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Predict The Electoral College

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Loss Leader

I would save the receptionist., Moderator
Loss Leader
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It's simple: Record your prediction for the Electoral College results of the Presidential Election (currently scheduled for November 8).

Break it down by state if you want. Go ahead and predict the popular vote as well. Pro/anti-candidate arguments aren't required because we have four thousand other active threads for that.

Here's CNN's Interactive Map to help in your calculations.

I'm going to predict:

Clinton - 303
Trump - 235

I gave Clinton Florida and Nevada. I gave Trump half of Maine, North Carolina and New Hampshire.
 
Last edited:
Loss Leader said:
It's simple: Record your prediction for the Electoral College results of the Presidential Election (currently scheduled for November 8).

Break it down by state if you want. Go ahead and predict the popular vote as well. Pro/anti-candidate arguments aren't required because we have four thousand other active threads for that.

Here's CNN's Interactive Map to help in your calculations.

I'm going to predict:

Clinton - 303
Trump - 235

I gave Clinton Florida and Nevada. I gave Trump half of Maine, North Carolina and New Hampshire.
Click to expand...

I'm going to swap North Carolina, New Hampshire, and Florida. I think Clinton will get NC, and NH while Trump carries Florida. There's all sorts of crazy in Florida.
 
plague311 said:
I'm going to swap North Carolina, New Hampshire, and Florida. I think Clinton will get NC, and NH while Trump carries Florida. There's all sorts of crazy in Florida.
Click to expand...


If Clinton takes NC, she sweeps the board. Still, if there's a state that's proven it has no problem putting its thumb on the scale for the Republican candidate, it's Florida.
 
Loss Leader said:
If Clinton takes NC, she sweeps the board. Still, if there's a state that's proven it has no problem putting its thumb on the scale for the Republican candidate, it's Florida.
Click to expand...

I think NC has outdone Florida for putting its thumb on the scale for the Republican candidate. Is it still legal to vote if you're a minority there or is the one polling place still open?
 
Loss Leader said:
If Clinton takes NC, she sweeps the board. Still, if there's a state that's proven it has no problem putting its thumb on the scale for the Republican candidate, it's Florida.
Click to expand...

It is going to be harder to do then in 2000,since Florida is being so closely watched.
And if it goes to court, there will be not be an early surrender by the Dems as in 2000.They will fight it out to the bitter end.
BTW both sides are lawyering up ...just in case.
 
I think Clinton will get more than 270.

(I think Puppycow won a similar prediction thread in 2012. Nate Silver's model was spot-on. I over-estimated Romney support.)
 
Loss Leader said:
I hope she wins by a comfortable margin because then the election will just be over. I think it's too optimistic, though. Nate Silver's only giving her 290.
Click to expand...

I think that's damned impressive for a candidate that is only going to win one demographic group: white men.
 
I have gazed into my crystal ball:

New Hampshire: Exit polls start showing Clinton with an early lead, but then somehow Trump starts making a big comeback and nobody knows why. In the end it isn’t enough. Clinton wins by a hair.

North Carolina: The Good Ole Boys bring it home for Trump.

Florida: The weirdos come out of the woodwork to give Trump a slight edge.

Ohio: Trump takes Ohio early and the news networks can’t shut up about how Ohio always determines the election.

Iowa: Farmer’s wives have been telling pollsters they support Trump because doing otherwise would ostracize them in their community and enrage their husbands, but when alone in the booth and having to choose between a cursing, misogynistic, sexual harasser and abuser who denigrates women and the first woman president, their finger “accidentally” checks the box for Clinton. However, many others who don't like Trump but can't bring themselves to vote for Clinton, just select the option for a straight Republican ticket to avoid have to directly vote for either. Trump comes out ahead.

Arizona: Trump wins after some skirmishes at the polls between whites and Hispanics.

Nevada: As the early results start showing Trump swinging all the swing states, at least one person shows up at the polls to ask if they can change their earlier Johnson vote to Trump. The Democrat ground game gets people to the polls and Clinton takes it by a tiny margin.

Trumps demands recounts in Nevada and New Hampshire and (for no reason) Pennsylvania. Clinton counters with a demand for recounts in Florida, Maine, and maybe Iowa. The recounts that are allowed don’t change any results.

Clinton wins 272 to 266.


(I'm not splitting the million dollars with you, Shemp.)
 
Wait. I forgot I gave Nevada to Clinton. So it's 278 to 260.

(I was actually going to share the MDC prize with you, Shemp. Believe me. Don't you understand sarcasm?)
 
I'll be holding a press conference when I'll explain all. Be sure to stay tuned for the news. It will be held in the Foolmewunz Ballroom of the Grand Foolmewunz Tower, ahead of schedule and under budget.
 
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