Democratic caucuses and primaries

And there goes Mayor Pete on his way down just like the entry/exit polls looked, putting Betty in second behind Bernie. Those two now have more than half of all votes.
 
The numbers have finally started to change again.

Sanders jumps into the lead, and Warren vaults into 2nd. Biden falls to 5th.


Sanders: 1,811
Warren: 1,636
Buttigieg: 1,553
Klobuchar: 773
Biden: 722
 
I really have to wonder how Biden could be doing so badly.

I personally didn't understand how he was so obviously "electable" except that he was Obama's VP, but even then, how is it he is so far off the pace?

Is it something to do with the Iowa demographic?
 
angrysoba said:
I really have to wonder how Biden could be doing so badly.

I personally didn't understand how he was so obviously "electable" except that he was Obama's VP, but even then, how is it he is so far off the pace?

Is it something to do with the Iowa demographic?
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He was polling well, but polls don't necessarily capture how likely people are to actually show up at the caucuses, or how committed they are to their choice. I honestly think Biden was the first choice for "low-information" voters because they recognized his name. He had the highest name recognition going into it as the former VP.
 
God, who sold that software to the Iowa Democratic party? Has Professor Harold Hill given up band instruments and gone into computer software?
 
Yeah, I would bet that either Iowa goes to a primary system, or they lose their opening spot in elections from now on.
 
Puppycow said:
He was polling well, but polls don't necessarily capture how likely people are to actually show up at the caucuses, or how committed they are to their choice. I honestly think Biden was the first choice for "low-information" voters because they recognized his name. He had the highest name recognition going into it as the former VP.
Click to expand...

This could be a case of the enthusiasm gap.

Trump had enthusiastic supporters. According to dudalb, Bernie Bros are the equivalent of Trump supporters, meaning Sanders should do well.
 
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