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Why not partition Iraq?

Polaris

Penultimate Amazing
Joined
Apr 8, 2006
Messages
11,396
Since Iraq was an unnatural creation of imperial convenience, why insist on the maintainance of its current borders?

I've heard Bush say at least once and possibly more that Iraq will remain a united nation. Why? It seems like as soon as Saddam was gone the three sides (or at least the Shi'ites and Sunnis) couldn't wait to start slaughtering each other, so what's wrong with carving the sucker up along ethnic lines? If keeping it together requires either a butcher like Saddam or Balkanesque ethnic civil war, what is the importance of keeping it together?
 
Since Iraq was an unnatural creation of imperial convenience, why insist on the maintainance of its current borders?

I've heard Bush say at least once and possibly more that Iraq will remain a united nation. Why?

Maybe for the same reason the United States is "united"?

Maybe for the same reason the United Nations is "united"?

Partition is a scam. It empowers the local "Boss Hogg."

It seems like as soon as Saddam was gone the three sides (or at least the Shi'ites and Sunnis) couldn't wait to start slaughtering each other, so what's wrong with carving the sucker up along ethnic lines?

Let the killers kill each other. Help them along by killing them as well.

The rest of the folks (who happen to be the majority) can do quite well living amongst each other once the kooks are gone.

If keeping it together requires either a butcher like Saddam or Balkanesque ethnic civil war, what is the importance of keeping it together?

The goal is getting rid of the killers.
 
The main problem appears to be division of resources. All of the oil fields are in the eastern provinces and grouped rather densly, so nobody wants to be stuck with only the western provinces or any places without oil. Of course, you could draw the borders so that each sect has a similar amount of resources, but they would be very artificial and not conforming to the actual ethnic divisions of the country. But the three (or more?) borders would all come togther over the oil fields, a recipe for disaster if I've ever seen one.
oil_fields_map.gif
 
Originally Posted by Huntster

Let the killers kill each other. Help them along by killing them as well.
LOL. Yeah. Let's keep the killing up until they learn to be less violent....

No, the killing won't teach others to be less violent.

It removes those who need killing.

You are really a piece of work, Huntster.

Yeah. Unique, to be sure..............
 
The main problem appears to be division of resources. All of the oil fields are in the eastern provinces and grouped rather densly, so nobody wants to be stuck with only the western provinces or any places without oil. Of course, you could draw the borders so that each sect has a similar amount of resources, but they would be very artificial and not conforming to the actual ethnic divisions of the country. But the three (or more?) borders would all come togther over the oil fields, a recipe for disaster if I've ever seen one.
[qimg]http://www.suntimes.com/special_sections/iraq/images2/oil_fields_map.gif[/qimg]

You make an excellent point. However, the British have been there/done that. That's what created the current Iraq.

Are you stating that it's the oil that is driving the current civil war, and not sectarian differences?

Or that oil (money) can solve it?

I'd say that you don't have a complete grip on tribalism.
 
You make an excellent point. However, the British have been there/done that. That's what created the current Iraq.

Are you stating that it's the oil that is driving the current civil war, and not sectarian differences?
No, I am not saying that, but it is a severe impediment to partitioning. Religion is fine as a motivation, but it is fairly far up Maslow's pyramid. For example, some folks may hate west coast liberals, but would they favor California becoming its own nation, taking all it's silicon valley and vegetable farms with it?

Or that oil (money) can solve it?
you'd be surprised what money can solve. Some celebrity (I forget which one) referring to his divorce trial said, "She cried, and the judge dried her tears with my checkbook."

But in this case, we're talking a LOT of money. However, perhaps not as much as it would have been if we had just paid them off to partition instead of invading. Hard to say.

I'd say that you don't have a complete grip on tribalism.
I think I understand it pretty well. I said before the invasion (you can search for it if you like) that if we deposed Saddam the country would descend into tribal warfare. I also said that we would easily win the war, but we would probably never win the peace. Damn, I'm a friggin prophet.
 
