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Christie not running

I think he is smart, I would expect him to run in 2016. I suspect that was his plan all along.
 
The problem with Jeb will be the memory of his brother, I suspect he would have trouble overcoming that and winning. On the other hand I can see Christie winning. By 2016 I would suspect the race to be more in the center and that will be to Christie's advantage.
 
He's calling a press conference to say what he's said 19 times already??

Chris Christie - There's a better chance that an asteroid will hit this planet and kill all life as we know it than there is that I'll run for president.

Political Pundits - So you're saying there's a chance...
 
I'm glad he's not running. I wouldn't want to have a person in office who simply doesn't want to be there. Finish the job you started (unlike some governors that shall go unmentioned) and then make up your mind.

Michael
 
Chris Christie - There's a better chance that an asteroid will hit this planet and kill all life as we know it than there is that I'll run for president.

So he is running. The chances that an asteroid will eventually strike the earth are quite high.

Steve S
 
I'm not all the surprised. The NJ governor has made it clear repeatedly that he was not interested in running. Probably out of politeness he told supporters he would reconsider.

I did see a new draft was already in the works. This time Eric Cantor is getting the invite to test the waters.

Please God, yes.

People who know firearms remember his handling of the stray round that went through a window in his office building and the people left devastated by Irene and a lot of smaller events remember his gallant stand to destroy Social Security.

Please see that Obama has to face that schmuck in 2012..
 
Ben, I think Romney will eventually accrue the "he's not Obama" vote in significant numbers. Not sure he'll get many swing votes, however.
 
And Romney is one of the only Republicans I wouldn't outright fear in the White House.
 
Christie is smart.
Yep. Very smart. The GOP, in spite of the economy, is still a slight underdog for this race, and if you lose once, it is unlikely you will be nominated again, Richard Nixon notwithstanding. But Christie's support could be one hell of a big bargaining chip to get him things he wants, including a bit of logrolling in the next election. So for right now, he sits back and plays kingmaker. Nobody criticizes him. Nobody dares mess with him. He's got a pretty enviable position on his yacht in this sea of sharks.

And maybe. Just maybe. He really doesn't want the job of president. That's a position I can empathize with.
 
Ben, I think Romney will eventually accrue the "he's not Obama" vote in significant numbers. Not sure he'll get many swing votes, however.

Yes, but he also loses to the "I want to at least vote for someone whose positions I know" crowd. Seriously, who can say with any certainty what Romney will do if elected? Will he stay ultra-conservative? Will he go with more liberal policies like he did as governor? Will he just go with whatever seems popular? Will he cravenly support corporate interests?

Honestly, he seems like such a wild card. That and unfortunately bigotry against Mormons will hurt him in a race. He's definitely the best thing the Republicans have running though.
 
If the election was held today, your feeling and that of ABC News are in conflict.

http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/2011/10/majority-expects-obama-to-lose-re-election/

That's the number of people who expect Obama to lose, not the actual polling of those who say they will vote for him. If you look on real clear politics (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/president_obama_vs_republican_candidates.html) it's a bit more up in the air. Romney is slightly ahead of Obama, wheras Obama is signifigantly ahead of Perry.

I expect the ticket to be Romney/Perry or Romney/Huckabee.
 
Yes, but he also loses to the "I want to at least vote for someone whose positions I know" crowd.

I don't disagree - however it's probably a smart plan to NOT give too many details in the primary. Otherwise he has to shift right now and shift back to a centrist position in the general election. Annoying for the moment but is sets him up as more likely to succeed in the general. The questions is - will primary voters buy this pig in a poke ?

Consider the other pigs; Perry has effectively self-destructed, but he has too much money and ego to quit. If he can't re-invent his image ASAP he's just noise. R.Paul, Bachmann and Santorum will hang on as long as their idealism and purses allow (meaning RPaul will be at the conventions and he other two will drop). Gingrich has too many negatives.

Huntsman has a chance still but has so far failed to make a decisive move - maybe he's not capable. Herman Cain is the wild card, and (oddly) Romney's biggest challenge at the moment..
 

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