Honestly, I'm a bit with arthwollipot when it comes to your 1. It's hard to take your attempted argument seriously, here. As was pretty consistent, he states that individual action is good for a number of reasons, hence the 'will make a genuine difference.' He also pretty clearly states that an individual's action will not have much effect with regards to the specific issue of climate change.

Arth said the difference an individual could make was close to zero. My point is that this is a discouragement to people to take action in their own lives. A thing cannot be both good for a number of reasons, and have an effect close to zero, and in any case, I think we should be trying to persuade people to make good choices, not belittle and devalue the effect of those choices. Arth seems to think that telling people they can do what they like, but the effect will be close to zero is encouragement: I don't.


This bleeds into the collective action part, really so I'll address this more a little later. The statement that no one is saying that one single individual out of 7 billion going green is meaningful, though, and arthiwollipot was correctly called out after he posted a problematic argument invoking something close in post #1186.

Absolutely correct. Arth tried to make a point that we were talking about one individual, one single person in the whole world, rather than individuals acting independently. That was, as you say, wrong.


Honestly, what you stated there makes it sound like the focus is solely on individuals making personal changes in a personal capacity, not in a professional capacity, invoking your separately mentioned pressuring governments, shareholder pressure on industry, or anything else. Thus, it's entirely understandable to balk at that wording.

Perhaps, but Arth has had plenty of opportunities to take in my idea in its fullness, and respond to it. He continues to ignore or reject my points.


If I understand what you're referencing correctly, it's a well established truism that individual behavior is very often not reasonably equatable with the behavior of groups, especially organized groups. Hence, trying to use arguments based on individual behavior to project upon groups is fundamentally problematic.

Sure- but that's not what I'm doing. I'm not talking about organised groups, collectives or crowds. I'm talking about individuals, acting of their own volition. I am not projecting that behaviour onto groups at all.

To bring forward that last bit you quoted - corporate entities are a grouping of people with behavior that is poorly understood and described when dealing with them as individuals. The same applies to populations, really, which is where the market forces bit comes in. Certainly, if all the individuals involved are absent of other constraints and forces in play, that would be one thing, but that's really, really not the case in reality when it comes to groups, especially groups like corporations where there's increasingly been constraints on the individuals to focus their actions and which actively work to change the forces that act on everyone to make things more profitable for themselves, generally with much more power and tenacity than any remotely comparable unorganized group. It's pretty literally the job of many employed by organized groups to do so, after all, and unorganized groups just don't tend to have anything close in play.

Sorry, but you are still not getting my point. I am not talking about the group behaviour of corporations. I am talking about how people, individual people, can influence the directions of businesses.
Here's an example:
British oil and gas major Shell will face another shareholder rebellion as major investors, including the UK’s biggest pension fund, agree to back a fresh climate resolution after the last one was rejected in 2023.

A total of 27 investors are prepared to back a resolution filed by Dutch shareholder activist group Follow This. The climate resolution calls for Shell to do more to cut its emissions and align its medium-term emissions targets with the goals of the Paris Agreement, which seeks to limit global warming to below 1.5°C.
https://www.offshore-technology.com/news/shell-faces-shareholder-climate-rebellion/

27 people. Just 27, and they are having a go at making one of the oil giants behave in a more sustainable manner. I said this before, many times: shareholders and stakeholders can bring significant influence to bear.
This kind of action is becoming more and more widespread, as investors demand greater environmental responsibility from the firms they hold shares in:
https://www.dw.com/en/activist-investors-pressure-firms-to-go-green/a-60570878
I do not see how any of this has anything to do with the mysteries of corporate behaviour. I'm talking about how we can influence businesses by our own decisions.

Slightly tangentially from that, there were potshots earlier in the thread about politicians just fulfilling the will of their constituents, which is how they get elected. That's made me roll my eyes, honestly. When it comes to the US and action to reduce climate change in particular, the problem political party is quite openly the Republican Party. The Republican Party is actually pretty notorious for openly ignoring the will of most of their constituents and often even sabotaging them on a lot of matters and for depending on much different tactics to gain and hold their power.

Yes, I think the US is pretty much a lost cause, at least for now. However, there is hope for the rest of the world, I believe.


Forgive me, but I'm uncertain of the specific difference you're relying upon here to differentiate between the two. Cumulative effects does speak to more of a time element than collective action does, yes, but otherwise, I see little difference to be had from describing such as collective action.

