Tero
Philosopher
The Michigan and Wisconsin polls are going Biden direction. There is no longer a 4% gap. The WI one is now undecided as the error in poll is bigger.I listened to a bit of Morning Joe.
It’s ridiculous. Morning Joe is comparing a national poll where Biden is ahead with state polls where he is mostly behind. Morning Joe then asks “why aren’t we talking about that poll then?” Because it doesn’t matter who wins the popular vote, Morning Joe! Have you learnt nothing from 2016, Morning Joe, you moron!
Then he says “oh look 20% of the NYT poll didn’t vote in the mid-terms! Oh yeah, these are ‘likely voters’!??”
Yes, Morning Joe! People vote at a much higher rate in the general election, Morning Joe! If you deliberately exclude all the people who didn’t vote in the mid-terms you have a higher risk of an unrepresentative sample, Morning Joe!
I can’t believe he is this stupid. Wasn’t he once a politician himself?
https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/michigan/trump-vs-biden
https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/wisconsin/trump-vs-biden