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Canada Federal Election 2025

And...a collapse from easy poll leader to loss of his own seat, thanks to Donny. I would be quite OK with Poilievre making an urgent visit to the US White House and kicking Trump in the balls a couple of dozen times. With Mountie boots on.

Et... un effondrement du leader facile des sondages à la perte de son propre siège, grâce à Donny. Je serais tout à fait d'accord avec le fait que Poilievre fasse une visite urgente à la Maison Blanche américaine et donne des coups de pied dans les couilles de Trump une vingtaine de fois. Avec des bottes de gendarmerie.

Canada’s conservative leader Pierre Poilievre loses his own seat in election collapse​

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https://www.politico.eu/article/pierre-poilievre-mark-carney-canada-election-conservative-liberal/

ETA. Yes, apologies - it's Google Translate.
 
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Ok, here is something I found weird.

According to the CBC's election website, there are half a dozen small 3rd parties that are currently sitting at 0 votes. Not just 0 seats, but zero votes.

Ok, I know our election system has a few parties around that have no hope of success. (Heck we have both a communist and a Marxist-Leninist party that both received several thousand votes.) But to get 0 votes? Not even someone accidentally voting for them because they were drunk? Not even the party leaders?

National Citizens Alliance of Canada
0 0 0 0 0%
Canada's Fourth Front
0 0 0 0 0%
Parti pour L'Indépendance du Québec
0 0 0 0 0%
Veterans Coalition Party of Canada
0 0 0 0 0%
Free Party of Canada
0 0 0 0 0%
Maverick Party
0 0 0 0 0%
 
Helen said:
So the liberals should go to Trump and say, with tears in their eyes (big strong hockey players, never cried before), "Sir, Mr President, Sir, thank you! No one has ever done so much in such a short time for the liberal party, Sir!"
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The Orange Pig's current squeal is "I'm running the world!" He very well may trumpet* the 51st state's election as demonstrating exactly that.

* Christ how I'm starting to hate that poor old besmirched word! Can't help it.
 
stanfr said:
It was not so much Nationalism but Anti-Trumpism. And a vote for stability, after seeing the complete chaos that 'change' created in the U.S.
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I think you are equating Patriotism and Nationalism..two different things.
 
dudalb said:
I think you are equating Patriotism and Nationalism..two different things.
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Fair point, although I think even if you were reluctantly from the nation of Crapland you would still be anti-Trump.
 
A rather... unique... situation has popped up as a result of the election.

To those unfamiliar with how Canadian politics works, the "Leader of the Opposition" (generally the head of the second biggest party in Parliament) is given an "official" residence, called Stornoway.

Problem is, the conservatives came in second place (thus are the opposition), but their leader (Pollievre) didn't win his personal seat, and thus cannot sit in the commons or be the "official" leader of the opposition. So he cannot live in Stornoway. (Normally a party leader who fails to win their own personal seat will resign, but Pollievre seems to be sticking around.)

So now they have to figure out who (if anyone) will be allowed to live in Stornoway.

See: https://pressprogress.ca/pierre-poi...-live-at-public-mansion-privy-council-office/
 
Looks like pollievre will be running for a seat in an Alberta byelection.

The sitting MP just resigned his seat, and Carney said that he would not delay calling a byelection to fill the seat. (Since the riding in question is very solidly conservative pollievre should not have troubles winning this time.

 
Segnosaur said:
Looks like pollievre will be running for a seat in an Alberta byelection.

The sitting MP just resigned his seat, and Carney said that he would not delay calling a byelection to fill the seat. (Since the riding in question is very solidly conservative pollievre should not have troubles winning this time.

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Standard procedure for this situation. The sitting MP's federal political career is toast so there will be some perks and incentives (undisclosed) offered as compensation.
 
The final results are now in and Parliament looks like this:
  • Liberals: 169 (+17 from previous parliament)
  • Conservative: 143 (+23); a decent showing but far short of a government; both Poilievre and Trump are to blame
  • Qarti Québécois: 23 (-10)
  • NDP: 7 (-17)
  • Green: 1 (-1)
Despite their substantial loss, the NDP still holds the balance of power. By voting with Liberals, they can stave off a challenge from combined Conservative and Bloc members, 176 to 166 votes.

However, in my opinion the Bloc is probably more likely to vote with the Liberals unless the NDP signals they want to trigger an election. I could be wrong on this; I didn't follow how they voted on legislation in the previous parliament.
 
Steve said:
Looks like pollievre will be running for a seat in an Alberta byelection.

The sitting MP just resigned his seat, and Carney said that he would not delay calling a byelection to fill the seat.
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Standard procedure for this situation.
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I would say, yes and no as to whether it is a 'standard procedure'.

It is common for a party leader who doesn't have a seat to have an MP resign and run in a by-election. But, this usually happens when the newly leader is someone who wasn't in the house of commons at the time and didn't just lose an election. (I am thinking someone like Brian Mulroney, who took over the party leadership without being an MP himself, who then ran in a by election in Nova Scotia.)

On the other hand, if its a party leader who lost their own seat in a general election (not to mention saw their party fail to win power), I think it would be more common for that leader to resign. (I am thinking of the recent resignation of the NDP leader.) After all, it is a significant embarrassment.
 
Segnosaur said:
I would say, yes and no as to whether it is a 'standard procedure'.

It is common for a party leader who doesn't have a seat to have an MP resign and run in a by-election. But, this usually happens when the newly leader is someone who wasn't in the house of commons at the time and didn't just lose an election. (I am thinking someone like Brian Mulroney, who took over the party leadership without being an MP himself, who then ran in a by election in Nova Scotia.)