I have already spelled this out, but OK, let me do it again:
My first example is the solar power situation in Australia, as linked to by Arth.
Individual people have been putting solar panels on their roofs. One person on a street. Then another. Then another- and, over time, the difference is described as 'staggering'. The article mentions the long life of solar panels, saying that capacity added 10 or more years ago is still there, leading to a huge cumulative effect. No collective action was needed here. No dumb, panicky animals.
I'll take as a second example, meat-eating in the UK. The beef industry is notorious as a major contributor of greenhouse gasses and of deforestation. Now I'm a vegetarian (yes, yes, spare me your howls of outrage: I am well aware of the intolerance of vegetarianism on this forum, but just leave it, OK?): I stopped eating meat back in 1985. At that time, vegetarianism was seen as weird, cranky, and I was the only veggie I knew, for years and years. Fast-forward to the present: now, almost 10% of Britons are vegetarian, and meat-eating is at its lowest level since records began. The effect of this is, again, cumulative. Not much difference with just me, but- and I reiterate, I am not a lecturing veggie: I have made one single convert in all my meat-free years- but a huge difference as others have chosen to do the same thing. No collective action: just individuals. No dumb, panicky animals, just reasoned choices. As meat consumption goes down, it cannot be denied that the effect on the meat industry will be profound. Less meat production means fewer cows, so less methane, less deforestation, and a smaller carbon footprint as less meat is transported around the world.
THAT is what I mean by cumulative effects.


To speculate - the rejection likely has more to do with wording and emphasis than a complete rejection of what you say. Your focus on individuals is not inherently wrong, in and of itself, but it neglects to acknowledge how the main entities in question cannot be reasonably approached as if they were solely unconstrained individuals, be it government, corporations, or the population in general. That can easily lead to rejection on the basis that it feels like a trick is being played by omitting very relevant things.

That may or may not be Arth's reasoning for rejecting my attempts at a mutual agreement.
However, what you say here is a misrepresentation of my argument. I have at no point claimed that industry is solely made up of uncontstrained indidivuals. I am saying that individuals can act. A CEO is an indivudual. A major shareholder is, too. If I own 51% of the shares of a company, I can absolutely influence the direction that company takes. As a consumer, I can influence that industry too, by buying or not buying their offerings, dependent on their sustainability. Governments, too, can be influenced, by putting pressure on individual MPs. If enough MPs can be persuaded, then governments will act. I have been very clear by what I mean by individuals influencing industry and governments: if you think omittng relevant things is a trick, then I wonder why these parts of my arguments are being omitted, so as to make them look like I'm saying something I'm not.


Hopefully, this helps a bit?

It does.
A bit.
Whether that benefit is cumulative remains to be seen. :D
 
Arth said the difference an individual could make was close to zero. My point is that this is a discouragement to people to take action in their own lives. A thing cannot be both good for a number of reasons, and have an effect close to zero, and in any case, I think we should be trying to persuade people to make good choices, not belittle and devalue the effect of those choices. Arth seems to think that telling people they can do what they like, but the effect will be close to zero is encouragement: I don't.

To reiterate, the statement was that the effect on Climate Change, specifically, will be small for any single person acting in a personal capacity. He did elaborate that he thinks that there are a number of other, more immediately impactful reasons to engage in the behaviors in question. There is no contradiction between something being good for a number of reasons and to have an effect close to zero when it comes to something different. This is rather decidedly not opposing efforts to try to persuade people to make good choices, but rather, it pretty well comes down to saying that strong arguments are better to use than tenuous ones.


Perhaps, but Arth has had plenty of opportunities to take in my idea in its fullness, and respond to it. He continues to ignore or reject my points.

It's not my place to argue there. That would be for Arthwollipot to do if he so chooses.


Sure- but that's not what I'm doing. I'm not talking about organised groups, collectives or crowds. I'm talking about individuals, acting of their own volition. I am not projecting that behaviour onto groups at all.

It is what you were asking me to help explain to you, I think, even if there was almost certainly some disconnect between you and arthwollipot. So, I'll skip over much of the following that addresses such.


27 people. Just 27, and they are having a go at making one of the oil giants behave in a more sustainable manner. I said this before, many times: shareholders and stakeholders can bring significant influence to bear.

Sure, and I do applaud such. It's worth saying that a very, very small minority of people have that kind of influence overall, though, which undermines how strong an argument that actually is when it comes to convincing those with dramatically less influence to act. Better for those with such influence, though, of course.


Yes, I think the US is pretty much a lost cause, at least for now. However, there is hope for the rest of the world, I believe.

The Republican Party may be. The US being a lost cause is a notably harder claim to defend. Under Biden and the Democrats, there have been significant strides towards making things better, even with the opposition. Hence, battleground might be a bit more appropriate than lost cause, at this point.