Originally Posted by Huntster
You make an excellent point. However, the British have been there/done that. That's what created the current Iraq.

Are you stating that it's the oil that is driving the current civil war, and not sectarian differences?

No, I am not saying that, but it is a severe impediment to partitioning. Religion is fine as a motivation, but it is fairly far up Maslow's pyramid. For example, some folks may hate west coast liberals, but would they favor California becoming its own nation, taking all it's silicon valley and vegetable farms with it?[/

I hate the political and judicial power California wields over Alaska, don't give much of a damn about Maslow's Heirarchy, and would absolutely love the prospect of California becoming it's own nation.

It wouldn't be the first time, and like the last time, it wouldn't last long......

Originally Posted by Huntster
Or that oil (money) can solve it?

you'd be surprised what money can solve.

Actually, no. I wouldn't.

Like bullets. You'd be surprised what they can do.

Some celebrity (I forget which one) referring to his divorce trial said, "She cried, and the judge dried her tears with my checkbook."

Too much money, and not enough bullets........

But in this case, we're talking a LOT of money. However, perhaps not as much as it would have been if we had just paid them off to partition instead of invading. Hard to say.

Yup. Hard to say.

Let the bullets and bombs run their course. Then let's talk oil/money.

Originally Posted by Huntster
I'd say that you don't have a complete grip on tribalism.

I think I understand it pretty well. I said before the invasion (you can search for it if you like) that if we deposed Saddam the country would descend into tribal warfare.

You were right.

I was in the same camp.

I also said that we would easily win the war, but we would probably never win the peace. Damn, I'm a friggin prophet.

It's easy to win a war.

It's impossible to win peace.

Don't need to be much of a prophet to know that.
 
Since Iraq was an unnatural creation of imperial convenience, why insist on the maintainance of its current borders?

I've heard Bush say at least once and possibly more that Iraq will remain a united nation. Why? It seems like as soon as Saddam was gone the three sides (or at least the Shi'ites and Sunnis) couldn't wait to start slaughtering each other, so what's wrong with carving the sucker up along ethnic lines? If keeping it together requires either a butcher like Saddam or Balkanesque ethnic civil war, what is the importance of keeping it together?

Well, that would be the NEXT thing to kill people over in Iraq:

Muhammed: You got a bigger piece than we did.

Habib: No we didn't! Besides, your piece holds Bagdhad!

Abdul: Well, we don't want our piece bordering Turkey!
 
I hate the political and judicial power California wields over Alaska, don't give much of a damn about Maslow's Heirarchy, and would absolutely love the prospect of California becoming it's own nation.
Really? You wouldn't mind one of the major centers of science, education, agriculture, and natural beauty becoming a foreign power? You really should be careful what you wish for.

It wouldn't be the first time, and like the last time, it wouldn't last long......
And it took the deadliest war this country has ever seen to bring it back together. Would you call that a good thing?

Like bullets. You'd be surprised what they can do.
No, I know what they can do. Sometimes, but not always, they bring about political change. Is it worth the price? Sometimes. I still favor diplomacy.

Let the bullets and bombs run their course. Then let's talk oil/money.
Bullets and bombs have been "running their course" ever since they were invented. Do you expect that to end any time soon? Do you think talking oil/money needs to wait until there are no bullets flying?

You were right.

I was in the same camp.
I'm glad to hear that, although I suspect our reasons were different.

It's easy to win a war.
Not true. It's easy if you have overwhelming power. Even then it is iffy. Has Israel won their war over the people who hate them? They have lots of power.

It's impossible to win peace.
Also not always true. US relations with Vietnam are fairly good now. And Japan, the country we dropped the A-bombs on, is one of our greatest allies. Germany too.

Don't need to be much of a prophet to know that.
Well, I wish Bushco had had such a prophet. They couldn't seem to figure it out, nor did they have any realistic plans for what to do after the war.
 
Maybe for the same reason the United States is "united"?

