GreedyAlgorithm
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- Joined
- Aug 29, 2005
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- 569
JetLeg brings up the question of whether or not learning an arguer was drunk at the time he made his argument should lead us to believe the argument is less likely to be true in this thread. There's something intuitively compelling about the claim that it should, and something else compelling about the claim that it's just an ad hominem.
Here is the difference:
The substance of the argument itself screens off the drunkenness of the arguer. Obviously if the argument is sound then it is sound regardless of the state of the one making the argument. If however we do not know the argument itself, then knowing that the arguer was drunk is very relevant evidence that once we know the argument, we are more likely to find it fallacious. In terms of causality, being drunk is one possible cause of making bad arguments, but is not the cause of any instantiated argument being fallacious. In the causal graph, we'd see
DRUNKENNESS ==> SPECIFIC ARGUMENT MADE ==> FALLACIOUS ARGUMENT
as one subset of the graph. Until we observe the value of SPECIFIC ARGUMENT MADE (i.e. hear the actual argument), if we observe that DRUNKENNESS is higher, we compute that FALLACIOUS ARGUMENT is higher. But if we know the actual value of SPECIFIC ARGUMENT MADE, it screens off the "probability flow" from DRUNKENNESS to FALLACIOUS, and knowing that DRUNKENNESS is higher no longer raises FALLACIOUS.
And so it is ad hom to continue to use evidence of drunkenness as evidence against the argument once you know the argument, but it is not ad hom before. This is why it's fine to decline even reading another of Ray Comfort's arguments - it's so unlikely that the argument is any good, it's a better use of your time to do other things. Did you actually read one, though, the mere fact that it is Ray Comfort's will no longer help you guess whether the argument is good or bad - you know too much now.
(or read this on argument from authority: Argument screens off authority)
Here is the difference:
The substance of the argument itself screens off the drunkenness of the arguer. Obviously if the argument is sound then it is sound regardless of the state of the one making the argument. If however we do not know the argument itself, then knowing that the arguer was drunk is very relevant evidence that once we know the argument, we are more likely to find it fallacious. In terms of causality, being drunk is one possible cause of making bad arguments, but is not the cause of any instantiated argument being fallacious. In the causal graph, we'd see
DRUNKENNESS ==> SPECIFIC ARGUMENT MADE ==> FALLACIOUS ARGUMENT
as one subset of the graph. Until we observe the value of SPECIFIC ARGUMENT MADE (i.e. hear the actual argument), if we observe that DRUNKENNESS is higher, we compute that FALLACIOUS ARGUMENT is higher. But if we know the actual value of SPECIFIC ARGUMENT MADE, it screens off the "probability flow" from DRUNKENNESS to FALLACIOUS, and knowing that DRUNKENNESS is higher no longer raises FALLACIOUS.
And so it is ad hom to continue to use evidence of drunkenness as evidence against the argument once you know the argument, but it is not ad hom before. This is why it's fine to decline even reading another of Ray Comfort's arguments - it's so unlikely that the argument is any good, it's a better use of your time to do other things. Did you actually read one, though, the mere fact that it is Ray Comfort's will no longer help you guess whether the argument is good or bad - you know too much now.
(or read this on argument from authority: Argument screens off authority)