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Worlds Largest Virus Party?

I hope nobody here makes a living selling used motorcycles, there may be a significant oversupply coming up.
 
Thousands of fat maskless boomers stuffing themselves into bars every night... What could go wrong.
 
TragicMonkey said:
I hope nobody here makes a living selling used motorcycles, there may be a significant oversupply coming up.
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I think this could be the final nail in the coffin for Harley Davidson. They were doing poorly recently anyway, and now there's going to be a glut of tricked out used bikes about to hit the market combined with the deaths of some of their most loyal customers.
 
TragicMonkey said:
I hope nobody here makes a living selling used motorcycles, there may be a significant oversupply coming up.
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This might be a good validation of the current conventional wisdom on Covid containment. I wonder how hard it would be, in ten years or so, to do research on the used-Harley market post Sturgis 2020. Whatever the outcome, I bet it would provide useful data to epidemiologists and policy planners.
 
nelsondogg said:
I think this could be the final nail in the coffin for Harley Davidson. They were doing poorly recently anyway, and now there's going to be a glut of tricked out used bikes about to hit the market combined with the deaths of some of their most loyal customers.
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At least this has the merit of being a testable prediction. And it's a fairly easy one to test: All we have to do is wait. For how long, do you think? Do we wait one year? Two? Five? Ten?
 
theprestige said:
At least this has the merit of being a testable prediction. And it's a fairly easy one to test: All we have to do is wait. For how long, do you think? Do we wait one year? Two? Five? Ten?
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I should think one month would provide substantial data. Two weeks to show symptoms, two weeks to die from it.

nelsondogg said:
Thousands of fat maskless boomers stuffing themselves into bars every night... What could go wrong.
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I'm not much for stereotyping, but the live feeds from the gathering shows that many (many, many) of those attendees have at least one of the high-risk factors -- namely obesity.

It did make me wonder -- why are so many bikers so damn fat?
 
alfaniner said:
I should think one month would provide substantial data. Two weeks to show symptoms, two weeks to die from it.


I'm not much for stereotyping, but the live feeds from the gathering shows that many (many, many) of those attendees have at least one of the high-risk factors -- namely obesity.

It did make me wonder -- why are so many bikers so damn fat?
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Beer. And lots of it.
 
Should we start a pool at the number of deaths that will be directly tied to infection at Sturgis?
 
I worked Sturgis as a teen in 2008*.

It's a week long bender of a mostly older crowd. Lots of retirees showing off their expensive toys. Space is limited, being a small town in S. Dakota, so many end up camping in tight quarters, either in tents or RVs. All the events are super crowded, either concerts, or street attractions, or other gimmicks.

It's gonna be a super spreader event. I feel bad for the locals, even more so than usual. People come from far and wide for the rally, and many will be bringing covid with them or taking it back home.


*I always remember the year because they set us laborers to picking up chuckable stones in the concert area. McCain's Straight Talk Express was coming by for a campaign speech and they didn't want the Senator to get pelted with any stones by drunk bikers.
 
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SuburbanTurkey said:
It's gonna be a super spreader event. I feel bad for the locals, even more so than usual.
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That seems to be applied to things several orders of magnitude smaller than this will be. I mean they call a party that only gets 30 people infected a super spreader event. When this gets 30,000 people infected doesn't it deserve some more impactful name?
 
A quarter million of these nitwits. Just stunning, as a niche group of imbeciles. Hopefully they don't get out much away from their circle of science-uncomprehending biker friends.
 
When I lived in Rapid City, we knew several families that would fund their annual vacations by renting out their houses, or even just their yards, to rally attendees.

Not sure which is worse, trying to bunker down in your house during the event, or trying to travel elsewhere during Covid.
 
SuburbanTurkey said:
When I lived in Rapid City, we knew several families that would fund their annual vacations by renting out their houses, or even just their yards, to rally attendees.

Not sure which is worse, trying to bunker down in your house during the event, or trying to travel elsewhere during Covid.
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I heard that the mayor of Sturgis is making sure that residents can have all essentials delivered to their houses if they want to bunker down as much as possible. At least there is that.
 
chrispy said:
I heard that the mayor of Sturgis is making sure that residents can have all essentials delivered to their houses if they want to bunker down as much as possible. At least there is that.
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That's something, but the virus lingers in the people that remain behind. Bars and hotels and all the other business necessary to support such a large endeavor require legions of people to operate, and many of the workers are local to Sturgis or, like a younger me, brought in from neighboring communities.

I mean, there's nothing really there to support all these people, it has to be brought in. The place I worked was a cow pasture for the rest of the year. We cut down the grass, marked out RV spots with spray paint, and set up masses of stages and food stands and all the other things necessary for human life. It's a manpower heavy endeavor, and even then, the people live in filthy conditions for the duration.

I fully expect that Sturgis will be a stand-out hotpot for Covid in the region after the rally. I would love to be wrong about this.
 
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alfaniner said:
I should think one month would provide substantial data. Two weeks to show symptoms, two weeks to die from it.
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... You're right. I was thinking about how long it would take for their estates to get wound up and their used motorcycles to hit the market in large enough numbers to be statistically significant.

But actually we'd know the truth much faster just from contact tracing. One month it is!
 
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