2006 Election Results

There are two districts where he is expected to win and one where he is not. So it is still close. But I think he will win.

It could tighten...but 8,000 votes is pretty hard to overturn....unless you've indication of massive fraud in a lot of places...that doesn't seem to be the case. This will stay a cliff-hanger, however, because of how long it will take the state to certify the count.
 
Conditional votes have just been added in Virginia at the precinct level. So they are recalculating the whole thing. Deja vu--Ohio all over again!

So it's difficult to tell who is going to win at this point.

http://sbe.virginiainteractive.org/index.htm
*Unofficial numbers*
J H Webb Jr // Democratic // 1,173,732 // 49.55%
G F Allen // Republican // 1,166,382 // 49.24%

Man, that's close!

DR
 
How many votes typically move in a recount?

Allen would need to get about 4000 of Webb's votes. Seems unlikely.
 
I don't think it's a recount at this point yet. It is simply that additional votes were added via conditional voting to certain precints. So a recalculation of percentages will be necessary. So those who projected previously would have done so with insufficient data.
 
How many votes typically move in a recount?

Allen would need to get about 4000 of Webb's votes. Seems unlikely.

Moving 4000 votes...unless you are in an atmosphere full of broad fears of vote fraud ... is near to impossible. Think Florida and what a mess it was...didn't move all that much and the margin was even narrower. IMO...the best Allan can hope to pick up is maybe 1500.
 
I was watching Fox News last night, and the basic agreement among both sides was that recounts do not typically result in an overturn. It was said that usually it just re-enforces the original winner. I think they also said a difference of .5 percent constitutes a recount. What those numbers are I'm not exactly clear. Maybe someone else here can verify what I've heard. ;)
 
Moving 4000 votes...unless you are in an atmosphere full of broad fears of vote fraud ... is near to impossible. Think Florida and what a mess it was...didn't move all that much and the margin was even narrower. IMO...the best Allan can hope to pick up is maybe 1500.

That's what I was thinking.
 
I was watching Fox News last night, and the basic agreement among both sides was that recounts do not typically result in an overturn. It was said that usually it just re-enforces the original winner. I think they also said a difference of .5 percent constitutes a recount. What those numbers are I'm not exactly clear. Maybe someone else here can verify what I've heard. ;)
I've heard that the rules are that if you have a difference of less than 1%, the state pays for the re-count. I guess otherwise someone else would pay.
 
So there were four immigration-related initiatives that passed in Arizona. One made English the official language of the state and the other limited some benefits that illegal immigrants could receive.

Does anyone know what the other two were? I have looked all over, and I couldn't find anything that described them.
 
So there were four immigration-related initiatives that passed in Arizona. One made English the official language of the state and the other limited some benefits that illegal immigrants could receive.

Does anyone know what the other two were? I have looked all over, and I couldn't find anything that described them.
I think there may have been many more than that. There are many propositions on their web site.

http://www.azsos.gov/election/2006/General/2006_General_results_query.htm
 
Thanks for that. It looks like it might have the info. Will take some digging, but it's more than I found.

I take it back. That didn't help. You could look up each initiative, see the percentage voting yes/no, but the descriptions of many of them were an absolute mess.
 
The more I think about it, the more I think Allen should ask for the recount (instead of conceeding as it looks like he may do later today) because I would love to see him lose twice. Its mean, but there you are...
 
The more I think about it, the more I think Allen should ask for the recount (instead of conceeding as it looks like he may do later today) because I would love to see him lose twice. Its mean, but there you are...

Heh. My man Montana Burns is refusing to concede and is not giving interviews.
 
Heh. My man Montana Burns is refusing to concede and is not giving interviews.


You know, in all seriousness, it is very hard. I've never been involved in an election this close...heck, I worked on the Dukakis campaign...so I know a "Thump'n"...when you are within a couple of thousand votes it still must seem possible. In spite of my hopes for both Tester and Webb...I do understnad why they don't want to give up. I remember Florida...Gore won the majority nationally, losing by a handful in Florida was unbelievable 9you can argue about how badly they ran the campaign, but that couple of thousand votes made hundreds of bad decisions manifiest).

I mean, when you think of it, in VA for example, the Macacca statement now looms large...at least as a starting point. That may have been the last straw for 3500 voters, and there you are. It is all small stuff when it is this close. It can all be second-guessed and endlessly reanalysed...again, think of how the Dems. still kick themselves over Gore...or what Kerry could have done to get himslef 35,000 more votes in Ohio.

Carter, McGovern, Dukakis, Goldwater, Mondale...their people never had to ask such questions...the disasters and their consequence were all large and had big implications.

Anyway, however much I dislike Allan, I do feel for those who have put so much into the campaign. I suspect he will soon do the classy thing. I'm not sure about Burns...he always struck me as a mean, little man...but adversity can bring out the best in everyone.

And, at the same time, it is democracy at work...and it may not be pretty, but thankfully it does, for the most part.
 

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