Maybe for the same reason the United Nations is "united"?

Presumably, the participants want to be united. It's unclear that will ever be the case in present day Iraq.

Partition is a scam. It empowers the local "Boss Hogg."

This would be a bad thing, why?
 
Originally Posted by Huntster
No, the killing won't teach others to be less violent.

It removes those who need killing.
And it prohibits replacements?

My name is Inego Montoya. You killed my father. Prepare to die.

Your daddy was a damned terrorist, Inego. Sorry.

BOOM!

Bury Inego next to his father...........
 
Originally Posted by Huntster
I hate the political and judicial power California wields over Alaska, don't give much of a damn about Maslow's Heirarchy, and would absolutely love the prospect of California becoming it's own nation.

Really? You wouldn't mind one of the major centers of science, education, agriculture, and natural beauty becoming a foreign power? You really should be careful what you wish for.

That major center of science, education, agriculture, and natural beauty can't seem to provide enough energy to meet their needs. They need to trade like everybody else.

What I can do without from California is their cultural, political, idealogical, and judicial meddling. Political seperation might help that. Ultimately, though, it would be a small change. Just like the past 40 years, cultural refugees from California infect other areas (started with Oregon in the 1960s, then the Rockies, now Alaska, etc). People screwed California up with their wacky ideas, got sick of it, moved to other places, then proceeded to do the same thing all over again.

Idiots.

Originally Posted by Huntster
It wouldn't be the first time, and like the last time, it wouldn't last long......

And it took the deadliest war this country has ever seen to bring it back together. Would you call that a good thing?

You talking about the War Between the States?

No, it wasn't a good thing.

Originally Posted by Huntster
Like bullets. You'd be surprised what they can do.

No, I know what they can do. Sometimes, but not always, they bring about political change. Is it worth the price? Sometimes. I still favor diplomacy.

Me, too. As long as it works.

Originally Posted by Huntster
Let the bullets and bombs run their course. Then let's talk oil/money.

Bullets and bombs have been "running their course" ever since they were invented. Do you expect that to end any time soon?

Nope. That will never end.

Do you think talking oil/money needs to wait until there are no bullets flying?

Nope. I think talking oil/money can go forward while the terrorists are rooted out and killed with extreme prejudice, but at no time can terrorists participate in oil/money talks, and at no time should rooting them out to be eliminated be ended.

Originally Posted by Huntster
You were right.

I was in the same camp.

I'm glad to hear that, although I suspect our reasons were different.

I'd say we both simply recognized reality.

Originally Posted by Huntster
It's easy to win a war.

Not true. It's easy if you have overwhelming power. Even then it is iffy. Has Israel won their war over the people who hate them? They have lots of power.

Each time their Arab neighbors attacked Israel, Israel emerged victorious.

It was more a matter of will, determination, and tactics than raw power.

They have still not "won the peace", because that's impossible.

Get it yet?

Originally Posted by Huntster
It's impossible to win peace.

Also not always true. US relations with Vietnam are fairly good now. And Japan, the country we dropped the A-bombs on, is one of our greatest allies. Germany too.

You (or any individual or entity) have no control over a mutual endeavor. I cannot force or compel someone to be peaceful. Peace is a two way street. Those who you wish peace with must want it, too.

Originally Posted by Huntster
Don't need to be much of a prophet to know that.

Well, I wish Bushco had had such a prophet. They couldn't seem to figure it out, nor did they have any realistic plans for what to do after the war.

It's not their problem. It's the Iraqi's problem. The goal was to eliminate Saddam, and for obvious reasons. If the Iraqis can't get it together, there's nothing anybody else can do about it.
 
Quote:
Maybe for the same reason the United States is "united"?

Maybe for the same reason the United Nations is "united"?

Presumably, the participants want to be united. It's unclear that will ever be the case in present day Iraq.

Correct. And the same reasons why they don't want union is the reason the region is continually undergoing warfare between nations.

The extremists there are continually gaining power through violence.