I have already spelled this out, but OK, let me do it again:
My first example is the solar power situation in Australia, as linked to by Arth.
Individual people have been putting solar panels on their roofs. One person on a street. Then another. Then another- and, over time, the difference is described as 'staggering'. The article mentions the long life of solar panels, saying that capacity added 10 or more years ago is still there, leading to a huge cumulative effect. No collective action was needed here. No dumb, panicky animals.

So, the main difference that you're pointing out is the lack of coordination when it comes to large groups of people doing positive things? This would seem to fall under the "market pressure" arthwollipot spoke of, though, too. The vegetarian bit that follows is again dealing with something similar. There are decent reasons to have a vegetarian diet, at last check, apparently including potential price tags, though that's rarely stated as a main reason.

Now I'm a vegetarian (yes, yes, spare me your howls of outrage: I am well aware of the intolerance of vegetarianism on this forum, but just leave it, OK?):

Just because... I'm curious about why I should judge you negatively for such, much less let out howls of outrage?



That may or may not be Arth's reasoning for rejecting my attempts at a mutual agreement.
However, what you say here is a misrepresentation of my argument.

Fair enough. After seeking to address the clarification that you requested, I didn't switch gears to directly address your argument, but instead remained in attempted clarification mode. That was your request, after all, and my desire to actually debate the main points that you've actually made is rather limited.

I have been very clear by what I mean by individuals influencing industry and governments: if you think omittng relevant things is a trick, then I wonder why these parts of my arguments are being omitted, so as to make them look like I'm saying something I'm not.

Less clear than you might think in some of your previous posts, as had been noted, but I'm not going to belabor the point further given the pointedly added context that you've added since then.

Admittedly, I did recognize that I wasn't directly addressing your argument with that last bit, but I ended up leaving it that way in fair part to reinforce the point that omitting rather important things can lead to unpleasant reactions, as well as what I previously stated. My apologies for any unhappiness that I caused in doing so.
 
Last edited:
Climate change is fanning the flames of NZ’s wildfire future, Port Hills is only the beginning
Last week, wildfire burnt through 650 hectares of forest and scrub in Christchurch's Port Hills. This is not the first time the area has faced a terrifying wildfire event.

The 2017 Port Hills fires burnt through almost 2,000 hectares of land, claiming one life and 11 homes. It took 66 days before the fires were fully extinguished.

It is clear New Zealand stands at a pivotal juncture. The country faces an increasingly severe wildfire climate. And our once relatively "safe" regions are now under threat.

At all levels of government, New Zealand needs to consider whether our current investment to combat fires will be enough in the coming decades...

The climate drivers of wildfires

Last year was the warmest year on record by a large margin. And with El Niño at full throttle into 2024, conditions in late-summer Aotearoa New Zealand are hot and dry. There is also plenty of vegetation fuel from the departing wet La Niña.

The tinder-dry scrub and grass vegetation in the Port Hills - an area that was around 30 percent above "extreme" drought fire danger thresholds - drove the flammability of the region. And on 13 February, when the latest fires started, a strong gusty northwesterly wind was blowing 40-50kph with exceptionally dry relative humidity values...

While conditions are already bad, our study revealed a concerning trend: the widespread emergence of a new wildfire climate, with regions previously unaffected by "very extreme" wildfire conditions now facing unprecedented threats...

Climate change is already driving insurance retreat - a phenomenon whereby coastal properties are unable to renew their insurance due sea level rise. It is plausible insurance companies could take a similar stance in extremely fire-prone areas.
As the headline says, this is only the beginning. The Western world is about to find out what the true financial cost of doing nothing is going to be - far more than the money we should have spent on preventing it.
 
Climate change is fanning the flames of NZ’s wildfire future, Port Hills is only the beginningAs the headline says, this is only the beginning. The Western world is about to find out what the true financial cost of doing nothing is going to be - far more than the money we should have spent on preventing it.

Minor stuff. Compared to the scale of fires in Aussie, Canada and other continental areas, what happens here is nothing.

Probably not that way to people affected, but Port Hills was all of 700 hectares - a single good-sized farm.

Canada's wildfires in 2023 were 15 million hectares.
 
Minor stuff. Compared to the scale of fires in Aussie, Canada and other continental areas, what happens here is nothing.

Probably not that way to people affected, but Port Hills was all of 700 hectares - a single good-sized farm.

Canada's wildfires in 2023 were 15 million hectares.
24.3 million hectares in Australia in the 2019-20 season, but it's not a competition. You've got a lot less land area than us, and more of it is actually useful.
 
Just because... I'm curious about why I should judge you negatively for such, much less let out howls of outrage?
Edited by zooterkin: 
If you want to discuss issues of forum moderation, FMF is the place to do it.