On the other hand, if its a party leader who lost their own seat in a general election (not to mention saw their party fail to win power), I think it would be more common for that leader to resign. (I am thinking of the recent resignation of the NDP leader.) After all, it is a significant embarrassment.
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Just one more way Polly is like Trump. He has no capacity for embarrassment.
 
Segnosaur said:
Looks like pollievre will be running for a seat in an Alberta byelection.

The sitting MP just resigned his seat, and Carney said that he would not delay calling a byelection to fill the seat. (Since the riding in question is very solidly conservative pollievre should not have troubles winning this time.

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Segnosaur said:
I would say, yes and no as to whether it is a 'standard procedure'.

It is common for a party leader who doesn't have a seat to have an MP resign and run in a by-election. But, this usually happens when the newly leader is someone who wasn't in the house of commons at the time and didn't just lose an election. (I am thinking someone like Brian Mulroney, who took over the party leadership without being an MP himself, who then ran in a by election in Nova Scotia.)

On the other hand, if its a party leader who lost their own seat in a general election (not to mention saw their party fail to win power), I think it would be more common for that leader to resign. (I am thinking of the recent resignation of the NDP leader.) After all, it is a significant embarrassment.
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In 1923, in the UK, Winston Churchill lost his seat in an election, but another seat was quicklu found for him in a by election. Failry common procedure in a Parliamentary system when a prominent party leader loses his seat.
In the US , it does no thappen very often because of a strong traditional disapproval of "Carpetbaggers" people who move to another district for the sole prupose of running for office. US has a strong feeling that a Congress person should have a strong connectin with the distriect he represents.
 
dudalb said:
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On the other hand, if its a party leader who lost their own seat in a general election (not to mention saw their party fail to win power), I think it would be more common for that leader to resign. (I am thinking of the recent resignation of the NDP leader.) After all, it is a significant embarrassment.
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In 1923, in the UK, Winston Churchill lost his seat in an election, but another seat was quicklu found for him in a by election. Failry common procedure in a Parliamentary system when a prominent party leader loses his seat.
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First of all, I never said it NEVER happened, just that it was probably more common for a losing leader to quite altogether rather than to regain a seat in a byelection. (The parimentary system is used in national and provincial governments all around the world... you can probably find examples of both leaders resigning, vs. leaders sticking around. The issue is "what is more common".)

As for Churchill, in the early 1920s Churchill was not a party leader. (He was rather influential and had previously held high-ranking positions, but he wasn't Prime Minister or leader of the opposition.) So I'm not sure if he counts.

In the US , it does no thappen very often because of a strong traditional disapproval of "Carpetbaggers" people who move to another district for the sole prupose of running for office. US has a strong feeling that a Congress person should have a strong connectin with the distriect he represents.
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I assume it didn't happen in the US because congress acts more.... independently... than parliamentary systems (where the party leaders exhibit a lot more control over their minions.)
 
So the Canadian election just got a little more interesting....

In the Quebec riding of Terrebonne, Quebec, the Liberals were initially declared the winner by 35 votes.

After a 'validation' process (where results are double-checked) the riding flipped to the Bloc by 44 votes.

However, because the results were so close, an automatic recount was triggered, where the Liberals won the seat... by ONE vote.

So, end of story? After all, the last recount was done by the courts, so there's nobody else to appeal to.

But wait... there was one person who tried to vote by mail for the Bloc candidate, but her voting card was returned because the return address (which was automatically printed) had the wrong postal code. And she did not receive the returned ballot until after the election (so she had no way to fix the problem before the election.) That one uncounted ballot might have resulted in a tie.

There is a good chance there will be a byelection in the riding, because it would be considered an 'irregularity' that would have affected the election result.

It wouldn't necessarily change the overall status immediately (Liberals would still have a minority government), but it may have an effect if any opposition members decide to cross the floor and join the Liberals.

See: https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/montreal/elections-canada-investigating-terrebonne-1.7533228
 
The "Longest Ballot Committee" strikes again...

From: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_Battle_River—Crowfoot_federal_by-election
A by-election will be held in the federal riding of Battle River-Crowfoot in Alberta, Canada, on August 18, 2025...Kurek, who secured re-election with over 80% of the vote in the 2025 federal election on April 28, resigned his seat on June 17 to allow Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre an opportunity to return to Parliament following his defeat to Liberal candidate Bruce Fanjoy in his former riding of Carleton, Ontario.... The riding was targeted by the Longest Ballot Committee which pushed the number of registered candidates to over 200, prompting Elections Canada to use write-in ballots instead of standard ballots.

Supposedly voters do not have to spell the name correctly, and elections canada will count it as long as it is 'clear' who the vote was for.

As awkward as it was to have 200 names on a ballot, I am not sure how well this "write in" ballot will work. (Well, given that this riding is a pretty secure Conservative riding Poilievre is a pretty secure lock on winning, but I can see it leading to court challenges and other types of problems.)
 
Segnosaur said:
As awkward as it was to have 200 names on a ballot, I am not sure how well this "write in" ballot will work. (Well, given that this riding is a pretty secure Conservative riding Poilievre is a pretty secure lock on winning, but I can see it leading to court challenges and other types of problems.)
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I think it will work pretty well. For example, if there isn't a candidate sharing Pierre's initials, a simple "P.P." should suffice. "Pierre P" should be good, too. "Pierre Pollyfair" might be accepted, too, but "Trump North" probably wouldn't.
 
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