Quote:
Partition is a scam. It empowers the local "Boss Hogg."

This would be a bad thing, why?

The results are the likes of Saddam Hussein and Muqtada al-Sadr.

The bottom line is that people like that need to be contained or neutralized.
 
And the same reasons why they don't want union is the reason the region is continually undergoing warfare between nations.

So why try to push for a united Iraq?

The bottom line is that people like that need to be contained or neutralized.

One, it seems they could do a good job of containing each other.

Two, regardless of US actions, is there any reason to believe the regions won't end up with locally empowered Boss Hoggs anyways? It seems clear that the US had no plan other than to get Hussein, and still doesn't. Regional factions are bound to rise and occupy the power vacuum. They already have.

Third, if a region wants a regional strongman, should they not get what they want? Would that not be democracy, after all?
 
Quote:
And the same reasons why they don't want union is the reason the region is continually undergoing warfare between nations.

So why try to push for a united Iraq?

Right now, so that you're holding one immature hand instead of three or four. Eventually it's six of one, half dozen of the other, IMO. They'll never get along with each other, whether they fly one flag or ten.

Quote:
The bottom line is that people like that need to be contained or neutralized.

One, it seems they could do a good job of containing each other.

Two, regardless of US actions, is there any reason to believe the regions won't end up with locally empowered Boss Hoggs anyways?

Yes. Warlords are the norm in Afghanistan.

At least they aren't Heads of States with votes in the U.N.

It seems clear that the US had no plan other than to get Hussein, and still doesn't.

Excuse me, but if the U.S. had a "plan", they'd be accused of imperialism.

The "plan" was to get rid of the dictator/monster Saddam and his next-in-line sons for obvious reasons. As far as setting up a new government, that is up to the Iraqis. We can't and shouldn't do it for them.

Regional factions are bound to rise and occupy the power vacuum. They already have.

Yup. It was inevitable.

Third, if a region wants a regional strongman, should they not get what they want?

Sure. Knock yourselves out.

And when he becomes a threat to us, we'll come in, kill or take him, and leave again.

We've gotta get used to their BS, and they'd better get used to ours.

Would that not be democracy, after all?So why try to push for a united Iraq?

I don't "push" for a united Iraq. At this point, I'd simply like to deal with one set of fools than several.

I really don't give a damn how they do it or why. It's their problem, not mine.
 
Originally Posted by Huntster
Your daddy was a damned terrorist, Inego. Sorry.

BOOM!

Bury Inego next to his father...........
A) It's Inigo.

Thank you.

B) Reclusive Spanish swordsmiths are not known for terrorist leanings.

And in the story Montoya's father was murdered by an evil man. However, Tricky used the storyline to illustrate the revenge factor.

I reject fear of revenge. Some vengence is inevitable. It doesn't matter.

Terrorists must be neutralized. I prefer to kill them than to hold them.

If their children come seeking revenge, kill them, too.

Goodbye and good riddance.
 
Why don't we (the US Army) just leave Iraq. How about tomorrow. It's only making things worse in terms of inflaming Moslem extremism - and no I don't buy the Bush party line that if the USA leaves (ends the occupation) that an Al Qaeda-run state will emerge from the rubble of Iraq.

Spy Agencies Say Iraq War Worsens Terror Threat

By MARK MAZZETTI
Published: September 24, 2006
WASHINGTON, Sept. 23 — A stark assessment of terrorism trends by American intelligence agencies has found that the American invasion and occupation of Iraq has helped spawn a new generation of Islamic radicalism and that the overall terrorist threat has grown since the Sept. 11 attacks.

The classified National Intelligence Estimate attributes a more direct role to the Iraq war in fueling radicalism than that presented either in recent White House documents or in a report released Wednesday by the House Intelligence Committee, according to several officials in Washington involved in preparing the assessment or who have read the final document.

http://www.nytimes.com/2006/09/24/w...252be85d1b39fa&ei=5088&partner=rssnyt&emc=rss
 

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