I don't know what your own stance is on this issue, but I know there are many here who have a total and aggressive intolerance of vegetarianism. If that isn't you, I'm happy.
 
Last edited by a moderator:
Edited by zooterkin: 
If you want to discuss issues of forum moderation, FMF is the place to do it.

I don't know what your own stance is on this issue, but I know there are many here who have a total and aggressive intolerance of vegetarianism. If that isn't you, I'm happy.

I see. My personal stance is, to keep it to the basics because this isn't a vegetarianism thread, that it's a matter of personal preference that doesn't harm others and thus is not really my business. If it's helping to reduce demand and thus normally prices for meat, I don't really see much serious cause for animosity or intolerance towards such by those who don't want to be vegetarians, though. As it stands, I keep trying to figure out ways to shift more of my diet towards fruits and vegetables in ways that I'll actually eat without risking the food going bad before I get around to eating it, but going further than that on the topic is probably begging for a rather OT tangent. Well, unless I note that I wish that I ended up buying less single use plastic as part of my efforts. Veggies that I can steam in the bag and fruit cups are things that I'm reasonably likely to actually eat regularly, but it annoys me that I don't have a realistic recycling option for the plastic waste. Recycling is opening another can of worms, though, albeit one that's probably a bit closer to on topic.
 
Last edited by a moderator:
Yep - I hate all the single use stuff and the fact that is may outlive the universe however there is some help from Ma Nature there....

Mutant bacteria? It all began in 2016, in a mud puddle behind a plastic bottle recycling plant in Osaka. Japanese researchers made a discovery that baffled the international scientific community: a new species of bacterium, Ideonella sakaiensis, capable of eating PET plastic thanks to its digestive enzymes.17 June 2023

You are what you eat is a bit of an eye opener on the scale of the meat problem...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oygkWmXyOaM

Individuals do make a difference ...Norway for example with the uptake on EVs and each bit of carbon emission you can avoid helps over time ....Carbon is forever....
https://www.nature.com/articles/climate.2008.122

Uptake of roof solar aided by incentives is not coercive but rather an attractive choice.

Now killing oil and gas subsidies is a much faster route and fraught.
 
Last edited:
24.3 million hectares in Australia in the 2019-20 season, but it's not a competition. You've got a lot less land area than us, and more of it is actually useful.

My point was it's not really an issue here. Aside from rare grass fires, the only wildfires we get are in unused areas of scrub.
 
There is an almost unending amount of innovation coming out of cheap ways to bind carbon, collect and store solar power, climate control buildings cheaply and efficiently, transport goods across the ocean at zero emissions etc..etc. etc.

We might be able to cope with Climate Change purely technologically, which would be a tremendous waste of an opportunity to truly reform the world into something better.
 
There is an almost unending amount of innovation coming out of cheap ways to bind carbon, collect and store solar power, climate control buildings cheaply and efficiently, transport goods across the ocean at zero emissions etc..etc. etc.

We might be able to cope with Climate Change purely technologically, which would be a tremendous waste of an opportunity to truly reform the world into something better.
I agree. Unfortunately it's not happening fast enough.
 
I've been involved in a couple of threads about vegetarianism in the past. I was met with a barrage of scorn and insults, and a great deal of lies about me, too. My attempts to rebut these lies were shut down by the mods.
Since then, I have learned not to mention my dietary preferences unless I really need to, and to be prepared for the incoming storm if I do so.
I don't know what your own stance is on this issue, but I know there are many here who have a total and aggressive intolerance of vegetarianism. If that isn't you, I'm happy.

One myth that was recently busted for me was that a plant based diet needs to be varied to get all the essential amino acids the human body needs compared to a meat based diet. It turns out that this is a misunderstanding or misrepresentation.

https://youtu.be/DMwf_9wqWY0?si=nHVawusQjsZD_0Qr

Consuming pretty much any food that can meet your daily energy requirements will provide enough of each of the essential amino acids in your diet, it's just that ratio of amino acids in meat is closer to what the human body needs than, say, rice. But if you eat enough rice to meet your daily energy requirements then you will still get all the essential amino acids the human body needs in sufficient quantity.

Not that I'm suggesting that just eating rice (or any other single food) is a good idea or healthy, but rather that you don't have to carefully plan a diet without meat in it to get what your body needs.

So there's one less excuse to not reduce meat consumption for the benefit of the environment (and personal health and medical expenses).
 
A huge percentage of the world, where meat is a luxury food, lives off of beans and rice, there's all your essential amino acids right there. I haven't seen much weirdness around vegetarians. Vegans, OTOH, they can be insufferable.
 

Back
Top Bottom