corplinx JREF Kid Joined Oct 22, 2002 Messages 8,952 Sep 7, 2004 #1 Bush up by double digits? Sounds too good to be true? (or bad) Well, turns out they oversampled republican voters. The actualy lead was about half or less than stated. Voters aren't as fickle as we thought.
Bush up by double digits? Sounds too good to be true? (or bad) Well, turns out they oversampled republican voters. The actualy lead was about half or less than stated. Voters aren't as fickle as we thought.
Suddenly Unregistered S Sep 7, 2004 #2 corplinx said: Bush up by double digits? Sounds too good to be true? (or bad) Well, turns out they oversampled republican voters. The actualy lead was about half or less than stated. Voters aren't as fickle as we thought. Click to expand... Polls also tend to undersample those that hang up the phone or otherwise refuse to answer a poll question but will still vote.
corplinx said: Bush up by double digits? Sounds too good to be true? (or bad) Well, turns out they oversampled republican voters. The actualy lead was about half or less than stated. Voters aren't as fickle as we thought. Click to expand... Polls also tend to undersample those that hang up the phone or otherwise refuse to answer a poll question but will still vote.
Dorian Gray Hypocrisy Detector Joined Nov 15, 2002 Messages 20,366 Sep 7, 2004 #3 What are you saying - that Dems tend to hang up on pollsters more than Reps?
Suddenly Unregistered S Sep 7, 2004 #4 Dorian Gray said: What are you saying - that Dems tend to hang up on pollsters more than Reps? Click to expand... No, that those that hang up on pollsters tend to be underrepresented in poll data.
Dorian Gray said: What are you saying - that Dems tend to hang up on pollsters more than Reps? Click to expand... No, that those that hang up on pollsters tend to be underrepresented in poll data.