UnrepentantSinner
A post by Alan Smithee
Even lung cancer is exceedingly rare *before* 40/45 year old.
Yes, but I can aver without reservation that prior to 1500, even if you lived beyond that age, the smoking related cancer rate in the Eastern Hemisphere was zero.
Since the life expectancy until early 20th century was below 45, you would not expect any cancer.
Not quite. See Darat's post below for what's wrong with this meme. Most people didn't drop dead at 35. Most who lived that long would live for another to several decades more. What brought the average down so much was high infant and childhood mortality. In fact the Wikipedia entry you linked to says just that in this section.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Life_expectancy#Life_expectancy_variation_over_time
- eta I'd point out this section and the links contained in it as well.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Life_expectancy#Life_expectancy_vs._life_span
/thread.
Since I'm not the OPer, I have no idea why your factually incorrect response to me is a thread killer.
I did some research on lifespan that I posted here some years ago but can't find it again but a rough summary is that if you managed to live to the age of 21 (and weren't dirt poor!) you'd stand a very good chance of living into your 70s and 80s, it was childhood deaths that really brought down the average lifespan in past days. So looking at the average (which usually means the mean) lifespan isn't that useful if you want to argue that we don't see many cancers because people didn't live long enough in the past to develop cancers.
Obviously many, many more people do now live to old age when compared with past times now that childhood is not so hazardous (in developed countries) so I agree that describing cancer as a "disease of old age" is a good rule of thumb.
ETA: Found a link to show what I was meaning:L http://apps.business.ualberta.ca/rfield/lifeexpectancy.htm
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