Any structural engineers out there, or qualified to read
a March 2001 report on the state of the bridge? PDF file there, 89 pages. I am working my way through piecemeal, and finding shocking hindsight quotes. Help talk me down.
In March 2001, the report said that "the bridge should not have any problems with fatigue cracking in the foreseeable future." However the report did recommend an inspection regime, and that is what likely caught the problems they've been trying to fix over the summer.
Lucky them, because one conclusion stands out to me: "Live load stress ranges greater than the fatigue threshold can be calculated if the AASHTO lane loads are assumed. The actual measured stress ranges are far less primarily because the loading does not frequently approach this magnitude. While the lane loads are appropriate for a strength limit state (the loading could approach this magnitude a few times during the life of the bridge), only loads that occur more frequently than 0.01% of occurrences are relevant for fatigue. For this bridge with 15,000 trucks per day in each direction, only loads that occur on a daily basis are important for fatigue."
The first page of the report (pdf 11) says the ADT is 15,000 per day with ten percent trucks. A mistake in this paragraph really doesn't bode well. Actually this mistake is on page 2 of the report as well (pdf 12), where the 15,000 trucks in each direction are ridiculed (the "details should have cracked open soon after opening if the stress ranges were really this high"). That looks really nasty.
There are two standards in play for this bridge. One is AASHO, the one the bridge was built under (called non-conservative by the report). The second is AASHTO, which were developed in the 1970s. Perhaps the AASHTO standard is to calculate stress loads as if all expected traffic were trucks, and that's why they're citing 15,000 trucks each way. Does anyone know? Am I really looking at a bogus figure that may have masked a serious problem?
ETA: If the actual load of this structure was higher, the stresses could have worn out the bridge faster, right? As in actual daily traffic jumping to 20,000 per day with 18% trucks? I haven't seen yet, but are bridges like this subject to periodic checks of actual daily traffic?